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10/2 -10/3 NCAA Football Box Score analysis

NCAA Box Score Analysis The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the: 1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin of victory So if a team meets or exceeds pre game expectations, by the actual play on the field, they are rewarded. However if they win or lose and are statistically dominated this program will show that. Key: 1. ATS– Against the spread. 2. Act. Yds vs Act. Spread –How each team did using their yardage stats and turnovers. 3. Game should’ve been.. — A scoring projection based on total yards gained using yards per point. 4. Win Margin—Final game margin. 5. Yds/TO spread conv.— A spread projection using total yards gained/allowed and turnovers. 6. Game tot—Acutal game total. 7. Yppt. Total—A total projection of how many points should’ve been scored based on yards. 8. W/L Projection—An estimation of the final score using actual yards and turnover margin. 9. Margin—A number each team “should’ve” won/loss by. 10. Actual Yds—Total yards gained in the game by the offense. 11. Score should’ve been..—A projection for a score based on the game stats and turnovers. 12. TO—Adjusted TO based on actual and pre-game projection. 13. Next Week—A computer generated suggestion for how a team may do next week. (Good, Bad, Play, Fade) Good—Played as they were projected to do in the game. Bad—Played below expectations for the game. Fade—Played well below expectations for the game. Play—Played better than final score and should be looked at next week. (Good/Bad/Fade/Play are just suggestions to look at as a guide. Don’t just automatically use them as they are listed. They are to be used to help not as a magic formula)
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Louisiana Tech Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 31 23.88 59 24.00 4.97 63
Brigham Young Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -31 -23.88 59 -24.00 8.02 64
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Louisiana Tech 60.92 Should have lost by 23.88 313 18.52 2 0.00 19.00 PLAY
Brigham Young 60.92 Should have won by 23.88 513 42.40 0 0.00 26.00 FADE
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Louisiana Tech —— —— —— —— —— —— —— 5-for-13 7-58
Brigham Young YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 6-for-10 5-50
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Campbell Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 52 29.53 80 34.50 4.89 74
Wake Forest Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -52 -29.53 80 -34.50 8.70 66
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Campbell 72.11 Should have lost by 29.53 362 21.29 4 1.13 22.00 PLAY
Wake Forest 72.11 Should have won by 29.53 574 50.82 0 0.00 29.00 FADE
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Campbell —— —— YES —— —— —— —— 9-for-16 5-42
Wake Forest YES YES —— YES YES YES YES 5-for-7 5-40
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
South Florida Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 21 11.48 35 22.50 3.93 74
Cincinnati Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -21 -11.48 35 -22.50 4.68 71
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
South Florida 44.48 Should have lost by 11.48 291 16.50 5 3.13 19.00 GOOD
Cincinnati 44.48 Should have won by 11.48 332 27.98 4 4.00 22.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
South Florida —— —— YES —— YES —— —— 5-for-13 3-40
Cincinnati YES YES —— YES —— YES YES 10-for-17 7-52
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
South Carolina Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 14 10.71 62 15.00 3.96 83
Florida Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -14 -10.71 62 -15.00 6.57 53
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
South Carolina 47.33 Should have lost by 10.71 329 18.31 1 -0.25 25.00 GOOD
Florida 47.33 Should have won by 10.71 348 29.02 2 2.00 18.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
South Carolina —— —— YES —— YES YES YES 6-for-17 6-55
Florida YES YES —— YES —— —— —— 4-for-9 4-44
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
East Carolina Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 20 12.93 78 -1.50 3.67 78
Georgia St. Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -20 -12.93 78 1.50 6.74 72
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
East Carolina 53.04 Should have lost by 12.93 286 20.06 3 3.00 19.00 BAD
Georgia St. 53.04 Should have won by 12.93 485 32.98 3 2.88 21.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
East Carolina —— —— YES —— —— —— —— 5-for-17 11-97
Georgia St. YES YES —— YES YES YES YES 7-for-15 9-92
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
North Carolina Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -4 -13.01 48 -14.50 6.17 65
Boston College Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 4 13.01 48 14.50 4.71 75
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
North Carolina 52.86 Should have won by 13.01 401 32.94 1 1.00 24.00 BAD
Boston College 52.86 Should have lost by 13.01 353 19.92 0 -1.21 22.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
