NCAA Box Score Analysis
The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the:
1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin of victory
So if a team meets or exceeds pre game expectations, by the actual play on the field, they are rewarded. However if they win or lose and are statistically dominated this program will show that.
Key: 1. ATS– Against the spread.
2. Act. Yds vs Act. Spread –How each team did using their yardage stats and turnovers.
3. Game should’ve been.. — A scoring projection based on total yards gained using yards per point.
4. Win Margin—Final game margin.
5. Yds/TO spread conv.— A spread projection using total yards gained/allowed and turnovers.
6. Game tot—Acutal game total.
7. Yppt. Total—A total projection of how many points should’ve been scored based on yards.
8. W/L Projection—An estimation of the final score using actual yards and turnover margin. 9. Margin—A number each team “should’ve” won/loss by.
10. Actual Yds—Total yards gained in the game by the offense. 11. Score should’ve been..—A projection for a score based on the game stats and turnovers.
12. TO—Adjusted TO based on actual and pre-game projection.
13. Next Week—A computer generated suggestion for how a team may do next week. (Good, Bad, Play, Fade)
Good—Played as they were projected to do in the game.
Bad—Played below expectations for the game.
Fade—Played well below expectations for the game.
Play—Played better than final score and should be looked at next week.
(Good/Bad/Fade/Play are just suggestions to look at as a guide. Don’t just automatically use them as they are listed. They are to be used to help not as a magic formula)
| Team |
ATS |
Act. yds vs act. spread |
Game should’ve been.. |
Win Margin |
Yds/TO spread conv. |
Points Scored |
Closing Line |
YPP |
OFF Plays |
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| Tulane |
Lost ATS |
Worse than predicted |
Lower Scoring |
18 |
31.52 |
80 |
6.50 |
3.01 |
70 |
| Houston |
Won ATS |
Better than predicted |
Lower Scoring |
-18 |
-31.52 |
80 |
-6.50 |
6.26 |
76 |
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|
Yppt. Total |
W/L Projection |
Margin |
Actual Yds |
Score should’ve been.. |
TO |
Adjusted TO |
1st Downs |
Next Week |
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| Tulane |
48.30 |
Should have lost by |
31.52 |
211 |
8.39 |
0 |
-0.54 |
16.00 |
BAD |
| Houston |
48.30 |
Should have won by |
31.52 |
476 |
39.91 |
5 |
5.00 |
22.00 |
GOOD |
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Final Score |
Total Yards |
Plays Run |
YPP |
Adj TO |
1st Downs |
Rush Att |
3rd Down EFF |
Penalties |
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| Tulane |
31.00 |
—— |
—— |
—— |
YES |
—— |
YES |
4-for-16 |
8-66 |
| Houston |
49.00 |
YES |
YES |
YES |
—— |
YES |
—— |
6-for-13 |
10-84 |
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| Team |
ATS |
Act. yds vs act. spread |
Game should’ve been.. |
Win Margin |
Yds/TO spread conv. |
Points Scored |
Closing Line |
YPP |
OFF Plays |
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| Louisville |
Lost ATS |
Better than predicted |
Lower Scoring |
19 |
-10.17 |
73 |
-4.50 |
5.81 |
81 |
| Georgia Tech |
Won ATS |
Worse than predicted |
Lower Scoring |
-19 |
10.17 |
73 |
4.50 |
8.04 |
56 |
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|
Yppt. Total |
W/L Projection |
Margin |
Actual Yds |
Score should’ve been.. |
TO |
Adjusted TO |
1st Downs |
Next Week |
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| Louisville |
63.62 |
Should have won by |
10.17 |
471 |
36.90 |
3 |
3.00 |
24.00 |
PLAY |
| Georgia Tech |
63.62 |
Should have lost by |
10.17 |
450 |
26.73 |
0 |
-0.38 |
19.00 |
FADE |
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Final Score |
Total Yards |
Plays Run |
YPP |
Adj TO |
1st Downs |
Rush Att |
3rd Down EFF |
Penalties |
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| Louisville |
27.00 |
YES |
YES |
—— |
—— |
YES |
YES |
9-for-17 |
9-78 |
| Georgia Tech |
46.00 |
—— |
—— |
YES |
YES |
—— |
—— |
6-for-12 |
7-55 |
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| Team |
ATS |
Act. yds vs act. spread |
Game should’ve been.. |
Win Margin |
Yds/TO spread conv. |
Points Scored |
Closing Line |
YPP |
OFF Plays |
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| Mississippi State |
Lost ATS |
Better than predicted |
Higher Scoring |
22 |
-18.37 |
26 |
3.20 |
3.52 |
84 |
| Kentucky |
Won ATS |
Worse than predicted |
Higher Scoring |
-22 |
18.37 |
26 |
-3.20 |
2.96 |
53 |
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|
Yppt. Total |
W/L Projection |
Margin |
