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2019 Week 1 NCAA misleading finals

NCAA Box Score Analysis

The chart below is taking a look at the previous week’s box scores and showing who may have overachieved or underachieved based on stats.
The program generates an “expected” margin of victory, using actual final game stats, and compares that to the:

1. Las Vegas line (pre-game prediction)
2. Actual margin of victory

So if a team meets or exceeds pre game expectations, by the actual play on the field, they are rewarded. However if they win or lose and are statistically dominated this program will show that.

Key: 1. ATS– Against the spread.

2. Act. Yds vs Act. Spread –How each team did using their yardage stats and turnovers.

3. Game should’ve been.. — A scoring projection based on total yards gained using yards per point.

4. Win Margin—Final game margin.

5. Yds/TO spread conv.— A spread projection using total yards gained/allowed and turnovers.

6. Game tot—Acutal game total.

7. Yppt. Total—A total projection of how many points should’ve been scored based on yards.

8. W/L Projection—An estimation of the final score using actual yards and turnover margin. 9. Margin—A number each team “should’ve” won/loss by.

10. Actual Yds—Total yards gained in the game by the offense. 11. Score should’ve been..—A projection for a score based on the game stats and turnovers.

12. TO—Adjusted TO based on actual and pre-game projection.

13. Next Week—A computer generated suggestion for how a team may do next week. (Good, Bad, Play, Fade)

Good—Played as they were projected to do in the game.

Bad—Played below expectations for the game.

Fade—Played well below expectations for the game.

Play—Played better than final score and should be looked at next week.

(Good/Bad/Fade/Play are just suggestions to look at as a guide. Don’t just automatically use them as they are listed. They are to be used to help not as a magic formula)

Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
UCLA Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 10 10.90 38 2.50 3.52 62
Cincinnati Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -10 -10.90 38 -2.50 5.56 75
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
UCLA 44.04 Should have lost by 10.90 218 16.57 4 3.79 12.00 BAD
Cincinnati 44.04 Should have won by 10.90 417 27.47 2 2.00 23.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
UCLA —— —— —— —— —— —— —— 6-for-15 9-60
Cincinnati YES YES YES YES YES YES YES 8-for-16 10-63
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Georgia Tech Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 38 46.53 66 37.00 4.67 63
Clemson Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -38 -46.53 66 -37.00 8.00 79
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Georgia Tech 74.67 Should have lost by 46.53 294 14.07 4 0.92 13.00 BAD
Clemson 74.67 Should have won by 46.53 632 60.60 3 3.00 29.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Georgia Tech —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 5-for-16 2-10
Clemson YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 6-for-12 6-43
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Florida International Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 28 18.84 56 3.00 4.45 60
Tulane Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -28 -18.84 56 -3.00 8.01 68
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Florida International 56.42 Should have lost by 18.84 267 18.79 2 1.75 16.00 BAD
Tulane 56.42 Should have won by 18.84 545 37.63 1 1.00 28.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Florida International —— —— —— —— —— —— —— 5-for-12 4-35
Tulane YES YES YES YES YES YES YES 7-for-12 12-103
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Texas State Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 34 32.50 48 34.00 3.59 61
Texas A&M Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -34 -32.50 48 -34.00 6.64 72
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Texas State 55.30 Should have lost by 32.50 219 11.40 4 1.17 15.00 PLAY
Texas A&M 55.30 Should have won by 32.50 478 43.90 2 2.00 22.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Texas State —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 6-for-15 4-24
Texas A&M YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 6-for-11 3-30
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Kent State Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 23 28.04 37 24.50 3.13 64
Arizona State Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -23 -28.04 37 -24.50 6.50 70
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Kent State 49.56 Should have lost by 28.04 200 10.76 2 -0.04 11.00 FADE
Arizona State 49.56 Should have won by 28.04 455 38.80 1 1.00 18.00 PLAY
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Kent State —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 5-for-18 5-42
Arizona State YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 8-for-16 6-50
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Utah Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -18 -1.36 42 -5.50 5.75 64
Brigham Young Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 18 1.36 42 5.50 5.45 55
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Utah 46.31 Should have won by 1.36 368 23.84 0 0.00 21.00 FADE
Brigham Young 46.31 Should have lost by 1.36 300 22.48 3 2.54 14.00 PLAY
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Utah YES YES YES YES YES YES YES 3-for-11 7-64
Brigham Young —— —— —— —— —— —— —— 6-for-12 7-63
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Albany Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 17 31.37 59 14.00 4.78 51
Central Michigan Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -17 -31.37 59 -14.00 6.30 84
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Albany 55.73 Should have lost by 31.37 244 12.18 1 -0.17 13.00 BAD
Central Michigan 55.73 Should have won by 31.37 529 43.55 3 3.00 31.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Albany —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 3-for-13 4-30
Central Michigan YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 6-for-13 11-87
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Wagner Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 3 29.20 45 23.50 4.20 44
Connecticut Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -3 -29.20 45 -23.50 4.84 81
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Wagner 43.24 Should have lost by 29.20 185 7.02 0 -1.96 12.00 FADE
Connecticut 43.24 Should have won by 29.20 392 36.22 2 2.00 26.00 PLAY
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Wagner —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 1-for-10 10-86
Connecticut YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 5-for-12 7-68
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Robert Morris Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 28 28.25 48 41.50 4.44 54
Buffalo Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -28 -28.25 48 -41.50 6.21 57
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Robert Morris 47.07 Should have lost by 28.25 240 9.41 1 -2.46 11.00 GOOD
Buffalo 47.07 Should have won by 28.25 354 37.66 1 1.00 21.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Robert Morris —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 6-for-15 8-69
Buffalo YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 7-for-11 4-35
