NCAA Box Score Analysis
The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats. The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the:
1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction) 2. Actual margin of victory
So if a team meets or exceeds pre game expectations, by the actual play on the field, they are rewarded. However if they win or lose and are statistically dominated this program will show that.
Key: 1. ATS– Against the spread.
2. Act. Yds vs Act. Spread –How each team did using their yardage stats and turnovers.
3. Game should’ve been.. — A scoring projection based on total yards gained using yards per point.
4. Win Margin—Final game margin.
5. Yds/TO spread conv.— A spread projection using total yards gained/allowed and turnovers.
6. Game tot—Acutal game total.
7. Yppt. Total—A total projection of how many points should’ve been scored based on yards.
8. W/L Projection—An estimation of the final score using actual yards and turnover margin. 9. Margin—A number each team “should’ve” won/loss by.
10. Actual Yds—Total yards gained in the game by the offense. 11. Score should’ve been..—A projection for a score based on the game stats and turnovers.
12. TO—Adjusted TO based on actual and pre-game projection.
13. Next Week—A computer generated suggestion for how a team may do next week. (Good, Bad, Play, Fade)
Good—Played as they were projected to do in the game.
Bad—Played below expectations for the game.
Fade—Played well below expectations for the game.
Play—Played better than final score and should be looked at next week.
(Good/Bad/Fade/Play are just suggestions to look at as a guide. Don’t just automatically use them as they are listed. They are to be used to help not as a magic formula)
| Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
| UAB | Won ATS | Better than predicted | Higher Scoring | -32 | -15.61 | 52 | -7.50 | 7.27 | 70 |
| South Alabama | Lost ATS | Worse than predicted | Higher Scoring | 32 | 15.61 | 52 | 7.50 | 5.00 | 63 |
| Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
| UAB | 57.67 | Should have won by | 15.61 | 509 | 36.64 | 1 | 1.00 | 22.00 | GOOD |
| South Alabama | 57.67 | Should have lost by | 15.61 | 315 | 21.03 | 2 | 1.38 | 18.00 | BAD |
| Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
| UAB | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | 10-for-16 | 11-122 |
| South Alabama | —— | —— | —— | —— | —— | —— | —— | 3-for-12 | 2-30 |
| Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
| Middle Tennessee | Won ATS | Better than predicted | Lower Scoring | 2 | -10.16 | 72 | 6.00 | 6.33 | 89 |
| Texas-San Antonio | Lost ATS | Worse than predicted | Lower Scoring | -2 | 10.16 | 72 | -6.00 | 5.51 | 71 |
| Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
| Middle Tennessee | 65.41 | Should have won by | 10.16 | 563 | 37.78 | 2 | 1.50 | 27.00 | GOOD |
| Texas-San Antonio | 65.41 | Should have lost by | 10.16 | 391 | 27.63 | 1 | 1.00 | 16.00 | BAD |
| Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
| Middle Tennessee | —— | YES | YES | YES | —— | YES | YES | 8-for-18 | 8-82 |
| Texas-San Antonio | YES | —— | —— | —— | YES | —— | —— | 7-for-17 | 3-29 |
| Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
| Central Florida | Lost ATS | Worse than predicted | Higher Scoring | -23 | -24.15 | 79 | -28.00 | 7.26 | 87 |
| East Carolina | Won ATS | Better than predicted | Higher Scoring | 23 | 24.15 | 79 | 28.00 | 5.53 | 83 |
| Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
| Central Florida | 80.55 | Should have won by | 24.15 | 632 | 52.35 | 0 | 0.00 | 29.00 | BAD |
| East Carolina | 80.55 | Should have lost by | 24.15 | 459 | 28.20 | 4 | 1.67 | 25.00 | GOOD |
| Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
| Central Florida | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | —— | 8-for-16 | 19-139 |