Actual Yds |
Score should’ve been.. |
TO |
Adjusted TO |
1st Downs |
Next Week |
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| Mississippi State |
31.04 |
Should have won by |
18.37 |
296 |
24.71 |
6 |
5.73 |
18.00 |
PLAY |
| Kentucky |
31.04 |
Should have lost by |
18.37 |
157 |
6.34 |
1 |
1.00 |
10.00 |
FADE |
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Final Score |
Total Yards |
Plays Run |
YPP |
Adj TO |
1st Downs |
Rush Att |
3rd Down EFF |
Penalties |
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| Mississippi State |
2.00 |
YES |
YES |
YES |
—— |
YES |
—— |
3-for-17 |
8-57 |
| Kentucky |
24.00 |
—— |
—— |
—— |
YES |
—— |
YES |
4-for-14 |
3-25 |
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| Team |
ATS |
Act. yds vs act. spread |
Game should’ve been.. |
Win Margin |
Yds/TO spread conv. |
Points Scored |
Closing Line |
YPP |
OFF Plays |
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| Duke |
Won ATS |
Better than predicted |
Higher Scoring |
-14 |
-34.29 |
62 |
-2.50 |
6.32 |
102 |
| Syracuse |
Lost ATS |
Worse than predicted |
Higher Scoring |
14 |
34.29 |
62 |
2.50 |
5.50 |
52 |
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|
Yppt. Total |
W/L Projection |
Margin |
Actual Yds |
Score should’ve been.. |
TO |
Adjusted TO |
1st Downs |
Next Week |
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| Duke |
64.65 |
Should have won by |
34.29 |
645 |
49.47 |
4 |
4.00 |
36.00 |
GOOD |
| Syracuse |
64.65 |
Should have lost by |
34.29 |
286 |
15.18 |
0 |
-0.21 |
11.00 |
BAD |
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Final Score |
Total Yards |
Plays Run |
YPP |
Adj TO |
1st Downs |
Rush Att |
3rd Down EFF |
Penalties |
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| Duke |
38.00 |
YES |
YES |
YES |
—— |
YES |
YES |
12-for-17 |
2-25 |
| Syracuse |
24.00 |
—— |
—— |
—— |
YES |
—— |
—— |
2-for-12 |
5-45 |
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| Team |
ATS |
Act. yds vs act. spread |
Game should’ve been.. |
Win Margin |
Yds/TO spread conv. |
Points Scored |
Closing Line |
YPP |
OFF Plays |
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| Pittsburgh |
Lost ATS |
Worse than predicted |
Lower Scoring |
1 |
-2.26 |
61 |
-6.50 |
4.22 |
88 |
| Boston College |
Won ATS |
Better than predicted |
Lower Scoring |
-1 |
2.26 |
61 |
6.50 |
5.11 |
76 |
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|
Yppt. Total |
W/L Projection |
Margin |
Actual Yds |
Score should’ve been.. |
TO |
Adjusted TO |
1st Downs |
Next Week |
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| Pittsburgh |
52.40 |
Should have won by |
2.26 |
371 |
27.33 |
1 |
1.00 |
24.00 |
BAD |
| Boston College |
52.40 |
Should have lost by |
2.26 |
388 |
25.07 |
1 |
0.46 |
20.00 |
GOOD |
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Final Score |
Total Yards |
Plays Run |
YPP |
Adj TO |
1st Downs |
Rush Att |
3rd Down EFF |
Penalties |
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| Pittsburgh |
30.00 |
—— |
YES |
—— |
—— |
YES |
—— |
4-for-18 |
6-46 |
| Boston College |
31.00 |
YES |
—— |
YES |
YES |
—— |
YES |
8-for-18 |
7-69 |
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| Team |
ATS |
Act. yds vs act. spread |
Game should’ve been.. |
Win Margin |
Yds/TO spread conv. |
Points Scored |
Closing Line |
YPP |
OFF Plays |
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| NC State |
Won ATS |
Worse than predicted |
Lower Scoring |
-17 |
12.63 |
59 |
7.00 |
5.42 |
67 |
| Virginia |
Lost ATS |
Better than predicted |
Lower Scoring |
17 |
-12.63 |
59 |
-7.00 |
4.35 |
93 |
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|
Yppt. Total |
W/L Projection |
Margin |
Actual Yds |
Score should’ve been.. |
TO |
Adjusted TO |
1st Downs |
Next Week |
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| NC State |
53.23 |
Should have lost by |
12.63 |
363 |
20.30 |
1 |
0.42 |
17.00 |
FADE |
| Virginia |
53.23 |
Should have won by |
12.63 |
405 |
32.93 |
4 |
4.00 |
26.00 |
PLAY |
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Final Score |
Total Yards |
Plays Run |
YPP |
Adj TO |
1st Downs |
Rush Att |
3rd Down EFF |
Penalties |
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| NC State |
38.00 |
—— |
—— |
YES |
YES |
—— |
YES |
3-for-13 |
11-100 |
| Virginia |
21.00 |
YES |
YES |
—— |
—— |
YES |
—— |
4-for-18 |
7-81 |
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| Team |
ATS |
Act. yds vs act. spread |
Game should’ve been.. |
Win Margin |
Yds/TO spread conv. |
Points Scored |
Closing Line |
YPP |
OFF Plays |
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| East Carolina |
