Power Rankings, Predictors and more!

2022 CFB Box Score Analysis Week 5

NCAA Box Score Analysis

The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the:

1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin of victory

So if a team meets or exceeds pre game expectations, by the actual play on the field, they are rewarded. However if they win or lose and are statistically dominated this program will show that.

Key: 1. ATS– Against the spread.

2. Act. Yds vs Act. Spread –How each team did using their yardage stats and turnovers.

3. Game should’ve been.. — A scoring projection based on total yards gained using yards per point.

4. Win Margin—Final game margin.

5. Yds/TO spread conv.— A spread projection using total yards gained/allowed and turnovers.

6. Game tot—Acutal game total.

7. Yppt. Total—A total projection of how many points should’ve been scored based on yards.

8. W/L Projection—An estimation of the final score using actual yards and turnover margin. 9. Margin—A number each team “should’ve” won/loss by.

10. Actual Yds—Total yards gained in the game by the offense. 11. Score should’ve been..—A projection for a score based on the game stats and turnovers.

12. TO—Adjusted TO based on actual and pre-game projection.

13. Next Week—A computer generated suggestion for how a team may do next week. (Good, Bad, Play, Fade)

Good—Played as they were projected to do in the game.

Bad—Played below expectations for the game.

Fade—Played well below expectations for the game.

Play—Played better than final score and should be looked at next week.

(Good/Bad/Fade/Play are just suggestions to look at as a guide. Don’t just automatically use them as they are listed. They are to be used to help not as a magic formula)

Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
WASH Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 8 0.34 72 -3.00 5.69 72
UCLA Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -8 -0.34 72 3.00 6.93 72
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
WASH 62.59 Should have lost by 0.34 410 31.12 2 2.00 24.00 BAD
UCLA 62.59 Should have won by 0.34 499 31.47 0 -0.25 27.00 GOOD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
WASH 32.00 —— —— —— —— —— —— 8-15 9-98
UCLA 40.00 YES —— YES YES YES YES 10-14 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
USU Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 12 8.77 64 26.00 4.84 81
BYU Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -12 -8.77 64 -26.00 6.62 60
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
USU 56.29 Should have lost by 8.77 392 23.76 3 0.83 24.00 GOOD
BYU 56.29 Should have won by 8.77 397 32.53 0 0.00 20.00 BAD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
USU 26.00 —— YES —— —— YES YES 6-17 8-68
BYU 38.00 YES —— YES YES —— —— 4-12 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
SCST Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 40 33.55 60 40.50 3.79 58
SC Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -40 -33.55 60 -40.50 6.62 61
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
SCST 50.52 Should have lost by 33.55 220 8.48 3 -0.38 13.00 GOOD
SC 50.52 Should have won by 33.55 404 42.04 3 3.00 21.00 BAD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
SCST 10.00 —— —— —— YES —— YES 1-11 12-117
SC 50.00 YES YES YES —— YES —— 5-10 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
UNM Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 11 10.83 51 14.00 4.87 61
UNLV Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -11 -10.83 51 -14.00 5.31 67
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
UNM 45.85 Should have lost by 10.83 297 17.51 2 0.83 18.00 GOOD
UNLV 45.85 Should have won by 10.83 356 28.34 2 2.00 22.00 BAD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
UNM 20.00 —— —— —— YES —— YES 2-11 6-73
UNLV 31.00 YES YES YES —— YES —— 4-13 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
TULN Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -3 10.23 51 5.50 5.06 54
HOU Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 3 -10.23 51 -5.50 4.73 81
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
TULN 45.59 Should have lost by 10.23 273 17.68 1 0.54 14.00 FADE
HOU 45.59 Should have won by 10.23 383 27.91 1 1.00 22.00 PLAY
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
TULN 27.00 —— —— YES YES —— —— 5-12 4-35
HOU 24.00 YES YES —— —— YES YES 9-18 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
UTSA Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -15 -18.51 75 -4.50 7.20 82
MTSU Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 15 18.51 75 4.50 6.03 75
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
UTSA 72.23 Should have won by 18.51 590 45.37 3 3.00 32.00 GOOD
MTSU 72.23 Should have lost by 18.51 452 26.86 0 -0.38 20.00 BAD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
UTSA 45.00 YES YES YES —— YES YES 10-14 9-92
MTSU 30.00 —— —— —— YES —— —— 6-17 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
SDSU Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 22 25.82 48 6.00 2.24 51
BOIS Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -22 -25.82 48 -6.00 6.82 66
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
SDSU 39.92 Should have lost by 25.82 114 7.05 1 0.50 6.00 BAD
BOIS 39.92 Should have won by 25.82 450 32.87 1 1.00 20.00 GOOD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
SDSU 13.00 —— —— —— YES —— —— 1-14 10-55
BOIS 35.00 YES YES YES —— YES YES 6-14 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
UGA Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -4 -34.66 48 -31.00 6.09 79
MIZ Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 4 34.66 48 31.00 5.55 53
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
UGA 58.90 Should have won by 34.66 481 46.78 2 2.00 28.00 PLAY
MIZ 58.90 Should have lost by 34.66 294 12.12 0 -2.58 14.00 FADE
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
UGA 26.00 YES YES YES —— YES YES 4-13 5-55
MIZ 22.00 —— —— —— YES —— —— 3-13 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
WAG Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 59 73.83 59 54.00 1.32 38
SYR Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -59 -73.83 59 -54.00 11.07 57
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
WAG 71.85 Should have lost by 73.83 50 -0.99 1 -3.50 4.00 BAD
SYR 71.85 Should have won by 73.83 631 72.84 0 0.00 26.00 GOOD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
WAG 0.00 —— —— —— YES —— —— 2-11 3-25
SYR 59.00 YES YES YES —— YES YES 6-9 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
ALA Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -23 -22.92 75 -17.00 8.67 64
ARK Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 23 22.92 75 17.00 4.44 85
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
ALA 66.63 Should have won by 22.92 555 44.78 1 1.00 17.00 GOOD
ARK 66.63 Should have lost by 22.92 377 21.85 1 -0.42 27.00 BAD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
ALA 49.00 YES —— YES —— —— —— 9-14 10-101
ARK 26.00 —— YES —— YES YES YES 5-17 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
RUTG Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 39 35.59 59 39.50 3.34 56
OSU Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -39 -35.59 59 -39.50 7.00 59
