Power Rankings, Predictors and more!

2019 Week 2 NCAAF mis-leading scores.



NCAA Box Score Analysis

The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats.
The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the:

1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction)
2. Actual margin of victory

So if a team meets or exceeds pre game expectations, by the actual play on the field, they are rewarded. However if they win or lose and are statistically dominated this program will show that.

Key: 1. ATS– Against the spread.

2. Act. Yds vs Act. Spread –How each team did using their yardage stats and turnovers.

3. Game should’ve been.. — A scoring projection based on total yards gained using yards per point.

4. Win Margin—Final game margin.

5. Yds/TO spread conv.— A spread projection using total yards gained/allowed and turnovers.

6. Game tot—Acutal game total.

7. Yppt. Total—A total projection of how many points should’ve been scored based on yards.

8. W/L Projection—An estimation of the final score using actual yards and turnover margin. 9. Margin—A number each team “should’ve” won/loss by.

10. Actual Yds—Total yards gained in the game by the offense. 11. Score should’ve been..—A projection for a score based on the game stats and turnovers.

12. TO—Adjusted TO based on actual and pre-game projection.

13. Next Week—A computer generated suggestion for how a team may do next week. (Good, Bad, Play, Fade)

Good—Played as they were projected to do in the game.

Bad—Played below expectations for the game.

Fade—Played well below expectations for the game.

Play—Played better than final score and should be looked at next week.

(Good/Bad/Fade/Play are just suggestions to look at as a guide. Don’t just automatically use them as they are listed. They are to be used to help not as a magic formula)

Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Wake Forest Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -20 -22.61 62 -19.50 8.27 62
Rice Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 20 22.61 62 19.50 4.46 72
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Wake Forest 60.39 Should have won by 22.61 513 41.50 0 0.00 19.00 GOOD
Rice 60.39 Should have lost by 22.61 321 18.89 1 -0.63 20.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Wake Forest YES YES —— YES —— —— —— 7-for-14 5-38
Rice —— —— YES —— YES YES YES 4-for-16 2-12
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Marshall Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 7 24.87 21 14.00 4.00 43
Boise State Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -7 -24.87 21 -14.00 5.40 81
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Marshall 44.18 Should have lost by 24.87 172 9.65 2 0.83 9.00 FADE
Boise State 44.18 Should have won by 24.87 437 34.53 2 2.00 22.00 PLAY
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Marshall —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 2-for-9 6-45
Boise State YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 10-for-17 3-36
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
William & Mary Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 35 45.97 69 32.50 4.02 48
Virginia Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -35 -45.97 69 -32.50 7.20 71
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
William & Mary 56.30 Should have lost by 45.97 193 5.16 1 -1.71 8.00 BAD
Virginia 56.30 Should have won by 45.97 511 51.13 4 4.00 25.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
William & Mary —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 1-for-11 4-20
Virginia YES YES YES YES —— YES —— 9-for-14 3-31
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Sacramento State Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 12 23.09 26 35.50 4.18 73
Arizona State Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -12 -23.09 26 -35.50 5.98 66
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Sacramento State 52.97 Should have lost by 23.09 305 14.94 2 -0.96 16.00 GOOD
Arizona State 52.97 Should have won by 23.09 395 38.03 1 1.00 15.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Sacramento State —— —— YES —— YES YES —— 4-for-14 8-64
Arizona State YES YES —— YES —— —— YES 5-for-17 4-60
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Ohio Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 10 20.55 30 4.00 3.79 56
Pittsburgh Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -10 -20.55 30 -4.00 6.50 74
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Ohio 48.34 Should have lost by 20.55 212 13.89 0 -0.33 12.00 BAD
Pittsburgh 48.34 Should have won by 20.55 481 34.45 0 0.00 22.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Ohio —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 4-for-15 5-34
Pittsburgh YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 5-for-14 10-75
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Old Dominion Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 14 24.90 48 29.00 4.51 72
Virginia Tech Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -14 -24.90 48 -29.00 6.01 67
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Old Dominion 53.42 Should have lost by 24.90 325 14.26 0 -2.42 19.00 GOOD
Virginia Tech 53.42 Should have won by 24.90 403 39.16 2 2.00 21.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Old Dominion —— —— YES —— YES —— YES 4-for-15 6-66
Virginia Tech YES YES —— YES —— YES —— 8-for-13 6-65
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
UAB Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -11 -2.72 51 -7.50 6.93 58
Akron Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 11 2.72 51 7.50 5.38 73
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
UAB 55.01 Should have won by 2.72 402 28.86 1 1.00 15.00 FADE
Akron 55.01 Should have lost by 2.72 393 26.15 2 1.38 16.00 PLAY
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
UAB YES YES —— YES YES —— YES 4-for-14 4-35
Akron —— —— YES —— —— YES —— 4-for-16 6-56
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Army Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 3 17.00 45 22.50 3.68 66
Michigan Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -3 -17.00 45 -22.50 4.47 76
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Army 42.26 Should have lost by 17.00 243 12.63 3 1.13 15.00 GOOD
Michigan 42.26 Should have won by 17.00 340 29.63 3 3.00 23.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Army —— —— —— —— YES —— YES 5-for-16 8-78
Michigan YES YES YES YES —— YES —— 9-for-16 9-58
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Vanderbilt Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 18 8.21 66 7.00 6.55 75
Purdue Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -18 -8.21 66 -7.00 7.87 69
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Vanderbilt 71.65 Should have lost by 8.21 491 31.72 1 0.42 23.00 BAD
Purdue 71.65 Should have won by 8.21 543 39.93 1 1.00 27.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Vanderbilt —— —— YES —— YES —— YES 6-for-15 13-100
Purdue YES YES —— YES —— YES —— 5-for-11 8-63
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Rutgers Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 30 23.82 30 18.00 2.55 49
Iowa Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -30 -23.82 30 -18.00 6.00 73
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Rutgers 42.16 Should have lost by 23.82 125 9.17 3 1.50 5.00 BAD
Iowa 42.16 Should have won by 23.82 438 32.99 0 0.00 23.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Rutgers —— —— —— —— —— —— —— 2-for-14 7-61
Iowa YES YES YES YES YES YES YES 2-for-13 4-37
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Syracuse Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 43 16.24 83 1.50 5.71 70
Maryland Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -43 -16.24 83 -1.50 7.83 83
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Syracuse 72.60 Should have lost by 16.24 400 28.18 2 1.88 18.00 BAD