Won ATS |
Better than predicted |
Lower Scoring |
-20 |
4.74 |
68 |
5.50 |
5.92 |
73 |
| South Florida |
Lost ATS |
Worse than predicted |
Lower Scoring |
20 |
-4.74 |
68 |
-5.50 |
5.53 |
72 |
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|
Yppt. Total |
W/L Projection |
Margin |
Actual Yds |
Score should’ve been.. |
TO |
Adjusted TO |
1st Downs |
Next Week |
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| East Carolina |
57.23 |
Should have lost by |
4.74 |
432 |
26.25 |
0 |
-0.46 |
21.00 |
GOOD |
| South Florida |
57.23 |
Should have won by |
4.74 |
398 |
30.99 |
2 |
2.00 |
22.00 |
BAD |
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Final Score |
Total Yards |
Plays Run |
YPP |
Adj TO |
1st Downs |
Rush Att |
3rd Down EFF |
Penalties |
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| East Carolina |
44.00 |
YES |
YES |
YES |
YES |
—— |
YES |
8-for-16 |
3-45 |
| South Florida |
24.00 |
—— |
—— |
—— |
—— |
YES |
—— |
5-for-13 |
5-66 |
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| Team |
ATS |
Act. yds vs act. spread |
Game should’ve been.. |
Win Margin |
Yds/TO spread conv. |
Points Scored |
Closing Line |
YPP |
OFF Plays |
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| Miami |
Lost ATS |
Worse than predicted |
Lower Scoring |
25 |
27.40 |
59 |
14.50 |
3.89 |
54 |
| Clemson |
Won ATS |
Better than predicted |
Lower Scoring |
-25 |
-27.40 |
59 |
-14.50 |
6.25 |
88 |
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|
Yppt. Total |
W/L Projection |
Margin |
Actual Yds |
Score should’ve been.. |
TO |
Adjusted TO |
1st Downs |
Next Week |
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| Miami |
55.31 |
Should have lost by |
27.40 |
210 |
13.96 |
3 |
1.79 |
9.00 |
BAD |
| Clemson |
55.31 |
Should have won by |
27.40 |
550 |
41.35 |
1 |
1.00 |
34.00 |
GOOD |
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Final Score |
Total Yards |
Plays Run |
YPP |
Adj TO |
1st Downs |
Rush Att |
3rd Down EFF |
Penalties |
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| Miami |
17.00 |
—— |
—— |
—— |
—— |
—— |
—— |
4-for-15 |
15-135 |
| Clemson |
42.00 |
YES |
YES |
YES |
YES |
YES |
YES |
8-for-17 |
8-85 |
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| Team |
ATS |
Act. yds vs act. spread |
Game should’ve been.. |
Win Margin |
Yds/TO spread conv. |
Points Scored |
Closing Line |
YPP |
OFF Plays |
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| Virginia Tech |
Lost ATS |
Worse than predicted |
Lower Scoring |
11 |
13.25 |
101 |
3.00 |
6.43 |
77 |
| North Carolina |
Won ATS |
Better than predicted |
Lower Scoring |
-11 |
-13.25 |
101 |
-3.00 |
9.94 |
66 |
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|
Yppt. Total |
W/L Projection |
Margin |
Actual Yds |
Score should’ve been.. |
TO |
Adjusted TO |
1st Downs |
Next Week |
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| Virginia Tech |
79.64 |
Should have lost by |
13.25 |
495 |
33.20 |
0 |
-0.25 |
25.00 |
BAD |
| North Carolina |
79.64 |
Should have won by |
13.25 |
656 |
46.45 |
0 |
0.00 |
31.00 |
GOOD |
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Final Score |
Total Yards |
Plays Run |
YPP |
Adj TO |
1st Downs |
Rush Att |
3rd Down EFF |
Penalties |
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| Virginia Tech |
45.00 |
—— |
YES |
—— |
YES |
—— |
YES |
6-for-14 |
4-26 |
| North Carolina |
56.00 |
YES |
—— |
YES |
—— |
YES |
—— |
6-for-10 |
10-87 |
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| Team |
ATS |
Act. yds vs act. spread |
Game should’ve been.. |
Win Margin |
Yds/TO spread conv. |
Points Scored |
Closing Line |
YPP |
OFF Plays |
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| Tennessee |
Lost ATS |
Worse than predicted |
Lower Scoring |
23 |
19.29 |
65 |
12.50 |
3.40 |
63 |
| Georgia |
Won ATS |
Better than predicted |
Lower Scoring |
-23 |
-19.29 |
65 |
-12.50 |
6.07 |
76 |
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|
Yppt. Total |
W/L Projection |
Margin |
Actual Yds |
Score should’ve been.. |
TO |
Adjusted TO |
1st Downs |
Next Week |
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| Tennessee |
48.38 |
Should have lost by |
19.29 |
214 |
14.55 |
3 |
1.96 |
13.00 |
BAD |
| Georgia |
48.38 |
Should have won by |
19.29 |
461 |
33.83 |
1 |
1.00 |
24.00 |
GOOD |
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Final Score |
Total Yards |
Plays Run |
YPP |
Adj TO |
1st Downs |
Rush Att |
3rd Down EFF |
Penalties |
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| Tennessee |
21.00 |
—— |
—— |
—— |
—— |
—— |
—— |
4-for-17 |
10-84 |
| Georgia |
44.00 |