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
RUTG 49.28 Should have lost by 35.59 187 6.84 2 -1.29 12.00 GOOD
OSU 49.28 Should have won by 35.59 413 42.44 2 2.00 26.00 BAD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
RUTG 10.00 —— —— —— YES —— YES 1-11 10-61
OSU 49.00 YES YES YES —— YES —— 5-10 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
MICH Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -13 -7.99 41 -10.50 4.95 66
IOWA Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 13 7.99 41 10.50 5.11 55
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
MICH 42.38 Should have won by 7.99 327 25.19 0 0.00 24.00 FADE
IOWA 42.38 Should have lost by 7.99 281 17.20 0 -0.88 16.00 PLAY
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
MICH 27.00 YES YES —— —— YES YES 4-11 5-50
IOWA 14.00 —— —— YES YES —— —— 4-11 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
NCST Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 10 4.23 50 6.50 4.04 69
CLEM Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -10 -4.23 50 -6.50 5.21 68
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
NCST 43.98 Should have lost by 4.23 279 19.87 2 1.46 20.00 PLAY
CLEM 43.98 Should have won by 4.23 354 24.10 0 0.00 20.00 FADE
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
NCST 20.00 —— YES —— —— —— —— 5-14 10-86
CLEM 30.00 YES —— YES YES —— YES 6-14 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
ASU Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 17 24.80 67 24.50 5.43 61
USC Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -17 -24.80 67 -24.50 7.24 67
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
ASU 59.78 Should have lost by 24.80 331 17.49 1 -1.04 20.00 FADE
USC 59.78 Should have won by 24.80 485 42.29 1 1.00 29.00 PLAY
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
ASU 25.00 —— —— —— YES —— —— 7-13 7-74
USC 42.00 YES YES YES —— YES YES 8-9 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
UK Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 3 6.24 41 6.50 5.38 61
MISS Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -3 -6.24 41 -6.50 5.87 68
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
UK 50.46 Should have lost by 6.24 328 22.11 2 1.46 17.00 GOOD
MISS 50.46 Should have won by 6.24 399 28.35 1 1.00 19.00 BAD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
UK 19.00 —— —— —— —— —— —— 7-14 4-15
MISS 22.00 YES YES YES YES YES YES 7-14 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
OKST Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -11 8.79 61 2.50 4.99 76
BAY Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 11 -8.79 61 -2.50 6.53 70
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
OKST 57.77 Should have lost by 8.79 379 24.49 1 0.79 23.00 FADE
BAY 57.77 Should have won by 8.79 457 33.28 2 2.00 21.00 PLAY
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
OKST 36.00 —— YES —— YES YES YES 6-15 3-25
BAY 25.00 YES —— YES —— —— —— 3-11 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
NU Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 10 24.24 24 25.50 3.71 65
PSU Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -10 -24.24 24 -25.50 4.62 78
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
NU 44.26 Should have lost by 24.24 241 10.01 3 0.88 12.00 GOOD
PSU 44.26 Should have won by 24.24 360 34.25 5 5.00 21.00 BAD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
NU 7.00 —— —— —— YES —— —— 4-16 2-10
PSU 17.00 YES YES YES —— YES YES 4-15 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
ORST Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 26 -6.23 58 10.50 6.22 67
UTAH Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -26 6.23 58 -10.50 6.45 56
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
ORST 53.66 Should have won by 6.23 417 29.94 4 3.13 21.00 PLAY
UTAH 53.66 Should have lost by 6.23 361 23.72 0 0.00 20.00 FADE
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
ORST 16.00 YES YES —— —— YES YES 3-10 3-37
UTAH 42.00 —— —— YES YES —— —— 4-10 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
STAN Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 18 22.88 72 17.50 4.61 72
ORE Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -18 -22.88 72 -17.50 7.25 71
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
STAN 60.82 Should have lost by 22.88 332 18.97 1 -0.46 22.00 BAD
ORE 60.82 Should have won by 22.88 515 41.85 1 1.00 23.00 GOOD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
STAN 27.00 —— YES —— YES —— —— 5-16 5-48
ORE 45.00 YES —— YES —— YES YES 5-14 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
TA&M Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 18 2.17 66 4.00 5.54 70
MSST Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -18 -2.17 66 -4.00 6.86 69
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
TA&M 59.59 Should have lost by 2.17 388 28.71 4 3.67 27.00 PLAY
MSST 59.59 Should have won by 2.17 473 30.88 1 1.00 22.00 FADE
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
TA&M 24.00 —— YES —— —— YES YES 2-9 3-24
MSST 42.00 YES —— YES YES —— —— 5-11 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
OU Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 31 22.88 79 5.00 4.38 81
TCU Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -31 -22.88 79 -5.00 8.91 75
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
OU 71.38 Should have lost by 22.88 355 24.25 1 0.58 22.00 BAD
TCU 71.38 Should have won by 22.88 668 47.13 0 0.00 29.00 GOOD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
OU 24.00 —— YES —— —— —— YES 6-18 7-80