| East Carolina | —— | —— | —— | —— | —— | —— | YES | 9-for-18 | 11-105 |
| Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
| Florida State | Lost ATS | Worse than predicted | Lower Scoring | 42 | 17.85 | 62 | 12.00 | 4.52 | 73 |
| Miami | Won ATS | Better than predicted | Lower Scoring | -42 | -17.85 | 62 | -12.00 | 6.08 | 85 |
| Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
| Florida State | 59.89 | Should have lost by | 17.85 | 330 | 21.02 | 3 | 2.00 | 23.00 | BAD |
| Miami | 59.89 | Should have won by | 17.85 | 517 | 38.87 | 2 | 2.00 | 33.00 | GOOD |
| Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
| Florida State | —— | —— | —— | —— | —— | —— | —— | 6-for-14 | 12-113 |
| Miami | YES | YES | YES | YES | —— | YES | YES | 11-for-16 | 8-80 |
| Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
| Louisville | Lost ATS | Worse than predicted | Lower Scoring | 3 | 9.68 | 43 | 2.50 | 4.37 | 51 |
| Pittsburgh | Won ATS | Better than predicted | Lower Scoring | -3 | -9.68 | 43 | -2.50 | 4.82 | 78 |
| Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
| Louisville | 41.50 | Should have lost by | 9.68 | 223 | 15.91 | 3 | 2.79 | 10.00 | BAD |
| Pittsburgh | 41.50 | Should have won by | 9.68 | 376 | 25.59 | 2 | 2.00 | 20.00 | GOOD |
| Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
| Louisville | —— | —— | —— | —— | —— | —— | —— | 1-for-11 | 3-22 |
| Pittsburgh | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | 9-for-19 | 6-46 |
| Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
| Tennessee | Won ATS | Worse than predicted | Lower Scoring | -4 | 1.09 | 58 | -3.50 | 6.06 | 65 |
| South Carolina | Lost ATS | Better than predicted | Lower Scoring | 4 | -1.09 | 58 | 3.50 | 5.12 | 74 |
| Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
| Tennessee | 53.37 | Should have lost by | 1.09 | 394 | 26.14 | 0 | 0.00 | 21.00 | FADE |
| South Carolina | 53.37 | Should have won by | 1.09 | 379 | 27.23 | 2 | 1.71 | 22.00 | PLAY |
| Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
| Tennessee | YES | YES | —— | YES | YES | —— | —— | 1-for-11 | 6-50 |
| South Carolina | —— | —— | YES | —— | —— | YES | YES | 6-for-15 | 4-40 |
| Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
| Kansas | Lost ATS | Better than predicted | Lower Scoring | 33 | 10.09 | 61 | 17.00 | 4.32 | 76 |
| Baylor | Won ATS | Worse than predicted | Lower Scoring | -33 | -10.09 | 61 | -17.00 | 5.25 | 67 |
| Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
| Kansas | 47.75 | Should have lost by | 10.09 | 328 | 18.83 | 0 | -1.42 | 20.00 | PLAY |
| Baylor | 47.75 | Should have won by | 10.09 | 352 | 28.92 | 0 | 0.00 | 24.00 | FADE |
| Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
| Kansas | —— | —— | YES | —— | YES | —— | —— | 4-for-14 | 10-80 |
| Baylor | YES | YES | —— | YES | —— | YES | —— | 8-for-15 | 8-95 |
| Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
| Troy | Lost ATS | Worse than predicted | Higher Scoring | 41 | 44.10 | 55 | 14.50 | 3.35 | 54 |
| Brigham Young | Won ATS | Better than predicted | Higher Scoring | -41 | -44.10 | 55 | -14.50 | 8.33 | 80 |
| Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
| Troy | 62.38 | Should have lost by | 44.10 | 181 | 9.14 | 0 | -1.21 | 8.00 | BAD |
| Brigham Young | 62.38 | Should have won by | 44.10 | 666 | 53.24 | 1 | 1.00 | 32.00 | GOOD |
| Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
| Troy | —— | —— | —— | —— | YES | —— | —— | 2-for-14 | 5-50 |
| Brigham Young | YES | YES | YES | YES | —— | YES | YES | 5-for-12 | 2-15 |
| Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
| Alabama | Lost ATS | Worse than predicted | Lower Scoring | -19 | -19.73 | 57 | -28.50 | 6.09 | 68 |
| Missouri | Won ATS | Better than predicted | Lower Scoring | 19 | 19.73 | 57 | 28.50 | 4.41 | 73 |
| Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