North Carolina YES YES —— YES —— YES YES 7-for-12 10-96
Boston College —— —— YES —— YES —— —— 9-for-17 12-110
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Virginia Tech Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -7 -15.89 69 -11.00 6.49 75
Duke Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 7 15.89 69 11.00 5.39 76
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Virginia Tech 62.63 Should have won by 15.89 487 39.26 3 3.00 25.00 PLAY
Duke 62.63 Should have lost by 15.89 410 23.37 1 0.08 19.00 FADE
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Virginia Tech YES YES —— YES —— YES YES 7-for-15 3-20
Duke —— —— YES —— YES —— —— 5-for-17 8-76
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Missouri Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 23 8.73 47 10.00 5.55 62
Tennessee Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -23 -8.73 47 -10.00 5.70 74
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Missouri 53.45 Should have lost by 8.73 344 22.36 1 0.17 15.00 PLAY
Tennessee 53.45 Should have won by 8.73 422 31.09 0 0.00 26.00 FADE
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Missouri —— —— —— —— —— —— —— 6-for-15 6-49
Tennessee YES YES YES YES YES YES YES 6-for-13 3-20
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Baylor Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 6 9.69 48 -1.00 3.61 71
West Virginia Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -6 -9.69 48 1.00 4.26 81
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Baylor 41.41 Should have lost by 9.69 256 15.86 2 2.00 15.00 BAD
West Virginia 41.41 Should have won by 9.69 345 25.55 4 3.92 18.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Baylor —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 4-for-16 12-86
West Virginia YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 5-for-18 12-102
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Virginia Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 18 16.39 64 28.00 5.15 81
Clemson Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -18 -16.39 64 -28.00 6.66 70
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Virginia 63.93 Should have lost by 16.39 417 23.77 2 -0.33 25.00 GOOD
Clemson 63.93 Should have won by 16.39 466 40.16 0 0.00 22.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Virginia —— —— YES —— YES YES YES 6-for-16 1-15
Clemson YES YES —— YES —— —— —— 8-for-15 8-65
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
NC State Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -1 15.70 59 14.00 5.31 75
Pittsburgh Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 1 -15.70 59 -14.00 6.53 77
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
NC State 63.43 Should have lost by 15.70 398 23.86 0 -1.17 28.00 FADE
Pittsburgh 63.43 Should have won by 15.70 503 39.56 0 0.00 24.00 PLAY
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
NC State YES —— —— —— YES YES —— 7-for-16 11-80
Pittsburgh —— YES YES YES —— —— YES 6-for-16 13-125
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Oklahoma Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 7 -4.01 67 -7.50 6.00 69
Iowa State Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -7 4.01 67 7.50 7.45 56
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Oklahoma 57.45 Should have won by 4.01 414 30.73 1 1.00 22.00 BAD
Iowa State 57.45 Should have lost by 4.01 417 26.72 1 0.38 23.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Oklahoma —— —— YES —— —— —— YES 4-for-13 9-93
Iowa State YES YES —— YES YES YES —— 6-for-10 9-90
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Memphis Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 3 0.31 57 1.50 6.26 80
Southern Methodist Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -3 -0.31 57 -1.50 7.63 72
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Memphis 72.46 Should have lost by 0.31 501 36.07 4 3.88 26.00 PLAY
Southern Methodist 72.46 Should have won by 0.31 549 36.38 2 2.00 21.00 FADE
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Memphis —— —— YES —— —— YES YES 10-for-17 5-40
Southern Methodist YES YES —— YES YES —— —— 9-for-17 7-60
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Tulsa Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -8 13.50 60 20.50 6.00 73
Central Florida Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 8 -13.50 60 -20.50 5.35 85
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Tulsa 63.01 Should have lost by 13.50 438 24.76 3 1.29 21.00 GOOD
Central Florida 63.01 Should have won by 13.50 455 38.25 3 3.00 23.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Tulsa YES —— —— YES YES —— YES 6-for-15 8-95
Central Florida —— YES YES —— —— YES —— 7-for-18 18-124
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Arkansas St. Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 29 10.50 75 -3.50 6.11 63
Coastal Carolina Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -29 -10.50 75 3.50 6.74 80
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Arkansas St. 63.50 Should have lost by 10.50 385 26.50 2 2.00 15.00 BAD
Coastal Carolina 63.50 Should have won by 10.50 539 37.00 3 2.71 25.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Arkansas St. —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 5-for-15 4-31
