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2026 WNBA Win Total Projections and Futures

Same Sport, Different Treatment: WNBA vs. NBA | The Gettysburgian.

Here’s a look at WNBA team projections based on each team’s current record, rankings and win projections for their remaining schedule. Below you’ll find info for each team to make the playoffs, their projected seed, reach the semi-finals, finals and best odds of who they may face in the championship round. Updated through 7/19/26 games.

 

Minnesota Lynx
Projected Record / Current 32.84-11.16 20-6
Make Playoffs 100.0% -1999900
Miss Playoffs 0.0% 1000000+
Top 4 Seed 98.6% -7146
Seed 1 61.5% -160
Seed 2 22.9% +337
Seed 3 10.6% +844
Seed 4 3.6% +2647
Seed 5 1.1% +9246
Seed 6 0.3% +39900
Seed 7 0.1% +166567
Seed 8 0.0% 1000000+
Reach Semifinals 81.2% -432
Reach Finals 56.6% -130
Win Championship 39.7% +152
Top Projected Finals Matchups
vs Golden State Valkyries 14.9% +569
vs Las Vegas Aces 14.0% +616
vs New York Liberty 9.9% +906
Golden State Valkyries
Projected Record / Current 31.36-12.64 19-7
Make Playoffs 100.0% -1999900
Miss Playoffs 0.0% 1000000+
Top 4 Seed 96.3% -2588
Seed 1 19.5% +412
Seed 2 35.1% +185
Seed 3 27.5% +264
Seed 4 14.2% +604
Seed 5 3.0% +3278
Seed 6 0.7% +14186
Seed 7 0.1% +166567
Seed 8 0.0% 1000000+
Reach Semifinals 64.9% -185
Reach Finals 33.4% +199
Win Championship 15.0% +568
Top Projected Finals Matchups
vs Minnesota Lynx 14.9% +569
vs Las Vegas Aces 5.8% +1615
vs New York Liberty 4.1% +2357
Las Vegas Aces
Projected Record / Current 30.50-13.50 17-7
Make Playoffs 100.0% -999900
Miss Playoffs 0.0% +999900
Top 4 Seed 86.2% -624
Seed 1 15.2% +558
Seed 2 26.4% +279
Seed 3 26.3% +280
Seed 4 18.3% +448
Seed 5 9.0% +1017
Seed 6 3.6% +2655
Seed 7 1.1% +9334
Seed 8 0.2% +58724
Reach Semifinals 62.5% -166
Reach Finals 32.4% +209
Win Championship 14.9% +572
Top Projected Finals Matchups
vs Minnesota Lynx 14.0% +616
vs Golden State Valkyries 5.8% +1615
vs New York Liberty 4.2% +2281
Dallas Wings
Projected Record / Current 29.19-14.81 17-8
Make Playoffs 100.0% -1999900
Miss Playoffs 0.0% 1000000+
Top 4 Seed 67.0% -203
Seed 1 3.2% +3006
Seed 2 11.6% +761
Seed 3 22.4% +347
Seed 4 29.8% +235
Seed 5 22.5% +345
Seed 6 8.1% +1133
Seed 7 2.2% +4425
Seed 8 0.2% +55456
Reach Semifinals 47.5% +111
Reach Finals 18.2% +449
Win Championship 6.1% +1547
Top Projected Finals Matchups
vs Minnesota Lynx 7.0% +1333
vs Golden State Valkyries 3.2% +3025
vs Las Vegas Aces 2.9% +3325
Atlanta Dream
Projected Record / Current 27.66-16.34 16-10
Make Playoffs 99.9% -166567
Miss Playoffs 0.1% +166567
Top 4 Seed 36.7% +173
Seed 1 0.5% +21639
Seed 2 3.2% +2996
Seed 3 9.7% +931
Seed 4 23.3% +329
Seed 5 32.1% +211
Seed 6 20.6% +384
Seed 7 9.4% +966
Seed 8 1.1% +8909
Reach Semifinals 49.6% +101
Reach Finals 21.5% +365
Win Championship 9.9% +914
Top Projected Finals Matchups
vs Minnesota Lynx 6.9% +1343
vs New York Liberty 4.1% +2333
vs Las Vegas Aces 3.8% +2539
New York Liberty
Projected Record / Current 25.55-18.45 13-12
Make Playoffs 99.4% -16293
Miss Playoffs 0.6% +16293
Top 4 Seed 8.3% +1106
Seed 1 0.1% +199900
Seed 2 0.4% +26216
Seed 3 1.9% +5305
Seed 4 6.0% +1564
Seed 5 18.9% +431
Seed 6 34.2% +192
Seed 7 33.6% +198
Seed 8 4.5% +2137
Reach Semifinals 49.7% +101
Reach Finals 26.6% +277
Win Championship 12.3% +714
Top Projected Finals Matchups
vs Minnesota Lynx 9.9% +906
vs Las Vegas Aces 4.2% +2281
vs Atlanta Dream 4.1% +2333
Indiana Fever
Projected Record / Current 25.38-18.62 16-10
Make Playoffs 99.7% -29312
Miss Playoffs 0.3% +29312
Top 4 Seed 6.7% +1384
Seed 1 0.0% +249900
Seed 2 0.4% +25541
Seed 3 1.7% +5817
Seed 4 4.6% +2065
Seed 5 13.2% +660
Seed 6 30.3% +231
Seed 7 41.9% +139
Seed 8 7.7% +1207
Reach Semifinals 30.6% +226
Reach Finals 9.1% +1003
Win Championship 2.0% +4951
Top Projected Finals Matchups
vs Minnesota Lynx 3.3% +2912
vs Las Vegas Aces 1.4% +7146
vs New York Liberty 1.2% +8030
Washington Mystics
Projected Record / Current 21.15-22.85 12-12
Make Playoffs 70.1% -235
Miss Playoffs 29.9% +235
Top 4 Seed 0.2% +58724
Seed 1 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 2 0.0% +999900
Seed 3 0.0% +499900
Seed 4 0.1% +71329
Seed 5 0.4% +23156
Seed 6 2.1% +4731
Seed 7 10.0% +902
Seed 8 57.5% -135
Reach Semifinals 10.4% +865
Reach Finals 1.7% +5748
Win Championship 0.2% +52532
Top Projected Finals Matchups
vs Minnesota Lynx 0.4% +26927
vs New York Liberty 0.3% +30203
vs Golden State Valkyries 0.3% +35614
Los Angeles Sparks
Projected Record / Current 18.32-25.68 10-15
Make Playoffs 18.5% +440