Maryland 72.60 Should have won by 16.24 650 44.42 1 1.00 29.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Syracuse —— —— —— —— —— —— —— 6-for-15 6-35
Maryland YES YES YES YES YES YES YES 11-for-15 5-30
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
West Virginia Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 31 14.51 45 13.50 2.90 59
Missouri Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -31 -14.51 45 -13.50 4.90 78
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
West Virginia 39.84 Should have lost by 14.51 171 12.66 3 1.88 13.00 BAD
Missouri 39.84 Should have won by 14.51 382 27.17 0 0.00 26.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
West Virginia —— —— —— —— —— —— —— 7-for-16 4-40
Missouri YES YES YES YES YES YES YES 7-for-15 10-100
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Cincinnati Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 42 20.23 42 14.50 4.79 57
Ohio State Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -42 -20.23 42 -14.50 6.96 73
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Cincinnati 56.04 Should have lost by 20.23 273 17.91 2 0.79 13.00 BAD
Ohio State 56.04 Should have won by 20.23 508 38.14 0 0.00 31.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Cincinnati —— —— —— —— —— —— —— 3-for-14 10-78
Ohio State YES YES YES YES YES YES YES 7-for-11 2-25
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Bowling Green Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 52 39.35 52 25.00 3.18 44
Kansas State Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -52 -39.35 52 -25.00 6.77 77
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Bowling Green 51.65 Should have lost by 39.35 140 6.15 1 -1.08 5.00 BAD
Kansas State 51.65 Should have won by 39.35 521 45.50 1 1.00 25.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Bowling Green —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 0-for-11 6-50
Kansas State YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 9-for-16 4-35
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Northern Illinois Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 18 17.22 52 23.00 5.39 56
Utah Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -18 -17.22 52 -23.00 7.27 56
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Northern Illinois 51.34 Should have lost by 17.22 302 17.06 1 -0.92 14.00 GOOD
Utah 51.34 Should have won by 17.22 407 34.28 0 0.00 19.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Northern Illinois —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 2-for-12 6-50
Utah YES YES —— YES —— YES YES 5-for-11 1-10
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
South Florida Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 4 1.58 24 4.50 4.75 55
Georgia Tech Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -4 -1.58 24 -4.50 3.67 70
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
South Florida 35.75 Should have lost by 1.58 261 17.08 2 1.63 11.00 GOOD
Georgia Tech 35.75 Should have won by 1.58 257 18.67 2 2.00 21.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
South Florida —— YES —— YES YES —— —— 4-for-15 9-95
Georgia Tech YES —— YES —— —— YES YES 5-for-14 2-20
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Tulsa Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -18 -14.73 50 -6.00 6.57 82
San Jose State Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 18 14.73 50 6.00 5.12 68
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Tulsa 61.82 Should have won by 14.73 539 38.28 0 0.00 27.00 GOOD
San Jose State 61.82 Should have lost by 14.73 348 23.55 1 0.50 18.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Tulsa YES YES YES YES YES YES YES 9-for-16 12-105
San Jose State —— —— —— —— —— —— —— 6-for-15 4-35
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Nebraska Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 3 -5.09 65 -4.50 6.51 72
Colorado Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -3 5.09 65 4.50 5.95 78
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Nebraska 64.42 Should have won by 5.09 469 34.76 3 3.00 19.00 PLAY
Colorado 64.42 Should have lost by 5.09 464 29.66 2 1.63 22.00 FADE
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Nebraska —— YES —— YES —— —— YES 5-for-15 7-65
Colorado YES —— YES —— YES YES —— 6-for-17 9-65
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Texas A&M Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 14 12.87 34 16.00 4.19 69
Clemson Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -14 -12.87 34 -16.00 5.72 68
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Texas A&M 48.11 Should have lost by 12.87 289 17.62 2 0.67 18.00 GOOD
Clemson 48.11 Should have won by 12.87 389 30.49 1 1.00 26.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Texas A&M —— —— YES —— YES —— —— 6-for-16 9-85
Clemson YES YES —— YES —— YES YES 3-for-9 4-30
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Central Michigan Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 61 55.78 61 34.50 1.70 44
Wisconsin Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -61 -55.78 61 -34.50 7.30 82
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Central Michigan 58.39 Should have lost by 55.78 75 1.30 1 -1.88 3.00 BAD
Wisconsin 58.39 Should have won by 55.78 599 57.08 1 1.00 37.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Central Michigan —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 1-for-14 6-39
Wisconsin YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 11-for-13 1-10
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Charlotte Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 15 5.98 97 23.50 7.40 72
Appalachian State Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -15 -5.98 97 -23.50 7.76 59
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Charlotte 69.33 Should have lost by 5.98 533 31.67 2 0.04 24.00 GOOD
Appalachian State 69.33 Should have won by 5.98 458 37.65 0 0.00 16.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Charlotte —— YES YES —— —— YES YES 4-for-12 11-80
Appalachian State YES —— —— YES YES —— —— 6-for-13 13-143