Coastal Carolina YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 10-for-17 3-31
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Navy Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 33 4.58 47 -6.50 4.46 54
Air Force Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -33 -4.58 47 6.50 6.61 62
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Navy 44.46 Should have lost by 4.58 241 19.94 2 2.00 10.00 BAD
Air Force 44.46 Should have won by 4.58 410 24.52 0 -0.54 25.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Navy —— —— —— —— —— —— —— 5-for-13 4-30
Air Force YES YES YES YES YES YES YES 2-for-9 3-23
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Texas Tech Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 10 -6.33 52 0.50 5.67 83
Kansas State Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -10 6.33 52 -0.50 6.31 64
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Texas Tech 60.33 Should have won by 6.33 471 33.33 1 0.96 27.00 PLAY
Kansas State 60.33 Should have lost by 6.33 404 27.00 0 0.00 20.00 FADE
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Texas Tech —— YES YES —— —— YES —— 9-for-18 6-71
Kansas State YES —— —— YES YES —— YES 6-for-12 4-35
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Oklahoma State Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -40 -38.01 54 -21.50 6.59 90
Kansas Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 40 38.01 54 21.50 3.02 64
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Oklahoma State 59.61 Should have won by 38.01 593 48.81 0 0.00 31.00 GOOD
Kansas 59.61 Should have lost by 38.01 193 10.80 1 -0.79 12.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Oklahoma State YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 9-for-18 5-35
Kansas —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 1-for-14 3-17
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Texas-San Antonio Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 8 25.88 34 21.50 4.59 61
UAB Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -8 -25.88 34 -21.50 6.10 67
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Texas-San Antonio 49.93 Should have lost by 25.88 280 12.03 1 -0.79 17.00 FADE
UAB 49.93 Should have won by 25.88 409 37.91 4 4.00 21.00 PLAY
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Texas-San Antonio —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 2-for-13 10-98
UAB YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 4-for-11 6-72
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Texas Christian Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -2 3.21 64 10.50 5.71 80
Texas Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 2 -3.21 64 -10.50 6.47 60
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Texas Christian 58.24 Should have lost by 3.21 457 27.51 1 0.13 25.00 GOOD
Texas 58.24 Should have won by 3.21 388 30.72 2 2.00 16.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Texas Christian YES YES YES —— YES YES YES 7-for-17 14-109
Texas —— —— —— YES —— —— —— 7-for-14 12-92
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Texas A&M Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 28 16.23 76 18.00 5.84 77
Alabama Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -28 -16.23 76 -18.00 9.89 55
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Texas A&M 70.44 Should have lost by 16.23 450 27.11 2 0.50 25.00 PLAY
Alabama 70.44 Should have won by 16.23 544 43.33 1 1.00 22.00 FADE
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Texas A&M —— —— YES —— YES YES YES 10-for-17 7-58
Alabama YES YES —— YES —— —— —— 5-for-10 6-40
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Mississippi Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -1 13.48 83 7.00 6.85 67
Kentucky Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 1 -13.48 83 -7.00 7.55 74
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Mississippi 70.70 Should have lost by 13.48 459 28.61 0 -0.58 26.00 FADE
Kentucky 70.70 Should have won by 13.48 559 42.09 1 1.00 26.00 PLAY
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Mississippi YES —— —— —— YES —— —— 6-for-12 5-33
Kentucky —— YES YES YES —— —— YES 6-for-11 8-81
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Western Kentucky Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -3 -6.38 37 -7.00 4.70 71
Middle Tennessee Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 3 6.38 37 7.00 4.83 66
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Western Kentucky 45.19 Should have won by 6.38 334 25.79 1 1.00 21.00 BAD
Middle Tennessee 45.19 Should have lost by 6.38 319 19.40 0 -0.58 18.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Western Kentucky YES YES YES —— —— YES YES 7-for-17 5-55
Middle Tennessee —— —— —— YES YES —— —— 7-for-16 6-47
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Charlotte Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 4 -5.07 38 5.00 5.42 73
Florida Atlantic Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -4 5.07 38 -5.00 5.73 55
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Charlotte 48.90 Should have won by 5.07 396 26.98 1 0.58 22.00 GOOD