YES |
YES |
YES |
YES |
YES |
YES |
8-for-16 |
6-70 |
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| Team |
ATS |
Act. yds vs act. spread |
Game should’ve been.. |
Win Margin |
Yds/TO spread conv. |
Points Scored |
Closing Line |
YPP |
OFF Plays |
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| Texas |
Lost ATS |
Worse than predicted |
Lower Scoring |
8 |
4.61 |
98 |
3.00 |
4.92 |
87 |
| Oklahoma |
Won ATS |
Better than predicted |
Lower Scoring |
-8 |
-4.61 |
98 |
-3.00 |
4.84 |
97 |
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|
Yppt. Total |
W/L Projection |
Margin |
Actual Yds |
Score should’ve been.. |
TO |
Adjusted TO |
1st Downs |
Next Week |
|
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| Texas |
61.95 |
Should have lost by |
4.61 |
428 |
28.67 |
3 |
2.75 |
27.00 |
BAD |
| Oklahoma |
61.95 |
Should have won by |
4.61 |
469 |
33.28 |
3 |
3.00 |
30.00 |
GOOD |
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Final Score |
Total Yards |
Plays Run |
YPP |
Adj TO |
1st Downs |
Rush Att |
3rd Down EFF |
Penalties |
|
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|
| Texas |
45.00 |
—— |
—— |
YES |
YES |
—— |
—— |
6-for-17 |
11-101 |
| Oklahoma |
53.00 |
YES |
YES |
—— |
—— |
YES |
YES |
8-for-18 |
10-106 |
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| Team |
ATS |
Act. yds vs act. spread |
Game should’ve been.. |
Win Margin |
Yds/TO spread conv. |
Points Scored |
Closing Line |
YPP |
OFF Plays |
|
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| Texas Tech |
Lost ATS |
Worse than predicted |
Higher Scoring |
16 |
24.47 |
46 |
10.00 |
4.82 |
56 |
| Iowa State |
Won ATS |
Better than predicted |
Higher Scoring |
-16 |
-24.47 |
46 |
-10.00 |
6.00 |
86 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Yppt. Total |
W/L Projection |
Margin |
Actual Yds |
Score should’ve been.. |
TO |
Adjusted TO |
1st Downs |
Next Week |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Texas Tech |
55.64 |
Should have lost by |
24.47 |
270 |
15.59 |
0 |
-0.83 |
23.00 |
BAD |
| Iowa State |
55.64 |
Should have won by |
24.47 |
516 |
40.06 |
1 |
1.00 |
15.00 |
GOOD |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Score |
Total Yards |
Plays Run |
YPP |
Adj TO |
1st Downs |
Rush Att |
3rd Down EFF |
Penalties |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Texas Tech |
15.00 |
—— |
—— |
—— |
YES |
YES |
—— |
0-for-10 |
4-33 |
| Iowa State |
31.00 |
YES |
YES |
YES |
—— |
—— |
YES |
6-for-14 |
6-40 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Team |
ATS |
Act. yds vs act. spread |
Game should’ve been.. |
Win Margin |
Yds/TO spread conv. |
Points Scored |
Closing Line |
YPP |
OFF Plays |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Alabama |
Lost ATS |
Better than predicted |
Lower Scoring |
-15 |
-27.47 |
111 |
-24.00 |
10.18 |
71 |
| Mississippi |
Won ATS |
Worse than predicted |
Lower Scoring |
15 |
27.47 |
111 |
24.00 |
7.52 |
86 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Yppt. Total |
W/L Projection |
Margin |
Actual Yds |
Score should’ve been.. |
TO |
Adjusted TO |
1st Downs |
Next Week |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Alabama |
98.04 |
Should have won by |
27.47 |
723 |
62.75 |
1 |
1.00 |
37.00 |
PLAY |
| Mississippi |
98.04 |
Should have lost by |
27.47 |
647 |
35.28 |
0 |
-2.00 |
31.00 |
FADE |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Score |
Total Yards |
Plays Run |
YPP |
Adj TO |
1st Downs |
Rush Att |
3rd Down EFF |
Penalties |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Alabama |
63.00 |
YES |
—— |
YES |
—— |
YES |
—— |
6-for-7 |
8-76 |
| Mississippi |
48.00 |
—— |
YES |
—— |
YES |
—— |
YES |
9-for-17 |
6-67 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Team |
ATS |
Act. yds vs act. spread |
Game should’ve been.. |
Win Margin |
Yds/TO spread conv. |
Points Scored |
Closing Line |
YPP |
OFF Plays |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Arkansas |
Won ATS |
Better than predicted |
Higher Scoring |
2 |
8.60 |
58 |
13.50 |
6.07 |
72 |
| Auburn |
Lost ATS |
Worse than predicted |
Higher Scoring |
-2 |
-8.60 |
58 |
-13.50 |
6.37 |
70 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Yppt. Total |
W/L Projection |
Margin |
Actual Yds |
Score should’ve been.. |
TO |
Adjusted TO |
1st Downs |
Next Week |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Arkansas |
61.49 |
Should have lost by |
8.60 |
437 |
26.45 |
0 |
-1.13 |
22.00 |
GOOD |
| Auburn |
61.49 |
Should have won by |
8.60 |
446 |
35.04 |
0 |
0.00 |
24.00 |
BAD |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Score |
Total Yards |