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Southern Mississippi Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 23 5.49 53 16.50 6.49 53
Mississippi State Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -23 -5.49 53 -16.50 6.23 62
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Southern Mississippi 51.34 Should have lost by 5.49 344 22.93 3 1.63 17.00 PLAY
Mississippi State 51.34 Should have won by 5.49 386 28.41 0 0.00 21.00 FADE
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Southern Mississippi —— —— —— YES —— —— —— 2-for-9 1-5
Mississippi State YES YES YES —— YES YES YES 3-for-9 2-10
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Illinois Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -8 -15.62 54 -21.50 5.29 68
Connecticut Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 8 15.62 54 21.50 4.75 60
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Illinois 46.27 Should have won by 15.62 360 30.94 3 3.00 21.00 BAD
Connecticut 46.27 Should have lost by 15.62 285 15.33 3 1.21 16.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Illinois YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 6-for-11 9-98
Connecticut —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 6-for-15 4-34
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Arkansas State Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -26 -12.20 60 -1.00 6.23 80
UNLV Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 26 12.20 60 1.00 4.41 68
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Arkansas State 55.13 Should have won by 12.20 498 33.67 0 0.00 23.00 GOOD
UNLV 55.13 Should have lost by 12.20 300 21.46 1 0.92 14.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Arkansas State YES YES YES YES YES YES YES 8-for-17 4-30
UNLV —— —— —— —— —— —— —— 3-for-16 3-20
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Texas-San Antonio Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 49 32.02 77 25.00 4.03 66
Baylor Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -49 -32.02 77 -25.00 8.81 62
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Texas-San Antonio 61.15 Should have lost by 32.02 266 14.56 1 -1.08 14.00 BAD
Baylor 61.15 Should have won by 32.02 546 46.58 0 0.00 25.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Texas-San Antonio —— —— YES —— YES —— —— 7-for-18 7-58
Baylor YES YES —— YES —— YES YES 6-for-9 6-50
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
New Mexico State Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 52 57.07 72 55.00 3.80 69
Alabama Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -52 -57.07 72 -55.00 9.28 65
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
New Mexico State 80.10 Should have lost by 57.07 262 11.52 3 -1.58 14.00 FADE
Alabama 80.10 Should have won by 57.07 603 68.58 0 0.00 23.00 PLAY
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
New Mexico State —— —— YES —— YES —— YES 4-for-15 1-15
Alabama YES YES —— YES —— YES —— 7-for-14 4-35
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
San Diego State Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -9 -0.46 37 7.00 4.78 78
UCLA Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 9 0.46 37 -7.00 3.90 67
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
San Diego State 43.45 Should have won by 0.46 373 21.96 0 -0.58 22.00 GOOD
UCLA 43.45 Should have lost by 0.46 261 21.50 2 2.00 16.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
San Diego State YES YES YES YES YES YES YES 6-for-15 5-50
UCLA —— —— —— —— —— —— —— 5-for-14 7-52
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
UL Monroe Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 1 23.96 89 23.00 5.30 79
Florida State Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -1 -23.96 89 -23.00 5.57 90
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
UL Monroe 66.01 Should have lost by 23.96 419 21.02 1 -0.92 26.00 FADE
Florida State 66.01 Should have won by 23.96 501 44.98 3 3.00 30.00 PLAY
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
UL Monroe —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 6-for-15 9-74
Florida State YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 10-for-19 11-108
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Wyoming Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -9 10.56 37 -7.50 4.37 67
Texas State Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 9 -10.56 37 7.50 5.84 76
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Wyoming 50.42 Should have lost by 10.56 293 19.93 1 1.00 16.00 FADE
Texas State 50.42 Should have won by 10.56 444 30.49 3 2.38 27.00 PLAY
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Wyoming YES —— —— —— YES —— YES 8-for-18 6-76
Texas State —— YES YES YES —— YES —— 5-for-13 4-35
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
North Texas Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 22 9.76 76 4.00 4.95 80
Southern Methodist Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -22 -9.76 76 -4.00 7.19 70
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
North Texas 62.25 Should have lost by 9.76 396 26.24 1 0.67 21.00 BAD
Southern Methodist 62.25 Should have won by 9.76 503 36.01 1 1.00 25.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
North Texas —— —— YES —— YES —— YES 5-for-16 9-90
Southern Methodist YES YES —— YES —— YES —— 6-for-11 3-32
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Brigham Young Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -3 9.03 55 3.00 5.65 60
Tennessee Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 3 -9.03 55 -3.00 5.43 77
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Brigham Young 52.34 Should have lost by 9.03 339 21.66 0 -0.25 18.00 FADE
Tennessee 52.34 Should have won by 9.03 418 30.69 1 1.00 20.00 PLAY
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Brigham Young YES —— —— YES YES —— —— 5-for-13 7-63
Tennessee —— YES YES —— —— YES YES 5-for-16 6-50
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Central Florida Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -34 -24.40 62 -14.00 8.57 67
Florida Atlantic Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 34 24.40 62 14.00 3.61 87