Florida Atlantic 48.90 Should have lost by 5.07 315 21.92 0 0.00 15.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Charlotte —— YES YES —— —— YES YES 6-for-16 3-27
Florida Atlantic YES —— —— YES YES —— —— 6-for-13 3-19
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Georgia Southern Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -5 -6.48 65 -19.00 6.15 60
UL Monroe Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 5 6.48 65 19.00 5.84 73
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Georgia Southern 55.26 Should have won by 6.48 369 30.87 0 0.00 19.00 BAD
UL Monroe 55.26 Should have lost by 6.48 426 24.39 0 -1.58 24.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Georgia Southern YES —— —— YES —— —— YES 9-for-13 7-57
UL Monroe —— YES YES —— YES YES —— 5-for-15 5-45
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Auburn Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 21 16.99 33 7.00 3.48 62
Georgia Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -21 -16.99 33 -7.00 6.05 73
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Auburn 46.24 Should have lost by 16.99 216 14.63 1 0.42 15.00 BAD
Georgia 46.24 Should have won by 16.99 442 31.61 0 0.00 25.00 GOOD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Auburn —— —— —— —— —— —— —— 6-for-15 7-46
Georgia YES YES YES YES YES YES YES 9-for-14 8-59
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Louisiana State Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -34 -25.64 48 -21.00 7.22 69
Vanderbilt Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 34 25.64 48 21.00 3.91 68
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Louisiana State 56.19 Should have won by 25.64 498 40.91 1 1.00 28.00 GOOD
Vanderbilt 56.19 Should have lost by 25.64 266 15.27 2 0.25 17.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Louisiana State YES YES YES YES —— YES —— 4-for-12 4-30
Vanderbilt —— —— —— —— YES —— YES 7-for-17 5-24
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Arkansas Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -7 21.11 35 17.00 4.23 65
Mississippi State Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 7 -21.11 35 -17.00 4.76 84
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Arkansas 48.23 Should have lost by 21.11 275 13.56 2 0.58 17.00 FADE
Mississippi State 48.23 Should have won by 21.11 400 34.67 4 4.00 24.00 PLAY
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Arkansas YES —— —— —— YES —— YES 5-for-14 5-40
Mississippi State —— YES YES YES —— YES —— 6-for-17 4-25
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Southern Miss Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -10 8.08 72 1.50 5.75 76
North Texas Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 10 -8.08 72 -1.50 5.68 85
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Southern Miss 63.49 Should have lost by 8.08 437 27.70 1 0.88 22.00 FADE
North Texas 63.49 Should have won by 8.08 483 35.78 3 3.00 27.00 PLAY
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Southern Miss YES —— —— YES YES —— YES 8-for-17 2-10
North Texas —— YES YES —— —— YES —— 11-for-19 2-20
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
North Alabama Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 21 19.50 35 33.00 4.41 56
Liberty Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -21 -19.50 35 -33.00 5.49 65
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
North Alabama 45.75 Should have lost by 19.50 247 13.13 3 0.25 14.00 GOOD
Liberty 45.75 Should have won by 19.50 357 32.63 1 1.00 22.00 BAD
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
North Alabama —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 6-for-14 6-55
Liberty YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 6-for-11 8-75
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Abilene Christian Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 32 26.37 78 31.00 6.26 62
Army Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -32 -26.37 78 -31.00 7.36 67
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Abilene Christian 65.29 Should have lost by 26.37 388 19.46 0 -2.58 19.00 PLAY
Army 65.29 Should have won by 26.37 493 45.83 0 0.00 24.00 FADE
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Abilene Christian —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 1-for-10 6-48
Army YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 3-for-11 4-27
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
Jacksonville State Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 17 31.65 65 27.00 5.79 53
Florida State Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -17 -31.65 65 -27.00 6.48 82
Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
Jacksonville State 62.85 Should have lost by 31.65 307 15.60 1 -1.25 18.00 FADE
Florida State 62.85 Should have won by 31.65 531 47.25 1 1.00 31.00 PLAY
Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
Jacksonville State —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 3-for-10 9-57
Florida State YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 10-for-16 10-100
Updated: October 8, 2020 — 3:08 pm
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