TCU 55.00 YES —— YES YES YES —— 7-14 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
PUR Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -10 0.54 30 9.00 5.36 67
MINN Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 10 -0.54 30 -9.00 5.15 59
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
PUR 45.66 Should have lost by 0.54 359 22.56 3 2.25 18.00 GOOD
MINN 45.66 Should have won by 0.54 304 23.10 3 3.00 14.00 BAD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
PUR 20.00 YES YES YES YES YES YES 4-14 4-55
MINN 10.00 —— —— —— —— —— —— 4-12 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
WAKE Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -10 4.18 52 5.50 4.76 85
FSU Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 10 -4.18 52 -5.50 6.24 63
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
WAKE 55.08 Should have lost by 4.18 405 25.45 0 -0.46 28.00 GOOD
FSU 55.08 Should have won by 4.18 393 29.63 1 1.00 21.00 BAD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
WAKE 31.00 YES YES —— YES YES YES 10-18 4-40
FSU 21.00 —— —— YES —— —— —— 4-11 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
GT Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -5 22.80 47 21.50 4.70 71
PITT Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 5 -22.80 47 -21.50 5.41 76
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
GT 53.34 Should have lost by 22.80 334 15.27 0 -1.79 17.00 FADE
PITT 53.34 Should have won by 22.80 411 38.07 3 3.00 25.00 PLAY
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
GT 26.00 —— —— —— YES —— YES 5-17 4-43
PITT 21.00 YES YES YES —— YES —— 2-12 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
TTU Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 9 -2.38 65 7.50 5.77 82
KSU Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -9 2.38 65 -7.50 7.91 58
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
TTU 64.40 Should have won by 2.38 473 33.39 4 3.38 26.00 PLAY
KSU 64.40 Should have lost by 2.38 459 31.01 1 1.00 15.00 FADE
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
TTU 28.00 YES YES —— —— YES —— 5-14 5-40
KSU 37.00 —— —— YES YES —— YES 4-13 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
GAST Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -17 2.45 45 8.50 7.86 58
ARMY Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 17 -2.45 45 -8.50 4.74 77
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
GAST 56.45 Should have lost by 2.45 456 27.00 1 0.29 20.00 GOOD
ARMY 56.45 Should have won by 2.45 365 29.45 3 3.00 24.00 BAD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
GAST 31.00 YES —— YES YES —— —— 5-10 4-34
ARMY 14.00 —— YES —— —— YES YES 9-15 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
ILL Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -24 2.04 44 6.50 4.61 66
WISC Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 24 -2.04 44 -6.50 3.65 57
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
ILL 35.08 Should have lost by 2.04 304 16.52 0 -0.54 19.00 GOOD
WISC 35.08 Should have won by 2.04 208 18.56 3 3.00 12.00 BAD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
ILL 34.00 YES YES YES YES YES YES 3-13 8-75
WISC 10.00 —— —— —— —— —— —— 4-14 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
LOU Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 1 3.25 67 -13.50 4.69 75
BC Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -1 -3.25 67 13.50 7.86 57
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
LOU 55.03 Should have lost by 3.25 352 25.89 1 1.00 23.00 BAD
BC 55.03 Should have won by 3.25 448 29.14 3 1.88 17.00 GOOD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
LOU 33.00 —— YES —— YES YES YES 7-16 6-70
BC 34.00 YES —— YES —— —— —— 2-9 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
NAVY Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 3 18.23 23 14.00 4.34 56
AFA Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -3 -18.23 23 -14.00 6.47 55
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
NAVY 42.46 Should have lost by 18.23 243 12.12 0 -1.17 13.00 FADE
AFA 42.46 Should have won by 18.23 356 30.34 2 2.00 16.00 PLAY
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
NAVY 10.00 —— YES —— YES —— —— 4-13 5-38
AFA 13.00 YES —— YES —— YES YES 3-11 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
TEM Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 21 7.08 27 18.50 5.03 59
MEM Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -21 -7.08 27 -18.50 3.72 89
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
TEM 44.33 Should have lost by 7.08 297 18.62 3 1.46 7.00 PLAY
MEM 44.33 Should have won by 7.08 331 25.71 1 1.00 22.00 FADE
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
TEM 3.00 —— —— YES —— —— —— 2-16 9-74
MEM 24.00 YES YES —— YES YES YES 7-19 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
TXST Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 27 24.33 53 22.00 4.10 60
JMU Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -27 -24.33 53 -22.00 6.05 76
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
TXST 52.13 Should have lost by 24.33 246 13.90 4 2.17 11.00 BAD
JMU 52.13 Should have won by 24.33 460 38.23 3 3.00 22.00 GOOD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
TXST 13.00 —— —— —— YES —— —— 2-12 6-49
JMU 40.00 YES YES YES —— YES YES 6-13 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
MASS Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 7 19.00 33 20.00 3.86 66
EMU Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -7 -19.00 33 -20.00 5.06 67