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Morgan State Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 43 51.68 49 24.00 1.75 40
Bowling Green Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -43 -51.68 49 -24.00 6.40 98
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Morgan State 55.96 Should have lost by 51.68 70 2.14 1 -1.00 4.00 BAD
Bowling Green 55.96 Should have won by 51.68 627 53.82 1 1.00 37.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Morgan State —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 2-for-12 6-43
Bowling Green YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 9-for-17 7-70
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Florida A&M Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 62 70.97 62 44.00 1.57 61
Central Florida Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -62 -70.97 62 -44.00 7.38 94
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Florida A&M 73.79 Should have lost by 70.97 96 1.41 0 -3.67 8.00 BAD
Central Florida 73.79 Should have won by 70.97 694 72.38 0 0.00 42.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Florida A&M —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 3-for-18 12-106
Central Florida YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 7-for-16 7-65
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Gardner Webb Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 21 41.28 77 31.00 4.21 52
Charlotte Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -21 -41.28 77 -31.00 6.86 74
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Gardner Webb 57.00 Should have lost by 41.28 219 7.86 1 -1.58 11.00 FADE
Charlotte 57.00 Should have won by 41.28 508 49.14 3 3.00 27.00 PLAY
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Gardner Webb —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 1-for-10 8-52
Charlotte YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 5-for-10 4-25
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Central Arkansas Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -7 14.77 63 10.50 7.31 58
Western Kentucky Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 7 -14.77 63 -10.50 6.59 74
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Central Arkansas 63.55 Should have lost by 14.77 424 24.39 0 -0.88 17.00 FADE
Western Kentucky 63.55 Should have won by 14.77 488 39.16 2 2.00 22.00 PLAY
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Central Arkansas YES —— —— YES YES —— —— 5-for-13 6-46
Western Kentucky —— YES YES —— —— YES YES 9-for-16 6-49
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Alabama State Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 5 20.23 43 40.00 4.06 64
UAB Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -5 -20.23 43 -40.00 4.39 66
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Alabama State 41.67 Should have lost by 20.23 260 10.72 2 -1.33 12.00 GOOD
UAB 41.67 Should have won by 20.23 290 30.95 2 2.00 16.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Alabama State —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 3-for-15 6-48
UAB YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 1-for-13 8-72
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
South Dakota State Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 7 1.01 49 14.50 6.12 60
Minnesota Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -7 -1.01 49 -14.50 5.13 60
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
South Dakota State 46.61 Should have lost by 1.01 367 22.80 2 0.79 23.00 GOOD
Minnesota 46.61 Should have won by 1.01 308 23.81 1 1.00 17.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
South Dakota State —— YES —— YES YES YES —— 3-for-9 4-32
Minnesota YES —— —— —— —— —— YES 6-for-13 3-40
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Northern Colorado Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 17 13.22 53 17.50 3.38 85
San Jose State Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -17 -13.22 53 -17.50 5.97 64
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Northern Colorado 47.62 Should have lost by 13.22 287 17.20 2 0.54 20.00 GOOD
San Jose State 47.62 Should have won by 13.22 382 30.42 1 1.00 22.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Northern Colorado —— —— YES —— YES —— YES 7-for-20 6-50
San Jose State YES YES —— YES —— YES —— 5-for-11 8-75
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Rice Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 7 14.87 21 23.50 5.52 44
Army Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -7 -14.87 21 -23.50 4.44 64
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Rice 37.80 Should have lost by 14.87 243 11.46 0 -1.96 10.00 GOOD
Army 37.80 Should have won by 14.87 284 26.33 1 1.00 17.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Rice —— —— —— YES YES —— —— 3-for-11 3-20
Army YES YES YES —— —— YES YES 9-for-15 4-26
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Utah State Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 3 -1.54 73 5.00 7.54 79
Wake Forest Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -3 1.54 73 -5.00 5.51 105
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Utah State 81.09 Should have won by 1.54 596 41.32 3 2.58 23.00 GOOD
Wake Forest 81.09 Should have lost by 1.54 579 39.77 1 1.00 30.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Utah State —— YES —— YES —— —— —— 6-for-16 8-84
Wake Forest YES —— YES —— YES YES YES 13-for-24 1-15
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Wisconsin Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -49 -19.61 49 -10.00 6.28 69