Plays Run |
YPP |
Adj TO |
1st Downs |
Rush Att |
3rd Down EFF |
Penalties |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Arkansas |
28.00 |
—— |
YES |
—— |
YES |
—— |
YES |
6-for-15 |
6-26 |
| Auburn |
30.00 |
YES |
—— |
YES |
—— |
YES |
—— |
6-for-15 |
7-52 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Team |
ATS |
Act. yds vs act. spread |
Game should’ve been.. |
Win Margin |
Yds/TO spread conv. |
Points Scored |
Closing Line |
YPP |
OFF Plays |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Florida |
Lost ATS |
Worse than predicted |
Lower Scoring |
3 |
6.04 |
79 |
-6.00 |
7.18 |
56 |
| Texas A&M |
Won ATS |
Better than predicted |
Lower Scoring |
-3 |
-6.04 |
79 |
6.00 |
7.34 |
74 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Yppt. Total |
W/L Projection |
Margin |
Actual Yds |
Score should’ve been.. |
TO |
Adjusted TO |
1st Downs |
Next Week |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Florida |
64.88 |
Should have lost by |
6.04 |
402 |
29.42 |
1 |
1.00 |
22.00 |
BAD |
| Texas A&M |
64.88 |
Should have won by |
6.04 |
543 |
35.46 |
1 |
0.50 |
32.00 |
GOOD |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Score |
Total Yards |
Plays Run |
YPP |
Adj TO |
1st Downs |
Rush Att |
3rd Down EFF |
Penalties |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Florida |
38.00 |
—— |
—— |
—— |
—— |
—— |
—— |
6-for-9 |
5-32 |
| Texas A&M |
41.00 |
YES |
YES |
YES |
YES |
YES |
YES |
12-for-15 |
5-67 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Team |
ATS |
Act. yds vs act. spread |
Game should’ve been.. |
Win Margin |
Yds/TO spread conv. |
Points Scored |
Closing Line |
YPP |
OFF Plays |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Kansas State |
Won ATS |
Better than predicted |
Higher Scoring |
-7 |
8.83 |
35 |
11.00 |
5.07 |
57 |
| Texas Christian |
Lost ATS |
Worse than predicted |
Higher Scoring |
7 |
-8.83 |
35 |
-11.00 |
4.56 |
75 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Yppt. Total |
W/L Projection |
Margin |
Actual Yds |
Score should’ve been.. |
TO |
Adjusted TO |
1st Downs |
Next Week |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Kansas State |
44.05 |
Should have lost by |
8.83 |
289 |
17.61 |
1 |
0.08 |
12.00 |
GOOD |
| Texas Christian |
44.05 |
Should have won by |
8.83 |
342 |
26.44 |
1 |
1.00 |
20.00 |
BAD |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Score |
Total Yards |
Plays Run |
YPP |
Adj TO |
1st Downs |
Rush Att |
3rd Down EFF |
Penalties |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Kansas State |
21.00 |
—— |
—— |
YES |
YES |
—— |
YES |
3-for-13 |
4-45 |
| Texas Christian |
14.00 |
YES |
YES |
—— |
—— |
YES |
—— |
5-for-17 |
5-38 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Team |
ATS |
Act. yds vs act. spread |
Game should’ve been.. |
Win Margin |
Yds/TO spread conv. |
Points Scored |
Closing Line |
YPP |
OFF Plays |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| South Carolina |
Won ATS |
Better than predicted |
Higher Scoring |
-34 |
-21.70 |
48 |
-14.00 |
7.70 |
63 |
| Vanderbilt |
Lost ATS |
Worse than predicted |
Higher Scoring |
34 |
21.70 |
48 |
14.00 |
4.15 |
60 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Yppt. Total |
W/L Projection |
Margin |
Actual Yds |
Score should’ve been.. |
TO |
Adjusted TO |
1st Downs |
Next Week |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| South Carolina |
52.68 |
Should have won by |
21.70 |
485 |
37.19 |
1 |
1.00 |
18.00 |
GOOD |
| Vanderbilt |
52.68 |
Should have lost by |
21.70 |
249 |
15.49 |
2 |
0.83 |
15.00 |
BAD |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Score |
Total Yards |
Plays Run |
YPP |
Adj TO |
1st Downs |
Rush Att |
3rd Down EFF |
Penalties |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| South Carolina |
41.00 |
YES |
YES |
YES |
—— |
YES |
YES |
6-for-14 |
4-20 |
| Vanderbilt |
7.00 |
—— |
—— |
—— |
YES |
—— |
—— |
1-for-11 |
2-21 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Team |
ATS |
Act. yds vs act. spread |
Game should’ve been.. |
Win Margin |
Yds/TO spread conv. |
Points Scored |
Closing Line |
YPP |
OFF Plays |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Texas State |
Lost ATS |
Worse than predicted |
Lower Scoring |
20 |
17.44 |
54 |
7.00 |
3.97 |
66 |
| Troy |
Won ATS |
Better than predicted |
Lower Scoring |
-20 |
-17.44 |
54 |
-7.00 |
6.13 |
80 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Yppt. Total |
W/L Projection |
Margin |
Actual Yds |
Score should’ve been.. |
TO |
Adjusted TO |
1st Downs |
Next Week |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Texas State |
52.74 |
Should have lost by |