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
MASS 42.57 Should have lost by 19.00 255 11.79 1 -0.67 15.00 GOOD
EMU 42.57 Should have won by 19.00 339 30.79 3 3.00 22.00 BAD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
MASS 13.00 —— —— —— YES —— YES 5-16 11-100
EMU 20.00 YES YES YES —— YES —— 4-11 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
NIU Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 6 -1.24 82 3.00 6.12 86
BALL Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -6 1.24 82 -3.00 5.39 89
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
NIU 69.34 Should have won by 1.24 526 35.29 2 1.75 29.00 PLAY
BALL 69.34 Should have lost by 1.24 480 34.05 2 2.00 31.00 FADE
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
NIU 38.00 YES —— YES YES —— YES 7-17 6-43
BALL 44.00 —— YES —— —— YES —— 6-15 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
ECU Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -20 -14.90 76 -10.00 8.10 71
USF Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 20 14.90 76 10.00 7.11 64
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
ECU 71.95 Should have won by 14.90 575 43.43 1 1.00 26.00 GOOD
USF 71.95 Should have lost by 14.90 455 28.52 1 0.17 21.00 BAD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
ECU 48.00 YES YES YES —— YES —— 6-13 3-24
USF 28.00 —— —— —— YES —— YES 5-13 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
ISU Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 3 -10.36 25 -3.50 4.01 78
KU Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -3 10.36 25 3.50 4.63 46
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
ISU 36.46 Should have won by 10.36 313 23.41 2 2.00 20.00 PLAY
KU 36.46 Should have lost by 10.36 213 13.05 1 0.71 10.00 FADE
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
ISU 11.00 YES YES —— —— YES —— 5-18 4-40
KU 14.00 —— —— YES YES —— YES 3-10 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
FRES Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 5 -2.53 33 -23.00 3.90 48
CONN Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -5 2.53 33 23.00 4.41 71
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
FRES 33.96 Should have won by 2.53 187 18.24 3 3.00 14.00 BAD
CONN 33.96 Should have lost by 2.53 313 15.71 2 0.08 20.00 GOOD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
FRES 14.00 —— —— —— —— —— —— 0-7 6-75
CONN 19.00 YES YES YES YES YES YES 8-17 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
MSU Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 14 15.76 40 7.50 4.86 66
MD Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -14 -15.76 40 -7.50 6.43 76
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
MSU 56.61 Should have lost by 15.76 321 20.42 0 -0.63 22.00 BAD
MD 56.61 Should have won by 15.76 489 36.19 0 0.00 24.00 GOOD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
MSU 13.00 —— —— —— YES —— —— 7-14 6-47
MD 27.00 YES YES YES —— YES YES 8-17 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
VT Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 31 20.81 51 9.50 3.90 70
UNC Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -31 -20.81 51 -9.50 7.22 73
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
VT 56.56 Should have lost by 20.81 273 17.88 1 0.21 14.00 BAD
UNC 56.56 Should have won by 20.81 527 38.68 0 0.00 24.00 GOOD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
VT 10.00 —— —— —— —— —— YES 8-18 3-22
UNC 41.00 YES YES YES YES YES —— 6-15 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
CMU Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 21 10.55 55 6.50 3.96 72
TOL Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -21 -10.55 55 -6.50 6.12 73
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
CMU 51.09 Should have lost by 10.55 285 20.27 3 2.46 14.00 BAD
TOL 51.09 Should have won by 10.55 447 30.82 1 1.00 21.00 GOOD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
CMU 17.00 —— —— —— —— —— —— 7-19 11-105
TOL 38.00 YES YES YES YES YES YES 11-20 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
BGSU Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -3 -2.04 59 -9.00 6.49 65
AKR Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 3 2.04 59 9.00 5.37 76
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
BGSU 57.52 Should have won by 2.04 422 29.78 1 1.00 21.00 BAD
AKR 57.52 Should have lost by 2.04 408 27.74 3 2.25 24.00 GOOD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
BGSU 31.00 YES —— YES YES —— —— 7-13 8-60
AKR 28.00 —— YES —— —— YES YES 11-17 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
M-OH Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 4 -2.18 44 3.00 5.61 64
BUFF Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -4 2.18 44 -3.00 4.03 69
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
M-OH 43.83 Should have won by 2.18 359 23.01 1 0.75 16.00 PLAY
BUFF 43.83 Should have lost by 2.18 278 20.83 2 2.00 21.00 FADE
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
M-OH 20.00 YES —— YES YES —— YES 5-14 11-96
BUFF 24.00 —— YES —— —— YES —— 4-14 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
OHIO Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 7 33.44 55 13.00 6.52 69
KENT Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -7 -33.44 55 -13.00 7.67 96
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
OHIO 84.24 Should have lost by 33.44 450 25.40 0 -1.08 19.00 FADE
KENT 84.24 Should have won by 33.44 736 58.84 2 2.00 36.00 PLAY
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
OHIO 24.00 —— —— —— YES —— —— 4-15 4-35