| Alabama | 54.10 | Should have won by | 19.73 | 414 | 36.91 | 1 | 1.00 | 22.00 | BAD |
| Missouri | 54.10 | Should have lost by | 19.73 | 322 | 17.18 | 2 | -0.38 | 20.00 | GOOD |
| Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
| Alabama | YES | YES | —— | YES | —— | YES | YES | 9-for-14 | 7-49 |
| Missouri | —— | —— | YES | —— | YES | —— | —— | 8-for-16 | 3-20 |
| Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
| West Virginia | Lost ATS | Better than predicted | Higher Scoring | 14 | 2.48 | 40 | 6.50 | 4.47 | 79 |
| Oklahoma State | Won ATS | Worse than predicted | Higher Scoring | -14 | -2.48 | 40 | -6.50 | 5.43 | 63 |
| Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
| West Virginia | 47.99 | Should have lost by | 2.48 | 353 | 22.76 | 1 | 0.46 | 22.00 | PLAY |
| Oklahoma State | 47.99 | Should have won by | 2.48 | 342 | 25.23 | 1 | 1.00 | 20.00 | FADE |
| Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
| West Virginia | —— | YES | YES | —— | YES | YES | YES | 6-for-17 | 12-106 |
| Oklahoma State | YES | —— | —— | YES | —— | —— | —— | 7-for-14 | 7-65 |
| Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
| Florida | Won ATS | Worse than predicted | Higher Scoring | -16 | -12.79 | 86 | -14.00 | 8.68 | 74 |
| Mississippi | Lost ATS | Better than predicted | Higher Scoring | 16 | 12.79 | 86 | 14.00 | 7.86 | 78 |
| Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
| Florida | 87.56 | Should have won by | 12.79 | 642 | 50.17 | 1 | 1.00 | 32.00 | FADE |
| Mississippi | 87.56 | Should have lost by | 12.79 | 613 | 37.39 | 1 | -0.17 | 29.00 | PLAY |
| Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
| Florida | YES | YES | —— | YES | —— | YES | —— | 6-for-10 | 4-40 |
| Mississippi | —— | —— | YES | —— | YES | —— | YES | 9-for-14 | 4-45 |
| Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
| Georgia Southern | Won ATS | Better than predicted | Higher Scoring | 2 | 4.16 | 38 | 11.50 | 6.67 | 67 |
| UL Lafayette | Lost ATS | Worse than predicted | Higher Scoring | -2 | -4.16 | 38 | -11.50 | 7.55 | 58 |
| Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
| Georgia Southern | 61.37 | Should have lost by | 4.16 | 447 | 28.60 | 2 | 1.04 | 21.00 | GOOD |
| UL Lafayette | 61.37 | Should have won by | 4.16 | 438 | 32.77 | 1 | 1.00 | 18.00 | BAD |
| Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
| Georgia Southern | —— | YES | YES | —— | —— | YES | YES | 8-for-14 | 2-10 |
| UL Lafayette | YES | —— | —— | YES | YES | —— | —— | 5-for-11 | 6-55 |
| Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
| Kansas State | Won ATS | Worse than predicted | Lower Scoring | -3 | 33.39 | 73 | 27.50 | 7.84 | 51 |
| Oklahoma | Lost ATS | Better than predicted | Lower Scoring | 3 | -33.39 | 73 | -27.50 | 6.80 | 76 |
| Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
| Kansas State | 67.19 | Should have lost by | 33.39 | 400 | 16.90 | 0 | -2.29 | 10.00 | FADE |
| Oklahoma | 67.19 | Should have won by | 33.39 | 517 | 50.29 | 4 | 4.00 | 28.00 | PLAY |
| Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
| Kansas State | YES | —— | —— | YES | YES | —— | —— | 2-for-11 | 13-108 |
| Oklahoma | —— | YES | YES | —— | —— | YES | YES | 7-for-12 | 10-75 |
| Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
| Georgia | Lost ATS | Worse than predicted | Higher Scoring | -27 | -19.29 | 47 | -27.50 | 4.35 | 89 |
| Arkansas | Won ATS | Better than predicted | Higher Scoring | 27 | 19.29 | 47 | 27.50 | 4.18 | 67 |
| Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
| Georgia | 49.17 | Should have won by | 19.29 | 387 | 34.23 | 2 | 2.00 | 19.00 | BAD |
| Arkansas | 49.17 | Should have lost by | 19.29 | 280 | 14.94 | 3 | 0.71 | 15.00 | GOOD |
| Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
| Georgia | YES | YES | YES | YES | —— | YES | YES | 6-for-20 | 12-108 |