17.44 |
262 |
17.65 |
1 |
0.42 |
16.00 |
BAD |
| Troy |
52.74 |
Should have won by |
17.44 |
490 |
35.09 |
0 |
0.00 |
26.00 |
GOOD |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Score |
Total Yards |
Plays Run |
YPP |
Adj TO |
1st Downs |
Rush Att |
3rd Down EFF |
Penalties |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Texas State |
17.00 |
—— |
—— |
—— |
—— |
—— |
YES |
2-for-15 |
7-66 |
| Troy |
37.00 |
YES |
YES |
YES |
YES |
YES |
—— |
7-for-17 |
6-72 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Team |
ATS |
Act. yds vs act. spread |
Game should’ve been.. |
Win Margin |
Yds/TO spread conv. |
Points Scored |
Closing Line |
YPP |
OFF Plays |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| UL Monroe |
Lost ATS |
Worse than predicted |
Lower Scoring |
33 |
19.86 |
47 |
17.00 |
3.25 |
61 |
| Liberty |
Won ATS |
Better than predicted |
Lower Scoring |
-33 |
-19.86 |
47 |
-17.00 |
5.71 |
70 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Yppt. Total |
W/L Projection |
Margin |
Actual Yds |
Score should’ve been.. |
TO |
Adjusted TO |
1st Downs |
Next Week |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| UL Monroe |
43.47 |
Should have lost by |
19.86 |
198 |
11.81 |
3 |
1.58 |
11.00 |
BAD |
| Liberty |
43.47 |
Should have won by |
19.86 |
400 |
31.67 |
2 |
2.00 |
20.00 |
GOOD |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Score |
Total Yards |
Plays Run |
YPP |
Adj TO |
1st Downs |
Rush Att |
3rd Down EFF |
Penalties |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| UL Monroe |
7.00 |
—— |
—— |
—— |
YES |
—— |
—— |
1-for-16 |
11-81 |
| Liberty |
40.00 |
YES |
YES |
YES |
—— |
YES |
YES |
8-for-17 |
7-50 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Team |
ATS |
Act. yds vs act. spread |
Game should’ve been.. |
Win Margin |
Yds/TO spread conv. |
Points Scored |
Closing Line |
YPP |
OFF Plays |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Texas-San Antonio |
Won ATS |
Better than predicted |
Higher Scoring |
7 |
28.62 |
47 |
35.00 |
5.89 |
61 |
| Brigham Young |
Lost ATS |
Worse than predicted |
Higher Scoring |
-7 |
-28.62 |
47 |
-35.00 |
6.91 |
68 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Yppt. Total |
W/L Projection |
Margin |
Actual Yds |
Score should’ve been.. |
TO |
Adjusted TO |
1st Downs |
Next Week |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Texas-San Antonio |
62.67 |
Should have lost by |
28.62 |
359 |
17.03 |
1 |
-1.92 |
17.00 |
GOOD |
| Brigham Young |
62.67 |
Should have won by |
28.62 |
470 |
45.64 |
1 |
1.00 |
22.00 |
BAD |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Score |
Total Yards |
Plays Run |
YPP |
Adj TO |
1st Downs |
Rush Att |
3rd Down EFF |
Penalties |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Texas-San Antonio |
20.00 |
—— |
—— |
—— |
YES |
—— |
—— |
4-for-13 |
9-79 |
| Brigham Young |
27.00 |
YES |
YES |
YES |
—— |
YES |
YES |
7-for-14 |
7-55 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Team |
ATS |
Act. yds vs act. spread |
Game should’ve been.. |
Win Margin |
Yds/TO spread conv. |
Points Scored |
Closing Line |
YPP |
OFF Plays |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Temple |
Lost ATS |
Better than predicted |
Lower Scoring |
2 |
-11.33 |
60 |
-4.00 |
6.36 |
64 |
| Navy |
Won ATS |
Worse than predicted |
Lower Scoring |
-2 |
11.33 |
60 |
4.00 |
5.02 |
60 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Yppt. Total |
W/L Projection |
Margin |
Actual Yds |
Score should’ve been.. |
TO |
Adjusted TO |
1st Downs |
Next Week |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Temple |
49.07 |
Should have won by |
11.33 |
407 |
30.20 |
1 |
1.00 |
25.00 |
PLAY |
| Navy |
49.07 |
Should have lost by |
11.33 |
301 |
18.87 |
0 |
-0.33 |
18.00 |
FADE |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Score |
Total Yards |
Plays Run |
YPP |
Adj TO |
1st Downs |
Rush Att |
3rd Down EFF |
Penalties |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Temple |
29.00 |
YES |
YES |
YES |
—— |
YES |
—— |
8-for-12 |
4-30 |
| Navy |
31.00 |
—— |
—— |
—— |
YES |
—— |
YES |
8-for-14 |
4-50 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Team |
ATS |
Act. yds vs act. spread |
Game should’ve been.. |
Win Margin |
Yds/TO spread conv. |
Points Scored |
Closing Line |
YPP |
OFF Plays |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Middle Tennessee |
Won ATS |
Better than predicted |
Lower Scoring |
-3 |
-3.90 |
59 |
6.50 |
5.05 |
80 |
| Florida International |
Lost ATS |
Worse than predicted |
Lower Scoring |
3 |
3.90 |
59 |
-6.50 |
5.05 |
65 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Yppt. Total |