KENT 31.00 YES YES YES —— YES YES 9-15 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
CIT Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 49 42.52 49 40.00 3.33 67
APP Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -49 -42.52 49 -40.00 11.60 47
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
CIT 63.96 Should have lost by 42.52 223 10.72 2 -1.33 13.00 BAD
APP 63.96 Should have won by 42.52 545 53.24 0 0.00 21.00 GOOD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
CIT 0.00 —— YES —— YES —— YES 5-18 4-25
APP 49.00 YES —— YES —— YES —— 0-5 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
GWEB Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 21 27.97 35 31.00 2.80 51
MRSH Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -21 -27.97 35 -31.00 4.90 86
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
GWEB 45.05 Should have lost by 27.97 143 8.54 4 1.42 7.00 GOOD
MRSH 45.05 Should have won by 27.97 421 36.51 1 1.00 21.00 BAD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
GWEB 7.00 —— —— —— —— —— —— 2-14 4-25
MRSH 28.00 YES YES YES YES YES YES 9-21 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
FAU Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 17 1.58 73 -3.00 5.47 79
UNT Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -17 -1.58 73 3.00 6.68 72
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
FAU 62.92 Should have lost by 1.58 432 30.67 2 2.00 24.00 BAD
UNT 62.92 Should have won by 1.58 481 32.25 2 1.75 21.00 GOOD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
FAU 28.00 —— YES —— —— YES —— 8-19 3-14
UNT 45.00 YES —— YES YES —— YES 4-12 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
USA Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -3 -8.01 37 -8.50 4.63 78
UL Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 3 8.01 37 8.50 4.15 66
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
USA 44.30 Should have won by 8.01 361 26.16 2 2.00 20.00 BAD
UL 44.30 Should have lost by 8.01 274 18.14 3 2.29 17.00 GOOD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
USA 20.00 YES YES YES YES YES YES 12-21 8-60
UL 17.00 —— —— —— —— —— —— 6-16 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
CAL Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 19 13.23 37 4.00 5.10 61
WSU Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -19 -13.23 37 -4.00 6.38 65
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
CAL 50.31 Should have lost by 13.23 311 18.54 0 -0.33 13.00 BAD
WSU 50.31 Should have won by 13.23 415 31.77 2 2.00 21.00 GOOD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
CAL 9.00 —— —— —— YES —— —— 5-16 7-55
WSU 28.00 YES YES YES —— YES YES 6-14 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
LIB Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -14 -6.42 62 -3.50 7.13 67
ODU Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 14 6.42 62 3.50 5.19 80
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
LIB 61.73 Should have won by 6.42 478 34.07 2 2.00 23.00 GOOD
ODU 61.73 Should have lost by 6.42 415 27.65 2 1.71 20.00 BAD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
LIB 38.00 YES —— YES —— YES YES 4-10 3-30
ODU 24.00 —— YES —— YES —— —— 7-19 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
UNH Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 37 11.07 51 15.00 2.81 73
WMU Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -37 -11.07 51 -15.00 7.42 48
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
UNH 40.20 Should have lost by 11.07 205 14.56 4 2.75 18.00 PLAY
WMU 40.20 Should have won by 11.07 356 25.63 1 1.00 12.00 FADE
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
UNH 7.00 —— YES —— —— YES YES 3-15 10-85
WMU 44.00 YES —— YES YES —— —— 3-10 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
UTEP Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -6 3.35 76 -3.50 7.20 59
CLT Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 6 -3.35 76 3.50 6.85 65
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
UTEP 60.00 Should have lost by 3.35 425 28.33 1 1.00 20.00 FADE
CLT 60.00 Should have won by 3.35 445 31.67 3 2.71 27.00 PLAY
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
UTEP 41.00 —— —— YES YES —— YES 3-11 10-99
CLT 35.00 YES YES —— —— YES —— 5-11 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
LSU Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -4 13.59 38 -8.00 3.60 75
AUB Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 4 -13.59 38 8.00 6.26 70
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
LSU 48.34 Should have lost by 13.59 270 17.37 1 1.00 19.00 BAD
AUB 48.34 Should have won by 13.59 438 30.96 4 3.33 20.00 GOOD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
LSU 21.00 —— YES —— YES —— YES 5-15 10-94
AUB 17.00 YES —— YES —— YES —— 6-15 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
CIN Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -10 -8.49 52 -10.50 6.17 59
TLSA Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 10 8.49 52 10.50 3.43 83
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
CIN 45.39 Should have won by 8.49 364 26.94 1 1.00 15.00 BAD
TLSA 45.39 Should have lost by 8.49 285 18.45 2 1.13 23.00 GOOD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
CIN 31.00 YES —— YES YES —— —— 2-14 11-109
TLSA 21.00 —— YES —— —— YES YES 10-19 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
GASO Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 4 7.79 64 10.00 6.24 74
CCU Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -4 -7.79 64 -10.00 7.46 65