South Florida Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 49 19.61 49 10.00 2.80 56
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Wisconsin 42.20 Should have won by 19.61 433 30.91 1 1.00 22.00 GOOD
South Florida 42.20 Should have lost by 19.61 157 11.30 3 2.17 9.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Wisconsin YES YES YES YES YES YES YES 6-for-13 4-40
South Florida —— —— —— —— —— —— —— 3-for-14 9-45
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Tulsa Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 21 18.11 35 23.50 1.54 52
Michigan State Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -21 -18.11 35 -23.50 3.88 78
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Tulsa 29.69 Should have lost by 18.11 80 5.79 3 1.04 8.00 GOOD
Michigan State 29.69 Should have won by 18.11 303 23.90 0 0.00 18.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Tulsa —— —— —— —— —— —— —— 2-for-11 8-80
Michigan State YES YES YES YES YES YES YES 6-for-19 14-122
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Massachusetts Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 27 29.35 69 17.00 4.28 71
Rutgers Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -27 -29.35 69 -17.00 7.39 75
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Massachusetts 62.05 Should have lost by 29.35 304 16.35 2 0.58 19.00 BAD
Rutgers 62.05 Should have won by 29.35 554 45.70 3 3.00 24.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Massachusetts —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 7-for-16 8-90
Rutgers YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 7-for-14 7-80
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Colorado State Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 21 -2.45 83 12.00 6.47 78
Colorado Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -21 2.45 83 -12.00 7.92 60
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Colorado State 67.88 Should have won by 2.45 505 35.17 4 3.00 27.00 PLAY
Colorado 67.88 Should have lost by 2.45 475 32.71 0 0.00 23.00 FADE
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Colorado State —— YES YES —— —— YES —— 5-for-12 6-64
Colorado YES —— —— YES YES —— YES 3-for-9 4-43
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Purdue Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 3 -24.67 65 -11.00 6.41 81
Nevada Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -3 24.67 65 11.00 5.25 77
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Purdue 64.63 Should have won by 24.67 519 44.65 5 5.00 24.00 PLAY
Nevada 64.63 Should have lost by 24.67 404 19.98 0 -0.92 19.00 FADE
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Purdue —— YES YES YES —— YES YES 9-for-18 6-55
Nevada YES —— —— —— YES —— —— 5-for-17 11-95
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Oklahoma State Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -16 -16.19 88 -13.50 7.30 76
Oregon State Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 16 16.19 88 13.50 5.21 86
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Oklahoma State 70.47 Should have won by 16.19 555 43.33 0 0.00 30.00 GOOD
Oregon State 70.47 Should have lost by 16.19 448 27.14 0 -1.13 26.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Oklahoma State YES YES —— YES —— YES YES 10-for-13 6-55
Oregon State —— —— YES —— YES —— —— 13-for-20 8-85
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Florida Atlantic Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 24 33.28 66 27.50 3.12 73
Ohio State Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -24 -33.28 66 -27.50 6.34 74
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Florida Atlantic 53.13 Should have lost by 33.28 228 9.93 1 -1.29 17.00 FADE
Ohio State 53.13 Should have won by 33.28 469 43.21 2 2.00 24.00 PLAY
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Florida Atlantic —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 5-for-17 5-35
Ohio State YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 7-for-14 7-62
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
South Alabama Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 14 9.48 56 35.00 3.97 79
Nebraska Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -14 -9.48 56 -35.00 4.18 66
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
South Alabama 42.54 Should have lost by 9.48 314 16.53 5 2.08 19.00 GOOD
Nebraska 42.54 Should have won by 9.48 276 26.01 3 3.00 15.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
South Alabama —— YES YES —— YES YES —— 7-for-17 7-44
Nebraska YES —— —— YES —— —— —— 6-for-15 8-64
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
East Carolina Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 28 21.97 40 17.50 3.64 74
NC State Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -28 -21.97 40 -17.50 7.21 70
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
East Carolina 56.16 Should have lost by 21.97 269 17.10 2 0.54 18.00 BAD
NC State 56.16 Should have won by 21.97 505 39.07 0 0.00 23.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
East Carolina —— —— YES —— —— —— —— 5-for-15 5-53
NC State YES YES —— YES YES YES YES 4-for-12 6-55
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Akron Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 39 18.55 45 17.50 2.91 66
Illinois Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -39 -18.55 45 -17.50 5.65 71
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Akron 43.27 Should have lost by 18.55 192 12.36 2 0.54 16.00 BAD
Illinois 43.27 Should have won by 18.55 401 30.91 0 0.00 22.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Akron —— —— —— —— —— —— —— 3-for-13 5-50
