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CFB Week 6 post game win expectancy

Listed as pre-game win expectancy, actual result, and post game win expectancy.

Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
SMU 42.20% 7.46% 54.12%
UCF 57.80% 92.54% 45.88%
SJSU 66.50% 98.48% 85.72%
UNLV 33.50% 1.52% 14.28%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
NEB 57.80% 52.61% 40.66%
RUTG 42.20% 47.39% 59.34%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
HOU 46.08% 52.61% 52.17%
MEM 53.92% 47.39% 47.83%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
CSU 40.92% 57.80% 32.99%
NEV 59.08% 42.20% 67.01%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
AUB 3.57% 1.79% 1.74%
UGA 96.43% 98.21% 98.26%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
ALA 94.59% 60.35% 94.33%
TA&M 5.41% 39.65% 5.67%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
MSU 3.83% 2.86% 0.17%
OSU 96.17% 97.14% 99.83%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
IU 6.17% 8.42% 2.72%
MICH 93.83% 91.58% 97.28%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
BC 8.42% 3.32% 12.49%
CLEM 91.58% 96.68% 87.51%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
USC 78.43% 85.30% 73.59%
WSU 21.57% 14.70% 26.41%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
OKST 77.46% 74.40% 46.74%
TTU 22.54% 25.60% 53.26%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
LSU 43.49% 3.83% 30.96%
TENN 56.51% 96.17% 69.04%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
MISS 86.75% 94.22% 95.67%
VAN 13.25% 5.78% 4.33%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
UCLA 42.20% 74.40% 43.97%
UTAH 57.80% 25.60% 56.03%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
ARIZ 18.80% 3.83% 12.03%
ORE 81.20% 96.17% 87.97%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
SC 38.40% 74.40% 54.65%
UK 61.60% 25.60% 45.35%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
FSU 40.92% 44.78% 64.77%
NCST 59.08% 55.22% 35.23%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
ARMY 14.70% 1.09% 23.10%
WAKE 85.30% 98.91% 76.90%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
BYU 40.92% 29.99% 13.56%
ND 59.08% 70.01% 86.44%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
KU 31.14% 32.31% 53.36%
TCU 68.86% 67.69% 46.64%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
ISU 46.08% 47.39% 24.66%
KSU 53.92% 52.61% 75.34%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
ASU 18.80% 67.69% 21.51%
WASH 81.20% 32.31% 78.49%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
ARK 28.86% 6.58% 31.00%
MSST 71.14% 93.42% 69.00%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
CIN 96.17% 60.35% 92.98%
USF 3.83% 39.65% 7.02%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
FLA 75.44% 67.69% 50.10%
MIZ 24.56% 32.31% 49.90%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
OU 31.14% 0.07% 2.86%
TEX 68.86% 99.93% 97.14%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
MD 57.80% 44.78% 46.21%
PUR 42.20% 55.22% 53.79%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
LOU 46.08% 86.75% 69.56%
UVA 53.92% 13.25% 30.44%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
EMU 39.65% 92.54% 64.93%
WMU 60.35% 7.46% 35.07%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
BGSU 44.78% 2.10% 47.20%
BUFF 55.22% 97.90% 52.80%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
AKR 25.60% 8.42% 28.40%
OHIO 74.40% 91.58% 71.60%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
GASO 43.49% 29.99% 48.95%
GAST 56.51% 70.01% 51.05%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
LIB 92.99% 88.11% 96.07%
MASS 7.01% 11.89% 3.93%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
NU 25.60% 1.09% 22.05%
WISC 74.40% 98.91% 77.95%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
PITT 82.92% 85.30% 80.59%
VT 17.08% 14.70% 19.41%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
ECU 43.49% 16.27% 61.73%
TULN 56.51% 83.73% 38.27%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
NAVY 38.40% 98.21% 60.43%
TLSA 61.60% 1.79% 39.57%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
BALL 31.14% 52.61% 24.55%
CMU 68.86% 47.39% 75.45%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
NIU 33.50% 9.48% 73.77%
TOL 66.50% 90.52% 26.23%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
KENT 62.85% 42.20% 57.31%
M-OH 37.15% 57.80% 42.69%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
MTSU 25.60% 3.83% 8.40%
UAB 74.40% 96.17% 91.60%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
DUKE 59.08% 42.20% 35.88%
GT 40.92% 57.80% 64.12%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
MIA 60.35% 42.20% 68.34%
UNC 39.65% 57.80% 31.66%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
UTSA 66.50% 57.80% 66.32%
WKU 33.50% 42.20% 33.68%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
AFA 77.46% 32.31% 61.24%
USU 22.54% 67.69% 38.76%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
UNM 42.20% 19.70% 64.44%
WYO 57.80% 80.30% 35.56%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
ARST 22.54% 7.46% 3.49%
JMU 77.46% 92.54% 96.51%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
APP 89.36% 21.57% 89.84%
TXST 10.64% 78.43% 10.16%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
TROY 67.69% 86.75% 70.40%
USM 32.31% 13.25% 29.60%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
CONN 64.08% 91.58% 41.07%
FIU 35.92% 8.42% 58.93%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
LT 55.22% 74.40% 23.18%
UTEP 44.78% 25.60% 76.82%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
ILL 59.08% 57.80% 78.37%
IOWA 40.92% 42.20% 21.63%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
CCU 79.38% 67.69% 59.95%
ULM 20.62% 32.31% 40.05%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
BOIS 75.44% 90.52% 87.71%
FRES 24.56% 9.48% 12.29%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
ORST 61.60% 52.61% 65.77%
STAN 38.40% 47.39% 34.23%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
HAW 5.78% 44.78% 14.37%
SDSU 94.22% 55.22% 85.63%

 

Updated: October 12, 2022 — 8:52 pm
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