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
GASO 65.73 Should have lost by 7.79 462 28.97 1 0.17 24.00 GOOD
CCU 65.73 Should have won by 7.79 485 36.76 1 1.00 23.00 BAD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
GASO 30.00 —— YES —— YES YES —— 8-17 6-60
CCU 34.00 YES —— YES —— —— —— 7-12 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
ULM Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 17 6.05 73 7.50 5.09 57
ARST Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -17 -6.05 73 -7.50 4.61 77
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
ULM 44.83 Should have lost by 6.05 290 19.39 1 0.38 18.00 PLAY
ARST 44.83 Should have won by 6.05 355 25.44 0 0.00 22.00 FADE
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
ULM 28.00 —— —— YES —— —— —— 3-12 10-105
ARST 45.00 YES YES —— YES YES YES 9-17 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
TROY Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -7 8.74 61 5.00 5.46 76
WKU Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 7 -8.74 61 -5.00 5.53 85
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
TROY 61.24 Should have lost by 8.74 415 26.25 1 0.58 26.00 FADE
WKU 61.24 Should have won by 8.74 470 34.99 2 2.00 28.00 PLAY
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
TROY 34.00 —— —— —— YES —— YES 5-14 7-70
WKU 27.00 YES YES YES —— YES —— 7-16 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
WVU Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 18 13.10 58 7.50 4.03 78
TEX Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -18 -13.10 58 -7.50 7.43 60
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
WVU 53.03 Should have lost by 13.10 314 19.97 0 -0.63 22.00 BAD
TEX 53.03 Should have won by 13.10 446 33.06 0 0.00 25.00 GOOD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
WVU 20.00 —— YES —— YES —— —— 9-18 4-48
TEX 38.00 YES —— YES —— YES YES 5-9 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
IU Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 14 11.74 56 6.50 4.33 67
NEB Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -14 -11.74 56 -6.50 4.94 78
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
IU 46.94 Should have lost by 11.74 290 17.60 1 0.46 14.00 BAD
NEB 46.94 Should have won by 11.74 385 29.34 2 2.00 22.00 GOOD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
IU 21.00 —— —— —— YES —— —— 2-15 11-92
NEB 35.00 YES YES YES —— YES YES 7-16 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
UVA Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 21 2.63 55 2.00 4.76 62
DUKE Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -21 -2.63 55 -2.00 5.24 72
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
UVA 46.43 Should have lost by 2.63 295 21.90 2 1.83 19.00 BAD
DUKE 46.43 Should have won by 2.63 377 24.53 0 0.00 26.00 GOOD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
UVA 17.00 —— —— —— —— —— —— 8-14 6-87
DUKE 38.00 YES YES YES YES YES YES 5-13 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
SJSU Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -17 -13.26 49 -2.50 6.00 76
WYO Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 17 13.26 49 2.50 4.77 53
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
SJSU 49.15 Should have won by 13.26 456 31.21 0 0.00 25.00 GOOD
WYO 49.15 Should have lost by 13.26 253 17.94 1 0.79 10.00 BAD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
SJSU 33.00 YES YES YES YES YES YES 6-15 5-40
WYO 16.00 —— —— —— —— —— —— 5-14 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
UAB Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 4 -17.08 52 -10.50 5.54 65
RICE Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -4 17.08 52 10.50 3.94 53
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
UAB 40.21 Should have won by 17.08 360 28.64 2 2.00 23.00 PLAY
RICE 40.21 Should have lost by 17.08 209 11.57 1 0.13 14.00 FADE
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
UAB 24.00 YES YES YES —— YES YES 7-13 12-116
RICE 28.00 —— —— —— YES —— —— 5-12 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
FIU Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -14 -1.57 28 16.00 5.29 65
NMSU Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 14 1.57 28 -16.00 3.81 58
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
FIU 38.50 Should have won by 1.57 344 20.03 0 -1.33 21.00 GOOD
NMSU 38.50 Should have lost by 1.57 221 18.47 0 0.00 14.00 BAD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
FIU 21.00 YES YES YES YES YES YES 6-11 5-48
NMSU 7.00 —— —— —— —— —— —— 4-14 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
COLO Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 23 33.13 63 18.00 5.57 61
ARIZ Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -23 -33.13 63 -18.00 8.11 83
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
COLO 73.85 Should have lost by 33.13 340 20.36 1 -0.50 19.00 BAD
ARIZ 73.85 Should have won by 33.13 673 53.49 0 0.00 36.00 GOOD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
COLO 20.00 —— —— —— YES —— —— 5-12 4-30
ARIZ 43.00 YES YES YES —— YES YES 9-14 11-91
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Points Scored Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
EWU Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 35 41.05 69 32.00 4.84 85
FLA Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -35 -41.05 69 -32.00 13.32 50
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
EWU 82.16 Should have lost by 41.05 411 20.55 1 -1.67 27.00 BAD
FLA 82.16 Should have won by 41.05 666 61.60 1 1.00 20.00 GOOD
                   
