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NCAA Football Week 5 post game win expectancy

Listed as pre-game win expectancy, actual result, and post game win expectancy.

Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
WASH 57.80% 29.993% 49.1028%
UCLA 42.20% 70.007% 50.8972%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
USU 4.41% 21.567% 28.2602%
BYU 95.59% 78.433% 71.7398%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
SCST 0.40% 0.436% 1.3902%
SC 99.60% 99.564% 98.6098%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
UNM 17.93% 23.536% 23.8808%
UNLV 82.07% 76.464% 76.1192%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
TULN 35.92% 57.798% 25.1119%
HOU 64.08% 42.202% 74.8881%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
UTSA 61.60% 83.735% 88.7567%
MTSU 38.40% 16.265% 11.2433%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
SDSU 34.70% 7.456% 4.5189%
BOIS 65.30% 92.544% 95.4811%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
UGA 97.90% 60.345% 98.8471%
MIZ 2.10% 39.655% 1.1529%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
WAG 0.02% 0.005% 0.0001%
SYR 99.98% 99.995% 99.9999%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
ALA 86.75% 93.425% 93.3583%
ARK 13.25% 6.575% 6.6417%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
RUTG 0.48% 0.527% 0.9796%
OSU 99.52% 99.473% 99.0204%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
MICH 75.44% 80.302% 69.9873%
IOWA 24.56% 19.698% 30.0127%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
NCST 33.50% 25.600% 39.0819%
CLEM 66.50% 74.400% 60.9181%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
ASU 5.41% 13.248% 5.1921%
USC 94.59% 86.752% 94.8079%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
UK 33.50% 42.202% 34.1160%
MISS 66.50% 57.798% 65.8840%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
OKST 43.49% 76.464% 28.2132%
BAY 56.51% 23.536% 71.7868%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
NU 4.72% 25.600% 5.5968%
PSU 95.28% 74.400% 94.4032%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
ORST 24.56% 4.410% 65.8473%
UTAH 75.44% 95.590% 34.1527%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
STAN 12.56% 11.893% 6.6781%
ORE 87.44% 88.107% 93.3219%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
TA&M 39.65% 11.893% 44.3359%
MSST 60.35% 88.107% 55.6641%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
OU 37.15% 2.104% 6.6757%
TCU 62.85% 97.896% 93.3243%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
PUR 27.75% 74.400% 48.5844%
MINN 72.25% 25.600% 51.4156%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
WAKE 35.92% 74.400% 39.2045%
FSU 64.08% 25.600% 60.7955%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
GT 7.93% 62.849% 6.7424%
PITT 92.07% 37.151% 93.2576%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
TTU 31.14% 27.754% 56.2128%
KSU 68.86% 72.246% 43.7872%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
GAST 28.86% 86.752% 43.6189%
ARMY 71.14% 13.248% 56.3811%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
ILL 33.50% 94.223% 44.6912%
WISC 66.50% 5.777% 55.3088%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
LOU 81.20% 47.386% 41.5697%
BC 18.80% 52.614% 58.4303%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
NAVY 17.93% 42.202% 11.6016%
AFA 82.07% 57.798% 88.3984%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
TEM 11.25% 8.425% 32.1131%
MEM 88.75% 91.575% 67.8869%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
TXST 7.46% 3.832% 5.5277%
JMU 92.54% 96.168% 94.4723%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
MASS 9.48% 32.311% 10.6415%
EMU 90.52% 67.689% 89.3585%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
NIU 42.20% 34.700% 53.2344%
BALL 57.80% 65.300% 46.7656%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
ECU 74.40% 90.515% 83.5799%
USF 25.60% 9.485% 16.4201%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
ISU 59.08% 42.202% 75.1541%
KU 40.92% 57.798% 24.8459%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
FRES 93.42% 37.151% 56.5889%
CONN 6.58% 62.849% 43.4111%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
MSU 31.14% 17.930% 15.0630%
MD 68.86% 82.070% 84.9370%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
VT 26.67% 2.104% 8.6228%
UNC 73.33% 97.896% 91.3772%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
CMU 33.50% 8.425% 24.4617%
TOL 66.50% 91.575% 75.5383%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
BGSU 72.25% 57.798% 55.3102%
AKR 27.75% 42.202% 44.6898%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
M-OH 42.20% 39.655% 55.6817%
BUFF 57.80% 60.345% 44.3183%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
OHIO 19.70% 32.311% 1.4154%
KENT 80.30% 67.689% 98.5846%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
CIT 0.44% 0.066% 0.2652%
APP 99.56% 99.934% 99.7348%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
GWEB 2.10% 8.425% 3.3312%
MRSH 97.90% 91.575% 96.6688%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
FAU 57.80% 13.248% 45.8807%
UNT 42.20% 86.752% 54.1193%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
USA 71.14% 57.798% 70.0371%
UL 28.86% 42.202% 29.9629%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
CAL 39.65% 10.640% 19.2880%
WSU 60.35% 89.360% 80.7120%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
LIB 59.08% 82.070% 66.3072%
ODU 40.92% 17.930% 33.6928%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
UNH 16.27% 0.763% 23.3907%
WMU 83.73% 99.237% 76.6093%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
UTEP 59.08% 65.300% 41.3123%
CLT 40.92% 34.700% 58.6877%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
LSU 70.01% 60.345% 18.6494%
AUB 29.99% 39.655% 81.3506%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
CIN 75.44% 74.400% 71.1034%
TLSA 24.56% 25.600% 28.8966%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
GASO 25.60% 39.655% 30.4827%
CCU 74.40% 60.345% 69.5173%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
ULM 31.14% 13.248% 34.5743%
ARST 68.86% 86.752% 65.4257%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
TROY 37.15% 67.689% 28.3326%
WKU 62.85% 32.311% 71.6674%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
WVU 31.14% 11.893% 19.5234%
TEX 68.86% 88.107% 80.4766%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
IU 33.50% 17.930% 22.0713%
NEB 66.50% 82.070% 77.9287%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
UVA 44.78% 8.425% 43.1566%
DUKE 55.22% 91.575% 56.8434%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
SJSU 56.51% 86.752% 80.7789%
WYO 43.49% 13.248% 19.2211%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
UAB 75.44% 39.655% 86.8577%
RICE 24.56% 60.345% 13.1423%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
FIU 14.70% 82.070% 54.0947%
NMSU 85.30% 17.930% 45.9053%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
COLO 11.89% 6.575% 1.4903%
ARIZ 88.11% 93.425% 98.5097%
Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
EWU 1.79% 1.086% 0.3553%
FLA 98.21% 98.914% 99.6447%

 

Updated: October 5, 2022 — 6:41 am
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