W/L Projection |
Margin |
Actual Yds |
Score should’ve been.. |
TO |
Adjusted TO |
1st Downs |
Next Week |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Middle Tennessee |
50.35 |
Should have won by |
3.90 |
404 |
27.13 |
2 |
1.46 |
23.00 |
GOOD |
| Florida International |
50.35 |
Should have lost by |
3.90 |
328 |
23.22 |
1 |
1.00 |
15.00 |
BAD |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Score |
Total Yards |
Plays Run |
YPP |
Adj TO |
1st Downs |
Rush Att |
3rd Down EFF |
Penalties |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Middle Tennessee |
31.00 |
YES |
YES |
YES |
—— |
YES |
—— |
6-for-15 |
6-55 |
| Florida International |
28.00 |
—— |
—— |
—— |
YES |
—— |
YES |
8-for-18 |
4-25 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Team |
ATS |
Act. yds vs act. spread |
Game should’ve been.. |
Win Margin |
Yds/TO spread conv. |
Points Scored |
Closing Line |
YPP |
OFF Plays |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Texas El Paso |
Won ATS |
Better than predicted |
Lower Scoring |
4 |
-2.17 |
38 |
14.50 |
4.03 |
66 |
| Louisiana Tech |
Lost ATS |
Worse than predicted |
Lower Scoring |
-4 |
2.17 |
38 |
-14.50 |
3.00 |
70 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Yppt. Total |
W/L Projection |
Margin |
Actual Yds |
Score should’ve been.. |
TO |
Adjusted TO |
1st Downs |
Next Week |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Texas El Paso |
32.77 |
Should have won by |
2.17 |
266 |
17.47 |
2 |
0.79 |
14.00 |
GOOD |
| Louisiana Tech |
32.77 |
Should have lost by |
2.17 |
210 |
15.30 |
0 |
0.00 |
16.00 |
BAD |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Score |
Total Yards |
Plays Run |
YPP |
Adj TO |
1st Downs |
Rush Att |
3rd Down EFF |
Penalties |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Texas El Paso |
17.00 |
YES |
—— |
YES |
—— |
—— |
—— |
4-for-14 |
12-128 |
| Louisiana Tech |
21.00 |
—— |
YES |
—— |
YES |
YES |
YES |
7-for-18 |
3-35 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Team |
ATS |
Act. yds vs act. spread |
Game should’ve been.. |
Win Margin |
Yds/TO spread conv. |
Points Scored |
Closing Line |
YPP |
OFF Plays |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Florida State |
Won ATS |
Worse than predicted |
Higher Scoring |
16 |
25.78 |
68 |
21.00 |
5.70 |
71 |
| Notre Dame |
Lost ATS |
Better than predicted |
Higher Scoring |
-16 |
-25.78 |
68 |
-21.00 |
8.27 |
67 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Yppt. Total |
W/L Projection |
Margin |
Actual Yds |
Score should’ve been.. |
TO |
Adjusted TO |
1st Downs |
Next Week |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Florida State |
69.08 |
Should have lost by |
25.78 |
405 |
21.65 |
1 |
-0.75 |
18.00 |
FADE |
| Notre Dame |
69.08 |
Should have won by |
25.78 |
554 |
47.43 |
2 |
2.00 |
25.00 |
PLAY |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Score |
Total Yards |
Plays Run |
YPP |
Adj TO |
1st Downs |
Rush Att |
3rd Down EFF |
Penalties |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Florida State |
26.00 |
—— |
YES |
—— |
YES |
—— |
—— |
2-for-14 |
7-59 |
| Notre Dame |
42.00 |
YES |
—— |
YES |
—— |
YES |
YES |
2-for-8 |
4-28 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Team |
ATS |
Act. yds vs act. spread |
Game should’ve been.. |
Win Margin |
Yds/TO spread conv. |
Points Scored |
Closing Line |
YPP |
OFF Plays |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Charlotte |
Won ATS |
Better than predicted |
Higher Scoring |
-28 |
-8.32 |
70 |
-3.00 |
8.56 |
70 |
| North Texas |
Lost ATS |
Worse than predicted |
Higher Scoring |
28 |
8.32 |
70 |
3.00 |
6.84 |
70 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Yppt. Total |
W/L Projection |
Margin |
Actual Yds |
Score should’ve been.. |
TO |
Adjusted TO |
1st Downs |
Next Week |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Charlotte |
74.55 |
Should have won by |
8.32 |
599 |
41.43 |
0 |
0.00 |
24.00 |
GOOD |
| North Texas |
74.55 |
Should have lost by |
8.32 |
479 |
33.11 |
1 |
0.75 |
22.00 |
BAD |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Score |
Total Yards |
Plays Run |
YPP |
Adj TO |
1st Downs |
Rush Att |
3rd Down EFF |
Penalties |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Charlotte |
49.00 |
YES |
—— |
YES |
YES |
YES |
YES |
8-for-16 |
12-75 |
| North Texas |
21.00 |
—— |
—— |
—— |
—— |
—— |
—— |
3-for-13 |
4-35 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Team |
ATS |
Act. yds vs act. spread |
Game should’ve been.. |
Win Margin |
Yds/TO spread conv. |
Points Scored |
Closing Line |
YPP |
OFF Plays |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Marshall |