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Central Florida 63.57 Should have won by 24.40 574 43.98 0 0.00 23.00 GOOD
Florida Atlantic 63.57 Should have lost by 24.40 314 19.58 1 -0.17 22.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Central Florida YES YES —— YES —— YES —— 3-for-12 5-55
Florida Atlantic —— —— YES —— YES —— —— 5-for-19 7-97
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Western Kentucky Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -6 -8.77 34 8.50 4.99 68
Florida International Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 6 8.77 34 -8.50 3.39 64
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Western Kentucky 37.98 Should have won by 8.77 339 23.38 2 1.29 17.00 GOOD
Florida International 37.98 Should have lost by 8.77 217 14.61 0 0.00 14.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Western Kentucky YES YES YES YES —— YES —— 5-for-13 7-60
Florida International —— —— —— —— YES —— YES 2-for-15 4-47
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Coastal Carolina Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -5 6.05 19 7.00 4.76 62
Kansas Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 5 -6.05 19 -7.00 5.00 56
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Coastal Carolina 39.70 Should have lost by 6.05 295 16.82 0 -0.58 20.00 GOOD
Kansas 39.70 Should have won by 6.05 280 22.87 2 2.00 17.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Coastal Carolina YES YES YES —— YES YES YES 1-for-9 4-31
Kansas —— —— —— YES —— —— —— 4-for-10 5-40
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Liberty Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 21 26.90 49 14.00 5.39 67
UL Lafayette Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -21 -26.90 49 -14.00 8.35 71
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Liberty 67.97 Should have lost by 26.90 361 20.54 1 -0.17 20.00 BAD
UL Lafayette 67.97 Should have won by 26.90 593 47.43 2 2.00 26.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Liberty —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 2-for-11 9-42
UL Lafayette YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 6-for-12 4-35
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Western Michigan Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 34 23.27 68 15.00 5.18 68
Michigan State Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -34 -23.27 68 -15.00 8.69 67
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Western Michigan 66.77 Should have lost by 23.27 352 21.75 3 1.75 18.00 BAD
Michigan State 66.77 Should have won by 23.27 582 45.02 2 2.00 31.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Western Michigan —— —— YES —— YES —— —— 5-for-16 7-46
Michigan State YES YES —— YES —— YES YES 7-for-10 2-20
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Louisiana State Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -7 -9.47 83 -6.50 8.43 68
Texas Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 7 9.47 83 6.50 6.24 85
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Louisiana State 76.36 Should have won by 9.47 573 42.91 1 1.00 28.00 GOOD
Texas 76.36 Should have lost by 9.47 530 33.44 0 -0.54 30.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Louisiana State YES YES —— YES —— —— —— 6-for-12 6-65
Texas —— —— YES —— YES YES YES 8-for-15 6-50
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Tulane Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 18 19.96 30 15.50 3.48 64
Auburn Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -18 -19.96 30 -15.50 4.62 82
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Tulane 43.16 Should have lost by 19.96 223 11.60 1 -0.29 12.00 BAD
Auburn 43.16 Should have won by 19.96 379 31.56 2 2.00 20.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Tulane —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 2-for-15 11-80
Auburn YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 10-for-19 5-51
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Arkansas Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 14 13.84 48 6.00 5.39 67
Mississippi Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -14 -13.84 48 -6.00 6.27 77
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Arkansas 58.66 Should have lost by 13.84 361 22.41 1 0.50 18.00 BAD
Mississippi 58.66 Should have won by 13.84 483 36.25 2 2.00 25.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Arkansas —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 5-for-15 7-55
Mississippi YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 8-for-15 5-60
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Nevada Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 71 38.46 83 24.50 2.82 68
Oregon Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -71 -38.46 83 -24.50 8.42 74
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Nevada 63.03 Should have lost by 38.46 192 12.29 4 1.96 12.00 BAD
Oregon 63.03 Should have won by 38.46 623 50.74 1 1.00 28.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Nevada —— —— —— —— —— —— YES 3-for-17 9-54
Oregon YES YES YES YES YES YES —— 5-for-12 6-34
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Buffalo Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 32 10.40 58 31.50 4.77 90
Penn State Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -32 -10.40 58 -31.50 7.76 46
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Buffalo 55.76 Should have lost by 10.40 429 22.68 2 -0.63 22.00 PLAY
Penn State 55.76 Should have won by 10.40 357 33.08 1 1.00 14.00 FADE
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Buffalo —— YES YES —— YES YES YES 10-for-23 8-78
Penn State YES —— —— YES —— —— —— 2-for-9 3-25
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Eastern Michigan Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 21 12.13 55 15.50 5.15 75
Kentucky Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -21 -12.13 55 -15.50 6.15 75
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Eastern Michigan 59.65 Should have lost by 12.13 386 23.76 2 0.71 24.00 PLAY
Kentucky 59.65 Should have won by 12.13 461 35.89 1 1.00 26.00 FADE