  Final Score Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
EWU 17.00 —— YES —— YES YES YES 8-18 5-45
FLA 52.00 YES —— YES —— —— —— 3-6 11-91

Market pre game expectations, Actual win%, Post game win expectations

  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
WASH 57.80% 29.993% 49.1028%
UCLA 42.20% 70.007% 50.8972%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
USU 4.41% 21.567% 28.2602%
BYU 95.59% 78.433% 71.7398%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
SCST 0.40% 0.436% 1.3902%
SC 99.60% 99.564% 98.6098%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
UNM 17.93% 23.536% 23.8808%
UNLV 82.07% 76.464% 76.1192%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
TULN 35.92% 57.798% 25.1119%
HOU 64.08% 42.202% 74.8881%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
UTSA 61.60% 83.735% 88.7567%
MTSU 38.40% 16.265% 11.2433%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
SDSU 34.70% 7.456% 4.5189%
BOIS 65.30% 92.544% 95.4811%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
UGA 97.90% 60.345% 98.8471%
MIZ 2.10% 39.655% 1.1529%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
WAG 0.02% 0.005% 0.0001%
SYR 99.98% 99.995% 99.9999%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
ALA 86.75% 93.425% 93.3583%
ARK 13.25% 6.575% 6.6417%
       
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
RUTG 0.48% 0.527% 0.9796%
OSU 99.52% 99.473% 99.0204%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
MICH 75.44% 80.302% 69.9873%
IOWA 24.56% 19.698% 30.0127%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
NCST 33.50% 25.600% 39.0819%
CLEM 66.50% 74.400% 60.9181%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
ASU 5.41% 13.248% 5.1921%
USC 94.59% 86.752% 94.8079%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
UK 33.50% 42.202% 34.1160%
MISS 66.50% 57.798% 65.8840%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
OKST 43.49% 76.464% 28.2132%
BAY 56.51% 23.536% 71.7868%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
NU 4.72% 25.600% 5.5968%
PSU 95.28% 74.400% 94.4032%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
ORST 24.56% 4.410% 65.8473%
UTAH 75.44% 95.590% 34.1527%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
STAN 12.56% 11.893% 6.6781%
ORE 87.44% 88.107% 93.3219%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
TA&M 39.65% 11.893% 44.3359%
MSST 60.35% 88.107% 55.6641%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
OU 37.15% 2.104% 6.6757%
TCU 62.85% 97.896% 93.3243%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
PUR 27.75% 74.400% 48.5844%
MINN 72.25% 25.600% 51.4156%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
WAKE 35.92% 74.400% 39.2045%
FSU 64.08% 25.600% 60.7955%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
GT 7.93% 62.849% 6.7424%
PITT 92.07% 37.151% 93.2576%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
TTU 31.14% 27.754% 56.2128%
KSU 68.86% 72.246% 43.7872%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
GAST 28.86% 86.752% 43.6189%
ARMY 71.14% 13.248% 56.3811%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
ILL 33.50% 94.223% 44.6912%
WISC 66.50% 5.777% 55.3088%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
LOU 81.20% 47.386% 41.5697%
BC 18.80% 52.614% 58.4303%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
NAVY 17.93% 42.202% 11.6016%
AFA 82.07% 57.798% 88.3984%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
TEM 11.25% 8.425% 32.1131%
MEM 88.75% 91.575% 67.8869%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
TXST 7.46% 3.832% 5.5277%
JMU 92.54% 96.168% 94.4723%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
MASS 9.48% 32.311% 10.6415%
EMU 90.52% 67.689% 89.3585%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
NIU 42.20% 34.700% 53.2344%
BALL 57.80% 65.300% 46.7656%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
ECU 74.40% 90.515% 83.5799%
USF 25.60% 9.485% 16.4201%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
ISU 59.08% 42.202% 75.1541%
KU 40.92% 57.798% 24.8459%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
FRES 93.42% 37.151% 56.5889%
CONN 6.58% 62.849% 43.4111%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
MSU 31.14% 17.930% 15.0630%
MD 68.86% 82.070% 84.9370%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
VT 26.67% 2.104% 8.6228%
UNC 73.33% 97.896% 91.3772%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
CMU 33.50% 8.425% 24.4617%
TOL 66.50% 91.575% 75.5383%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
BGSU 72.25% 57.798% 55.3102%
AKR 27.75% 42.202% 44.6898%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
M-OH 42.20% 39.655% 55.6817%
BUFF 57.80% 60.345% 44.3183%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
OHIO 19.70% 32.311% 1.4154%
KENT 80.30% 67.689% 98.5846%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
CIT 0.44% 0.066% 0.2652%
APP 99.56% 99.934% 99.7348%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
GWEB 2.10% 8.425% 3.3312%
MRSH 97.90% 91.575% 96.6688%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
FAU 57.80% 13.248% 45.8807%
UNT 42.20% 86.752% 54.1193%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
USA 71.14% 57.798% 70.0371%
UL 28.86% 42.202% 29.9629%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
CAL 39.65% 10.640% 19.2880%
WSU 60.35% 89.360% 80.7120%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
LIB 59.08% 82.070% 66.3072%
ODU 40.92% 17.930% 33.6928%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
UNH 16.27% 0.763% 23.3907%
WMU 83.73% 99.237% 76.6093%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
UTEP 59.08% 65.300% 41.3123%
CLT 40.92% 34.700% 58.6877%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
LSU 70.01% 60.345% 18.6494%
AUB 29.99% 39.655% 81.3506%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
CIN 75.44% 74.400% 71.1034%
TLSA 24.56% 25.600% 28.8966%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
GASO 25.60% 39.655% 30.4827%
CCU 74.40% 60.345% 69.5173%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
ULM 31.14% 13.248% 34.5743%
ARST 68.86% 86.752% 65.4257%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
TROY 37.15% 67.689% 28.3326%
WKU 62.85% 32.311% 71.6674%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
WVU 31.14% 11.893% 19.5234%
TEX 68.86% 88.107% 80.4766%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
IU 33.50% 17.930% 22.0713%
NEB 66.50% 82.070% 77.9287%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
UVA 44.78% 8.425% 43.1566%
DUKE 55.22% 91.575% 56.8434%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
SJSU 56.51% 86.752% 80.7789%
WYO 43.49% 13.248% 19.2211%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
UAB 75.44% 39.655% 86.8577%
RICE 24.56% 60.345% 13.1423%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
FIU 14.70% 82.070% 54.0947%
NMSU 85.30% 17.930% 45.9053%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
COLO 11.89% 6.575% 1.4903%
ARIZ 88.11% 93.425% 98.5097%
       
  Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP.
EWU 1.79% 1.086% 0.3553%
FLA 98.21% 98.914% 99.6447%
Updated: October 4, 2022 — 8:47 pm
© 2018