| Arkansas | —— | —— | —— | —— | YES | —— | —— | 3-for-14 | 10-53 |
| Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
| Texas | Lost ATS | Worse than predicted | Lower Scoring | -7 | -11.11 | 119 | -17.50 | 5.35 | 89 |
| Texas Tech | Won ATS | Better than predicted | Lower Scoring | 7 | 11.11 | 119 | 17.50 | 5.80 | 76 |
| Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
| Texas | 64.47 | Should have won by | 11.11 | 476 | 37.79 | 2 | 2.00 | 27.00 | BAD |
| Texas Tech | 64.47 | Should have lost by | 11.11 | 441 | 26.68 | 3 | 1.54 | 24.00 | GOOD |
| Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
| Texas | YES | YES | YES | —— | —— | YES | YES | 5-for-16 | 10-100 |
| Texas Tech | —— | —— | —— | YES | YES | —— | —— | 8-for-16 | 4-15 |
| Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
| Iowa State | Lost ATS | Worse than predicted | Lower Scoring | -3 | 5.39 | 71 | -4.50 | 8.29 | 51 |
| Texas Christian | Won ATS | Better than predicted | Lower Scoring | 3 | -5.39 | 71 | 4.50 | 6.17 | 83 |
| Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
| Iowa State | 64.35 | Should have lost by | 5.39 | 423 | 29.48 | 1 | 1.00 | 14.00 | BAD |
| Texas Christian | 64.35 | Should have won by | 5.39 | 512 | 34.87 | 2 | 1.63 | 27.00 | GOOD |
| Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
| Iowa State | YES | —— | —— | YES | YES | —— | —— | 3-for-11 | 3-25 |
| Texas Christian | —— | YES | YES | —— | —— | YES | YES | 8-for-16 | 10-66 |
| Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
| Mississippi State | Won ATS | Better than predicted | Lower Scoring | -10 | -8.97 | 78 | 14.00 | 8.32 | 76 |
| Louisiana State | Lost ATS | Worse than predicted | Lower Scoring | 10 | 8.97 | 78 | -14.00 | 5.06 | 84 |
| Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
| Mississippi State | 72.19 | Should have won by | 8.97 | 632 | 40.58 | 4 | 2.83 | 24.00 | GOOD |
| Louisiana State | 72.19 | Should have lost by | 8.97 | 425 | 31.61 | 2 | 2.00 | 25.00 | BAD |
| Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
| Mississippi State | YES | YES | —— | YES | —— | —— | —— | 8-for-16 | 7-40 |
| Louisiana State | —— | —— | YES | —— | YES | YES | YES | 5-for-17 | 7-31 |
| Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
| Vanderbilt | Won ATS | Better than predicted | Higher Scoring | 5 | 25.58 | 29 | 31.50 | 3.81 | 67 |
| Texas A&M | Lost ATS | Worse than predicted | Higher Scoring | -5 | -25.58 | 29 | -31.50 | 6.76 | 55 |
| Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
| Vanderbilt | 47.22 | Should have lost by | 25.58 | 255 | 10.82 | 2 | -0.63 | 17.00 | GOOD |
| Texas A&M | 47.22 | Should have won by | 25.58 | 372 | 36.40 | 3 | 3.00 | 17.00 | BAD |
| Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
| Vanderbilt | —— | —— | YES | —— | YES | —— | YES | 7-for-17 | 3-35 |
| Texas A&M | YES | YES | —— | YES | —— | —— | —— | 4-for-10 | 8-50 |
| Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
| Kentucky | Lost ATS | Better than predicted | Higher Scoring | 16 | -7.12 | 42 | 6.00 | 4.92 | 78 |
| Auburn | Won ATS | Worse than predicted | Higher Scoring | -16 | 7.12 | 42 | -6.00 | 5.68 | 57 |
| Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
| Kentucky | 48.74 | Should have won by | 7.12 | 384 | 27.93 | 3 | 2.50 | 21.00 | PLAY |
| Auburn | 48.74 | Should have lost by | 7.12 | 324 | 20.81 | 0 | 0.00 | 16.00 | FADE |
| Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
| Kentucky | —— | YES | YES | —— | —— | YES | YES | 12-for-19 | 4-40 |
| Auburn | YES | —— | —— | YES | YES | —— | —— | 4-for-10 | 7-55 |
| Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
| Florida International | Won ATS | Worse than predicted | Lower Scoring | 2 | 20.80 | 70 | 9.50 | 5.96 | 51 |
| Liberty | Lost ATS | Better than predicted | Lower Scoring | -2 | -20.80 | 70 | -9.50 | 6.67 | 79 |
| Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