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Eastern Michigan —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 6-for-14 5-46
Kentucky YES YES —— YES —— YES YES 9-for-14 7-84
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Texas El Paso Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 35 37.83 41 34.50 2.30 57
Texas Tech Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -35 -37.83 41 -34.50 5.43 76
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Texas El Paso 44.67 Should have lost by 37.83 131 3.42 0 -2.88 11.00 BAD
Texas Tech 44.67 Should have won by 37.83 413 41.25 1 1.00 27.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Texas El Paso —— —— —— —— YES —— YES 2-for-15 9-76
Texas Tech YES YES YES YES —— YES —— 8-for-14 4-50
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Miami Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 3 -9.46 53 -4.50 6.42 76
North Carolina Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -3 9.46 53 4.50 6.38 61
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Miami 60.75 Should have won by 9.46 488 35.11 0 0.00 27.00 PLAY
North Carolina 60.75 Should have lost by 9.46 389 25.65 0 -0.38 22.00 FADE
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Miami —— YES YES YES —— YES YES 3-for-11 7-57
North Carolina YES —— —— —— YES —— —— 2-for-10 1-5
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Stanford Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 25 12.79 65 3.50 5.08 66
Southern California Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -25 -12.79 65 -3.50 8.07 61
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Stanford 57.33 Should have lost by 12.79 335 22.27 1 0.71 23.00 BAD
Southern California 57.33 Should have won by 12.79 492 35.06 1 1.00 23.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Stanford —— —— YES —— YES —— YES 4-for-11 7-60
Southern California YES YES —— YES —— —— —— 5-for-9 8-93
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Minnesota Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -3 -6.21 73 -3.50 5.07 75
Fresno State Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 3 6.21 73 3.50 5.56 62
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Minnesota 50.09 Should have won by 6.21 380 28.15 3 3.00 24.00 PLAY
Fresno State 50.09 Should have lost by 6.21 345 21.94 2 1.71 21.00 FADE
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Minnesota YES YES YES —— —— YES YES 9-for-15 7-65
Fresno State —— —— —— YES YES —— —— 3-for-10 6-45
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Charleston Southern Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 62 60.35 82 36.00 3.81 70
South Carolina Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -62 -60.35 82 -36.00 11.23 69
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Charleston Southern 85.85 Should have lost by 60.35 267 12.75 3 0.00 14.00 BAD
South Carolina 85.85 Should have won by 60.35 775 73.10 2 2.00 29.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Charleston Southern —— —— YES —— YES —— —— 6-for-17 2-14
South Carolina YES YES —— YES —— YES YES 4-for-7 3-35
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Southern Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 31 50.25 79 41.00 4.45 58
Memphis Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -31 -50.25 79 -41.00 8.21 70
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Southern 69.16 Should have lost by 50.25 258 9.45 0 -3.42 14.00 FADE
Memphis 69.16 Should have won by 50.25 575 59.71 1 1.00 23.00 PLAY
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Southern —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 5-for-13 5-26
Memphis YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 8-for-16 6-44
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Kennesaw State Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 3 -4.50 49 4.50 5.02 87
Kent State Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -3 4.50 49 -4.50 5.71 59
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Kennesaw State 53.22 Should have won by 4.50 437 28.86 2 1.63 23.00 GOOD
Kent State 53.22 Should have lost by 4.50 337 24.36 2 2.00 16.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Kennesaw State —— YES YES —— YES YES YES 9-for-22 6-72
Kent State YES —— —— YES —— —— —— 6-for-15 7-70
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Western Carolina Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 41 50.71 41 40.50 2.30 46
NC State Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -41 -50.71 41 -40.50 6.28 86
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Western Carolina 57.39 Should have lost by 50.71 106 3.34 1 -2.38 6.00 BAD
NC State 57.39 Should have won by 50.71 540 54.05 0 0.00 32.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Western Carolina —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 2-for-13 8-55
NC State YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 6-for-14 3-29
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Fordham Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 28 38.10 86 29.50 4.53 72
Ball State Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -28 -38.10 86 -29.50 7.99 75
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Fordham 70.54 Should have lost by 38.10 326 16.22 2 -0.46 17.00 FADE
Ball State 70.54 Should have won by 38.10 599 54.32 2 2.00 29.00 PLAY
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Fordham —— —— —— —— YES —— YES 6-for-15 6-63
Ball State YES YES YES YES —— YES —— 3-for-8 8-68
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Tennessee Tech Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 31 18.99 65 37.00 4.03 70
Miami (Ohio) Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -31 -18.99 65 -37.00 6.02 58
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Tennessee Tech 47.81 Should have lost by 18.99 282 14.41 3 -0.08 22.00 GOOD
Miami (Ohio) 47.81 Should have won by 18.99 349 33.40 1 1.00 14.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Tennessee Tech —— —— YES —— YES YES —— 2-for-11 6-50
Miami (Ohio) YES YES —— YES —— —— YES 6-for-13 10-95