Illinois YES YES YES YES YES YES YES 9-for-15 7-75
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Indiana Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -10 -17.91 58 -18.00 6.41 74
Ball State Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 10 17.91 58 18.00 4.91 81
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Indiana 61.74 Should have won by 17.91 474 39.82 2 2.00 25.00 BAD
Ball State 61.74 Should have lost by 17.91 398 21.92 1 -0.50 26.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Indiana YES YES —— YES —— —— —— 6-for-12 5-65
Ball State —— —— YES —— YES YES YES 7-for-16 5-35
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Toledo Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 14 10.27 62 9.50 5.42 64
Kentucky Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -14 -10.27 62 -9.50 6.49 65
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Toledo 53.60 Should have lost by 10.27 347 21.67 2 1.21 15.00 BAD
Kentucky 53.60 Should have won by 10.27 422 31.94 2 2.00 20.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Toledo —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 7-for-16 11-80
Kentucky YES YES YES YES —— YES —— 3-for-11 7-61
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Mississippi State Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -10 -12.39 66 -19.00 7.10 70
UL Lafayette Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 10 12.39 66 19.00 5.51 78
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Mississippi State 65.66 Should have won by 12.39 497 39.03 2 2.00 29.00 BAD
UL Lafayette 65.66 Should have lost by 12.39 430 26.64 4 2.42 27.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Mississippi State YES YES —— YES YES YES YES 4-for-9 5-40
UL Lafayette —— —— YES —— —— —— —— 4-for-10 6-45
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Mississippi Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 5 14.66 25 3.50 3.33 52
Memphis Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -5 -14.66 25 -3.50 4.44 82
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Mississippi 37.37 Should have lost by 14.66 173 11.36 1 0.71 13.00 BAD
Memphis 37.37 Should have won by 14.66 364 26.02 1 1.00 22.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Mississippi —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 1-for-10 3-35
Memphis YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 6-for-17 10-75
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Georgia State Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -8 20.84 68 24.50 4.57 77
Tennessee Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 8 -20.84 68 -24.50 5.69 71
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Georgia State 54.29 Should have lost by 20.84 352 16.73 1 -1.04 24.00 GOOD
Tennessee 54.29 Should have won by 20.84 404 37.57 3 3.00 21.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Georgia State YES —— YES —— YES YES YES 10-for-17 5-31
Tennessee —— YES —— YES —— —— —— 8-for-13 3-24
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Eastern Michigan Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -7 9.82 53 -4.50 5.11 57
Coastal Carolina Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 7 -9.82 53 4.50 5.18 73
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Eastern Michigan 46.00 Should have lost by 9.82 291 18.09 1 1.00 20.00 FADE
Coastal Carolina 46.00 Should have won by 9.82 378 27.91 4 3.63 23.00 PLAY
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Eastern Michigan YES —— —— —— YES —— YES 5-for-11 5-32
Coastal Carolina —— YES YES YES —— YES —— 6-for-16 9-79
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
South Carolina Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 4 6.46 44 -12.00 4.43 61
North Carolina Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -4 -6.46 44 12.00 6.36 76
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
South Carolina 51.07 Should have lost by 6.46 270 22.30 2 2.00 15.00 BAD
North Carolina 51.07 Should have won by 6.46 483 28.76 1 0.00 24.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
South Carolina —— —— —— —— —— —— —— 3-for-12 9-75
North Carolina YES YES YES YES YES YES YES 5-for-16 10-90
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Duke Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 39 36.40 45 34.00 3.78 54
Alabama Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -39 -36.40 45 -34.00 6.56 78
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Duke 57.52 Should have lost by 36.40 204 10.56 3 0.17 11.00 BAD
Alabama 57.52 Should have won by 36.40 512 46.96 1 1.00 30.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Duke —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 3-for-12 8-52
Alabama YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 6-for-12 8-88
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Northwestern Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 10 9.58 24 6.50 3.50 60
Stanford Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -10 -9.58 24 -6.50 5.00 73
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Northwestern 40.22 Should have lost by 9.58 210 15.32 4 3.46 15.00 BAD
Stanford 40.22 Should have won by 9.58 365 24.90 2 2.00 21.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Northwestern —— —— —— —— —— —— —— 5-for-14 8-67
Stanford YES YES YES YES YES YES YES 7-for-16 8-78
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Virginia Tech Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 7 -11.02 63 -4.00 4.97 89