Won ATS |
Worse than predicted |
Lower Scoring |
-24 |
-0.75 |
52 |
-7.00 |
5.55 |
62 |
| Western Kentucky |
Lost ATS |
Better than predicted |
Lower Scoring |
24 |
0.75 |
52 |
7.00 |
4.59 |
64 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Yppt. Total |
W/L Projection |
Margin |
Actual Yds |
Score should’ve been.. |
TO |
Adjusted TO |
1st Downs |
Next Week |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Marshall |
44.27 |
Should have won by |
0.75 |
344 |
22.51 |
0 |
0.00 |
17.00 |
FADE |
| Western Kentucky |
44.27 |
Should have lost by |
0.75 |
294 |
21.76 |
3 |
2.42 |
15.00 |
PLAY |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Score |
Total Yards |
Plays Run |
YPP |
Adj TO |
1st Downs |
Rush Att |
3rd Down EFF |
Penalties |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Marshall |
38.00 |
YES |
—— |
YES |
YES |
YES |
YES |
6-for-14 |
5-40 |
| Western Kentucky |
14.00 |
—— |
YES |
—— |
—— |
—— |
—— |
2-for-12 |
0-0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Team |
ATS |
Act. yds vs act. spread |
Game should’ve been.. |
Win Margin |
Yds/TO spread conv. |
Points Scored |
Closing Line |
YPP |
OFF Plays |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Louisiana State |
Lost ATS |
Worse than predicted |
Lower Scoring |
4 |
3.62 |
86 |
-14.50 |
7.04 |
68 |
| Missouri |
Won ATS |
Better than predicted |
Lower Scoring |
-4 |
-3.62 |
86 |
14.50 |
8.62 |
68 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Yppt. Total |
W/L Projection |
Margin |
Actual Yds |
Score should’ve been.. |
TO |
Adjusted TO |
1st Downs |
Next Week |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Louisiana State |
73.44 |
Should have lost by |
3.62 |
479 |
34.91 |
0 |
0.00 |
20.00 |
BAD |
| Missouri |
73.44 |
Should have won by |
3.62 |
586 |
38.53 |
3 |
1.79 |
25.00 |
GOOD |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Score |
Total Yards |
Plays Run |
YPP |
Adj TO |
1st Downs |
Rush Att |
3rd Down EFF |
Penalties |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Louisiana State |
41.00 |
—— |
—— |
—— |
YES |
—— |
—— |
0-for-10 |
4-30 |
| Missouri |
45.00 |
YES |
—— |
YES |
—— |
YES |
YES |
5-for-10 |
6-55 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Team |
ATS |
Act. yds vs act. spread |
Game should’ve been.. |
Win Margin |
Yds/TO spread conv. |
Points Scored |
Closing Line |
YPP |
OFF Plays |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Citadel |
Won ATS |
Better than predicted |
Higher Scoring |
5 |
12.57 |
23 |
30.50 |
3.96 |
55 |
| Army |
Lost ATS |
Worse than predicted |
Higher Scoring |
-5 |
-12.57 |
23 |
-30.50 |
3.80 |
60 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Yppt. Total |
W/L Projection |
Margin |
Actual Yds |
Score should’ve been.. |
TO |
Adjusted TO |
1st Downs |
Next Week |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Citadel |
32.33 |
Should have lost by |
12.57 |
218 |
9.88 |
2 |
-0.54 |
10.00 |
GOOD |
| Army |
32.33 |
Should have won by |
12.57 |
228 |
22.45 |
2 |
2.00 |
16.00 |
BAD |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Score |
Total Yards |
Plays Run |
YPP |
Adj TO |
1st Downs |
Rush Att |
3rd Down EFF |
Penalties |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| The Citadel |
9.00 |
—— |
—— |
YES |
YES |
—— |
—— |
3-for-12 |
3-30 |
| Army |
14.00 |
YES |
YES |
—— |
—— |
YES |
YES |
3-for-13 |
6-39 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Team |
ATS |
Act. yds vs act. spread |
Game should’ve been.. |
Win Margin |
Yds/TO spread conv. |
Points Scored |
Closing Line |
YPP |
OFF Plays |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Central Arkansas |
Lost ATS |
Worse than predicted |
Lower Scoring |
23 |
17.22 |
77 |
15.50 |
4.72 |
87 |
| Arkansas St. |
Won ATS |
Better than predicted |
Lower Scoring |
-23 |
-17.22 |
77 |
-15.50 |
7.54 |
76 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Yppt. Total |
W/L Projection |
Margin |
Actual Yds |
Score should’ve been.. |
TO |
Adjusted TO |
1st Downs |
Next Week |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Central Arkansas |
69.85 |
Should have lost by |
17.22 |
411 |
26.32 |
3 |
1.71 |
22.00 |
BAD |
| Arkansas St. |
69.85 |
Should have won by |
17.22 |
573 |
43.54 |
1 |
1.00 |
25.00 |
GOOD |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Score |
Total Yards |
Plays Run |
YPP |
Adj TO |
1st Downs |
Rush Att |
3rd Down EFF |
Penalties |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Central Arkansas |
27.00 |
—— |
YES |
—— |
—— |
—— |
YES |
10-for-20 |
6-33 |
| Arkansas St. |
50.00 |
YES |
—— |
YES |
YES |
YES |
—— |
7-for-17 |
8-75 |