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Southern Illinois Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -25 -7.15 65 6.00 7.17 70
Massachusetts Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 25 7.15 65 -6.00 4.34 74
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Southern Illinois 56.34 Should have won by 7.15 502 31.75 1 0.50 21.00 GOOD
Massachusetts 56.34 Should have lost by 7.15 321 24.59 2 2.00 15.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Southern Illinois YES YES —— YES YES YES —— 5-for-11 3-23
Massachusetts —— —— YES —— —— —— YES 6-for-17 10-69
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Eastern Illinois Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 52 50.84 52 36.50 2.07 56
Indiana Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -52 -50.84 52 -36.50 7.40 75
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Eastern Illinois 57.54 Should have lost by 50.84 116 3.35 0 -3.04 5.00 BAD
Indiana 57.54 Should have won by 50.84 555 54.19 0 0.00 26.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Eastern Illinois —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 2-for-16 6-39
Indiana YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 10-for-16 6-45
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Richmond Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 32 27.65 58 33.50 5.20 70
Boston College Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -32 -27.65 58 -33.50 7.85 66
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Richmond 66.85 Should have lost by 27.65 364 19.60 2 -0.79 20.00 GOOD
Boston College 66.85 Should have won by 27.65 518 47.25 0 0.00 24.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Richmond —— —— YES —— YES —— —— 4-for-13 7-35
Boston College YES YES —— YES —— YES YES 6-for-11 2-10
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Grambling State Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 6 10.91 34 30.00 5.00 91
Louisiana Tech Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -6 -10.91 34 -30.00 5.91 66
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Grambling State 59.91 Should have lost by 10.91 455 24.50 1 -1.50 32.00 GOOD
Louisiana Tech 59.91 Should have won by 10.91 390 35.41 0 0.00 20.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Grambling State —— YES YES —— YES YES YES 7-for-16 1-15
Louisiana Tech YES —— —— YES —— —— —— 4-for-12 6-38
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Murray State Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 46 52.39 80 49.50 4.73 60
Georgia Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -46 -52.39 80 -49.50 8.63 65
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Murray State 73.34 Should have lost by 52.39 284 10.48 2 -2.13 11.00 FADE
Georgia 73.34 Should have won by 52.39 561 62.87 2 2.00 25.00 PLAY
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Murray State —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 6-for-16 5-40
Georgia YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 8-for-10 5-40
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Western Illinois Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 25 35.76 51 14.50 3.31 65
Colorado State Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -25 -35.76 51 -14.50 8.48 69
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Western Illinois 58.31 Should have lost by 35.76 215 11.27 1 -0.21 12.00 BAD
Colorado State 58.31 Should have won by 35.76 585 47.04 2 2.00 25.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Western Illinois —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 4-for-16 8-35
Colorado State YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 8-for-14 8-97
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Northern Colorado Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 42 41.36 76 44.00 5.07 70
Washington State Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -42 -41.36 76 -44.00 10.42 57
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Northern Colorado 77.59 Should have lost by 41.36 355 18.12 4 0.33 21.00 GOOD
Washington State 77.59 Should have won by 41.36 594 59.48 1 1.00 25.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Northern Colorado —— —— YES —— YES —— YES 7-for-14 12-65
Washington State YES YES —— YES —— YES —— 2-for-5 8-85
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Gardner Webb Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 39 42.62 57 30.50 3.26 57
East Carolina Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -39 -42.62 57 -30.50 7.00 82
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Gardner Webb 60.73 Should have lost by 42.62 186 9.06 2 -0.54 13.00 BAD
East Carolina 60.73 Should have won by 42.62 574 51.67 1 1.00 31.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Gardner Webb —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 4-for-13 4-41
East Carolina YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 7-for-12 7-40
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Maine Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 8 9.78 44 8.50 5.16 69
Georgia Southern Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -8 -9.78 44 -8.50 7.90 58
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Maine 56.75 Should have lost by 9.78 356 23.48 2 1.29 17.00 FADE
Georgia Southern 56.75 Should have won by 9.78 458 33.26 1 1.00 16.00 PLAY
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Maine —— —— YES —— —— YES —— 4-for-16 6-40
Georgia Southern YES YES —— YES YES —— YES 3-for-13 7-67
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
North Carolina A&T Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 32 38.67 58 27.00 4.61 54
Duke Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -32 -38.67 58 -27.00 6.38 90
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
North Carolina A&T 63.12 Should have lost by 38.67 249 12.23 2 -0.25 10.00 BAD
Duke 63.12 Should have won by 38.67 574 50.89 2 2.00 31.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
North Carolina A&T —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 2-for-14 3-25
Duke YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 6-for-16 9-97