| Florida International | 58.57 | Should have lost by | 20.80 | 304 | 18.88 | 0 | -0.79 | 16.00 | FADE |
| Liberty | 58.57 | Should have won by | 20.80 | 527 | 39.68 | 0 | 0.00 | 31.00 | PLAY |
| Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
| Florida International | —— | —— | —— | —— | YES | —— | —— | 5-for-11 | 15-127 |
| Liberty | YES | YES | YES | YES | —— | YES | YES | 10-for-18 | 4-40 |
| Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
| Tulane | Won ATS | Better than predicted | Lower Scoring | -42 | -14.16 | 90 | -3.50 | 7.63 | 75 |
| Southern Miss | Lost ATS | Worse than predicted | Lower Scoring | 42 | 14.16 | 90 | 3.50 | 5.13 | 72 |
| Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
| Tulane | 65.27 | Should have won by | 14.16 | 572 | 39.72 | 1 | 1.00 | 26.00 | GOOD |
| Southern Miss | 65.27 | Should have lost by | 14.16 | 369 | 25.56 | 2 | 1.71 | 19.00 | BAD |
| Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
| Tulane | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | 7-for-14 | 7-40 |
| Southern Miss | —— | —— | —— | —— | —— | —— | —— | 6-for-17 | 2-13 |
| Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
| Army | Lost ATS | Better than predicted | Higher Scoring | 14 | 9.54 | 34 | 12.50 | 4.31 | 64 |
| Cincinnati | Won ATS | Worse than predicted | Higher Scoring | -14 | -9.54 | 34 | -12.50 | 4.80 | 69 |
| Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
| Army | 42.50 | Should have lost by | 9.54 | 276 | 16.48 | 2 | 0.96 | 18.00 | PLAY |
| Cincinnati | 42.50 | Should have won by | 9.54 | 331 | 26.02 | 2 | 2.00 | 14.00 | FADE |
| Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
| Army | —— | —— | —— | —— | YES | YES | YES | 3-for-13 | 10-87 |
| Cincinnati | YES | YES | YES | YES | —— | —— | —— | 8-for-18 | 7-79 |
| Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
| Texas El Paso | Won ATS | Better than predicted | Higher Scoring | -25 | -17.31 | 37 | 9.50 | 7.11 | 72 |
| UL Monroe | Lost ATS | Worse than predicted | Higher Scoring | 25 | 17.31 | 37 | -9.50 | 4.29 | 45 |
| Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
| Texas El Paso | 47.38 | Should have won by | 17.31 | 512 | 32.35 | 1 | 0.21 | 21.00 | GOOD |
| UL Monroe | 47.38 | Should have lost by | 17.31 | 193 | 15.04 | 1 | 1.00 | 6.00 | BAD |
| Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
| Texas El Paso | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | 11-for-17 | 7-60 |
| UL Monroe | —— | —— | —— | —— | —— | —— | —— | 0-for-11 | 7-72 |
| Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
| NC State | Lost ATS | Worse than predicted | Lower Scoring | 21 | 7.05 | 69 | 6.00 | 5.15 | 75 |
| Virginia Tech | Won ATS | Better than predicted | Lower Scoring | -21 | -7.05 | 69 | -6.00 | 8.53 | 58 |
| Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
| NC State | 61.17 | Should have lost by | 7.05 | 386 | 27.06 | 2 | 1.50 | 19.00 | BAD |
| Virginia Tech | 61.17 | Should have won by | 7.05 | 495 | 34.11 | 0 | 0.00 | 22.00 | GOOD |
| Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
| NC State | —— | —— | YES | —— | —— | —— | YES | 5-for-16 | 8-65 |
| Virginia Tech | YES | YES | —— | YES | YES | YES | —— | 2-for-9 | 5-40 |
| Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
| Texas State | Won ATS | Better than predicted | Higher Scoring | 3 | 5.95 | 45 | 21.00 | 5.17 | 69 |
| Boston College | Lost ATS | Worse than predicted | Higher Scoring | -3 | -5.95 | 45 | -21.00 | 4.57 | 65 |
| Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
| Texas State | 45.46 | Should have lost by | 5.95 | 357 | 19.76 | 1 | -0.75 | 21.00 | GOOD |
| Boston College | 45.46 | Should have won by | 5.95 | 297 | 25.70 | 1 | 1.00 | 23.00 | BAD |
| Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
| Texas State | —— | YES | YES | YES | YES | —— | YES | 7-for-15 | 7-61 |