Miss Playoffs 81.5% -440
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 1 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 2 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 3 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 4 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 5 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 6 0.1% +76823
Seed 7 1.3% +7774
Seed 8 17.1% +484
Reach Semifinals 2.5% +3900
Reach Finals 0.5% +22122
Win Championship 0.1% +166567
Top Projected Finals Matchups
vs Minnesota Lynx 0.1% +90809
vs Golden State Valkyries 0.1% +111011
Portland Fire
Projected Record / Current 17.07-26.93 11-15
Make Playoffs 5.1% +1846
Miss Playoffs 94.9% -1846
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 1 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 2 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 3 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 4 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 5 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 6 0.0% +999900
Seed 7 0.3% +33233
Seed 8 4.8% +1970
Reach Semifinals 0.3% +39900
Reach Finals 0.0% 1000000+
Win Championship 0.0% 1000000+
Top Projected Finals Matchups
Chicago Sky
Projected Record / Current 16.66-27.34 9-17
Make Playoffs 4.3% +2236
Miss Playoffs 95.7% -2236
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 1 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 2 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 3 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 4 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 5 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 6 0.0% +999900
Seed 7 0.2% +52532
Seed 8 4.1% +2351
Reach Semifinals 0.6% +17444
Reach Finals 0.1% +111011
Win Championship 0.0% +999900
Top Projected Finals Matchups
Phoenix Mercury
Projected Record / Current 15.94-28.06 9-18
Make Playoffs 2.6% +3688
Miss Playoffs 97.4% -3688
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 1 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 2 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 3 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 4 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 5 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 6 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 7 0.0% +333233
Seed 8 2.6% +3731
Reach Semifinals 0.3% +36937
Reach Finals 0.0% +333233
Win Championship 0.0% 1000000+
Top Projected Finals Matchups
Toronto Tempo
Projected Record / Current 14.64-29.36 10-15
Make Playoffs 0.3% +33233
Miss Playoffs 99.7% -33233
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 1 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 2 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 3 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 4 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 5 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 6 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 7 0.0% +999900
Seed 8 0.3% +34383
Reach Semifinals 0.0% +999900
Reach Finals 0.0% 1000000+
Win Championship 0.0% 1000000+
Top Projected Finals Matchups
Connecticut Sun
Projected Record / Current 12.36-31.64 7-19
Make Playoffs 0.0% +499900
Miss Playoffs 100.0% -499900
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 1 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 2 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 3 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 4 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 5 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 6 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 7 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 8 0.0% +499900
Reach Semifinals 0.0% 1000000+
Reach Finals 0.0% 1000000+
Win Championship 0.0% 1000000+
Top Projected Finals Matchups
Seattle Storm
Projected Record / Current 11.38-32.62 6-21
Make Playoffs 0.0% 1000000+
Miss Playoffs 100.0% -1999900
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 1 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 2 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 3 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 4 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 5 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 6 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 7 0.0% 1000000+
Seed 8 0.0% 1000000+
Reach Semifinals 0.0% 1000000+
Reach Finals 0.0% 1000000+
Win Championship 0.0% 1000000+
Top Projected Finals Matchups

 

Updated: July 20, 2026 — 8:11 am
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