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Furman Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 6 4.44 90 6.50 8.03 67
Georgia State Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -6 -4.44 90 -6.50 7.45 76
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Furman 76.38 Should have lost by 4.44 538 35.97 1 0.46 26.00 GOOD
Georgia State 76.38 Should have won by 4.44 566 40.41 0 0.00 29.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Furman —— —— —— YES —— —— YES 6-for-11 6-49
Georgia State YES YES YES —— YES YES —— 6-for-11 7-57
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Eastern Kentucky Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 42 38.85 42 21.00 2.92 59
Louisville Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -42 -38.85 42 -21.00 9.34 58
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Eastern Kentucky 54.07 Should have lost by 38.85 172 7.61 0 -1.75 10.00 BAD
Louisville 54.07 Should have won by 38.85 542 46.46 1 1.00 23.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Eastern Kentucky —— —— YES —— YES —— YES 6-for-17 7-50
Louisville YES YES —— YES —— YES —— 4-for-9 5-30
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
McNeese State Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 42 45.90 70 41.50 4.42 72
Oklahoma State Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -42 -45.90 70 -41.50 7.63 76
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
McNeese State 73.09 Should have lost by 45.90 318 13.59 2 -1.46 13.00 BAD
Oklahoma State 73.09 Should have won by 45.90 580 59.50 2 2.00 25.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
McNeese State —— —— —— —— YES —— YES 4-for-16 9-64
Oklahoma State YES YES YES YES —— YES —— 11-for-16 5-29
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Jackson State Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 23 36.69 51 27.00 4.73 56
South Alabama Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -23 -36.69 51 -27.00 6.81 79
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Jackson State 61.00 Should have lost by 36.69 265 12.16 2 -0.25 18.00 FADE
South Alabama 61.00 Should have won by 36.69 538 48.84 3 3.00 29.00 PLAY
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Jackson State —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 1-for-9 8-73
South Alabama YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 10-for-15 11-101
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
South Dakota Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 56 58.50 84 47.00 5.52 63
Oklahoma Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -56 -58.50 84 -47.00 10.62 69
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
South Dakota 92.92 Should have lost by 58.50 348 17.21 3 -0.92 19.00 BAD
Oklahoma 92.92 Should have won by 58.50 733 75.71 0 0.00 28.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
South Dakota —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 1-for-11 7-45
Oklahoma YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 7-for-10 12-96
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Tennessee State Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 19 27.84 71 26.00 6.21 75
Middle Tennessee Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -19 -27.84 71 -26.00 10.41 58
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Tennessee State 78.01 Should have lost by 27.84 466 25.08 2 -0.17 22.00 FADE
Middle Tennessee 78.01 Should have won by 27.84 604 52.92 2 2.00 31.00 PLAY
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Tennessee State —— —— YES —— YES —— YES 7-for-16 10-60
Middle Tennessee YES YES —— YES —— YES —— 4-for-7 5-57
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Tennessee-Martin Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 45 49.21 45 44.50 3.88 50
Florida Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -45 -49.21 45 -44.50 7.34 74
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Tennessee-Martin 64.27 Should have lost by 49.21 194 7.53 1 -2.71 8.00 BAD
Florida 64.27 Should have won by 49.21 543 56.74 0 0.00 26.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Tennessee-Martin —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 5-for-14 5-45
Florida YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 9-for-13 3-30
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Stony Brook Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 55 53.52 69 31.50 3.60 73
Utah State Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -55 -53.52 69 -31.50 8.24 87
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Stony Brook 78.07 Should have lost by 53.52 263 12.28 1 -1.63 16.00 BAD
Utah State 78.07 Should have won by 53.52 717 65.80 1 1.00 35.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Stony Brook —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 5-for-17 10-88
Utah State YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 10-for-14 9-80
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Prairie View A&M Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 20 25.29 54 36.00 4.42 72
Houston Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -20 -25.29 54 -36.00 5.51 69
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Prairie View A&M 52.43 Should have lost by 25.29 318 13.57 1 -2.00 16.00 GOOD
Houston 52.43 Should have won by 25.29 380 38.86 2 2.00 20.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Prairie View A&M —— —— YES —— YES —— —— 5-for-17 11-98
Houston YES YES —— YES —— YES YES 5-for-13 5-60
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Northern Arizona Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 24 36.66 106 28.00 5.89 75
Arizona Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -24 -36.66 106 -28.00 9.73 74
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Northern Arizona 87.09 Should have lost by 36.66 442 25.22 2 -0.33 28.00 FADE
Arizona 87.09 Should have won by 36.66 720 61.87 0 0.00 31.00 PLAY
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Northern Arizona —— —— YES —— YES —— —— 9-for-15 4-15
Arizona YES YES —— YES —— YES YES 9-for-14 11-127



Updated: September 12, 2019 — 2:49 pm
© 2018