| Boston College | YES | —— | —— | —— | —— | YES | —— | 5-for-11 | 7-56 |
| Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
| Georgia Tech | Lost ATS | Better than predicted | Lower Scoring | 17 | -18.79 | 57 | -7.50 | 5.39 | 84 |
| Syracuse | Won ATS | Worse than predicted | Lower Scoring | -17 | 18.79 | 57 | 7.50 | 5.49 | 65 |
| Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
| Georgia Tech | 56.36 | Should have won by | 18.79 | 453 | 37.57 | 5 | 5.00 | 23.00 | PLAY |
| Syracuse | 56.36 | Should have lost by | 18.79 | 357 | 18.78 | 1 | 0.38 | 14.00 | FADE |
| Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
| Georgia Tech | —— | YES | YES | —— | —— | YES | YES | 6-for-18 | 15-104 |
| Syracuse | YES | —— | —— | YES | YES | —— | —— | 5-for-15 | 7-85 |
| Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
| Duke | Lost ATS | Better than predicted | Lower Scoring | 18 | 1.36 | 58 | 3.50 | 4.38 | 78 |
| Virginia | Won ATS | Worse than predicted | Lower Scoring | -18 | -1.36 | 58 | -3.50 | 5.36 | 84 |
| Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
| Duke | 54.83 | Should have lost by | 1.36 | 342 | 26.74 | 7 | 6.71 | 17.00 | PLAY |
| Virginia | 54.83 | Should have won by | 1.36 | 450 | 28.09 | 3 | 3.00 | 25.00 | FADE |
| Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
| Duke | —— | —— | —— | —— | —— | —— | YES | 6-for-18 | 3-25 |
| Virginia | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | —— | 6-for-17 | 5-35 |
| Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
| Campbell | Won ATS | Worse than predicted | Lower Scoring | 31 | 36.48 | 73 | 33.50 | 5.35 | 57 |
| Appalachian State | Lost ATS | Better than predicted | Lower Scoring | -31 | -36.48 | 73 | -33.50 | 6.86 | 78 |
| Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
| Campbell | 65.07 | Should have lost by | 36.48 | 305 | 14.30 | 0 | -2.79 | 15.00 | FADE |
| Appalachian State | 65.07 | Should have won by | 36.48 | 535 | 50.77 | 0 | 0.00 | 31.00 | PLAY |
| Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
| Campbell | —— | —— | —— | —— | YES | —— | —— | 6-for-13 | 8-52 |
| Appalachian State | YES | YES | YES | YES | —— | YES | YES | 9-for-12 | 5-45 |
| Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
| Houston Baptist | Lost ATS | Better than predicted | Lower Scoring | 28 | 16.79 | 104 | 23.50 | 5.83 | 86 |
| Louisiana Tech | Won ATS | Worse than predicted | Lower Scoring | -28 | -16.79 | 104 | -23.50 | 7.42 | 73 |
| Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
| Houston Baptist | 74.34 | Should have lost by | 16.79 | 501 | 28.77 | 2 | 0.04 | 26.00 | PLAY |
| Louisiana Tech | 74.34 | Should have won by | 16.79 | 542 | 45.57 | 1 | 1.00 | 32.00 | FADE |
| Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
| Houston Baptist | —— | —— | YES | —— | YES | —— | —— | 12-for-20 | 16-147 |
| Louisiana Tech | YES | YES | —— | YES | —— | YES | YES | 4-for-11 | 5-45 |
| Team | ATS | Act. yds vs act. spread | Game should’ve been.. | Win Margin | Yds/TO spread conv. | Game tot | Closing Line | YPP | OFF Plays |
| Stephen F. Austin | Lost ATS | Better than predicted | Lower Scoring | 43 | 33.21 | 57 | 38.50 | 3.22 | 67 |
| Southern Methodist | Won ATS | Worse than predicted | Lower Scoring | -43 | -33.21 | 57 | -38.50 | 6.65 | 65 |
| Yppt. Total | W/L Projection | Margin | Actual Yds | Score should’ve been.. | TO | Adjusted TO | 1st Downs | Next Week | |
| Stephen F. Austin | 52.33 | Should have lost by | 33.21 | 216 | 9.56 | 1 | -2.21 | 14.00 | PLAY |
| Southern Methodist | 52.33 | Should have won by | 33.21 | 432 | 42.77 | 0 | 0.00 | 24.00 | FADE |
| Won Game | Total Yards | Plays Run | YPP | Adj TO | 1st Downs | Rush Att | 3rd Down EFF | Penalties | |
| Stephen F. Austin | —— | —— | YES | —— | YES | —— | YES | 5-for-15 | 3-35 |
| Southern Methodist | YES | YES | —— | YES | —— | YES | —— | 9-for-13 | 7-55 |