Boston College Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -7 11.02 63 4.00 5.76 75
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Virginia Tech 60.34 Should have won by 11.02 442 35.68 5 5.00 29.00 PLAY
Boston College 60.34 Should have lost by 11.02 432 24.66 1 0.67 18.00 FADE
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Virginia Tech —— YES YES —— —— YES —— 8-for-18 4-20
Boston College YES —— —— YES YES —— YES 9-for-19 6-32
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Syracuse Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -24 -16.35 24 -19.50 4.66 79
Liberty Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 24 16.35 24 19.50 3.08 76
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Syracuse 43.55 Should have won by 16.35 368 29.95 3 3.00 17.00 FADE
Liberty 43.55 Should have lost by 16.35 234 13.60 4 2.38 18.00 PLAY
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Syracuse YES YES YES YES —— —— YES 8-for-19 10-88
Liberty —— —— —— —— YES YES —— 3-for-16 5-55
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Southern Methodist Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -7 -1.58 67 1.50 5.40 94
Arkansas State Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 7 1.58 67 -1.50 5.59 74
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Southern Methodist 63.53 Should have won by 1.58 508 32.55 1 0.88 29.00 GOOD
Arkansas State 63.53 Should have lost by 1.58 414 30.98 3 3.00 25.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Southern Methodist YES YES YES —— YES YES YES 9-for-17 5-50
Arkansas State —— —— —— YES —— —— —— 3-for-13 11-83
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Middle Tennessee Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 19 31.25 61 36.50 4.36 69
Michigan Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -19 -31.25 61 -36.50 5.81 78
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Middle Tennessee 58.34 Should have lost by 31.25 301 13.54 2 -1.04 16.00 GOOD
Michigan 58.34 Should have won by 31.25 453 44.79 2 2.00 26.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Middle Tennessee —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 4-for-15 8-54
Michigan YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 5-for-13 8-55
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Miami (Ohio) Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 24 28.79 52 25.50 4.71 52
Iowa Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -24 -28.79 52 -25.50 6.55 71
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Miami (Ohio) 53.28 Should have lost by 28.79 245 12.24 1 -1.13 11.00 FADE
Iowa 53.28 Should have won by 28.79 465 41.04 1 1.00 26.00 PLAY
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Miami (Ohio) —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 4-for-12 10-77
Iowa YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 9-for-14 5-32
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Georgia Southern Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 52 34.80 58 27.00 1.96 50
Louisiana State Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -52 -34.80 58 -27.00 6.56 72
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Georgia Southern 45.70 Should have lost by 34.80 98 5.45 2 -0.25 8.00 BAD
Louisiana State 45.70 Should have won by 34.80 472 40.25 0 0.00 22.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Georgia Southern —— —— —— —— YES —— YES 1-for-12 5-20
Louisiana State YES YES YES YES —— YES —— 8-for-14 7-70
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Georgia Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -24 -29.30 36 -22.00 7.63 63
Vanderbilt Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 24 29.30 36 22.00 3.63 62
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Georgia 52.58 Should have won by 29.30 481 40.94 1 1.00 25.00 GOOD
Vanderbilt 52.58 Should have lost by 29.30 225 11.64 1 -0.83 17.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Georgia YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 1-for-7 10-117
Vanderbilt —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 3-for-14 10-63
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Virginia Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -16 -0.34 44 -2.50 4.63 67
Pittsburgh Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 16 0.34 44 2.50 3.70 71
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Virginia 39.58 Should have won by 0.34 310 19.96 0 0.00 20.00 FADE
Pittsburgh 39.58 Should have lost by 0.34 263 19.62 2 1.79 15.00 PLAY
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Virginia YES YES —— YES YES YES YES 7-for-15 3-35
Pittsburgh —— —— YES —— —— —— —— 7-for-16 5-51
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Missouri Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 6 -25.81 68 -15.50 5.97 90
Wyoming Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -6 25.81 68 15.50 6.71 58
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Missouri 65.70 Should have won by 25.81 537 45.76 3 3.00 28.00 PLAY
Wyoming 65.70 Should have lost by 25.81 389 19.95 0 -1.29 16.00 FADE
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Missouri —— YES YES —— —— YES —— 7-for-17 5-31
Wyoming YES —— —— YES YES —— —— 4-for-12 5-30
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Oregon Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 6 7.55 48 4.00 4.74 70
Auburn Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -6 -7.55 48 -4.00 5.11 75
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Oregon 49.44 Should have lost by 7.55 332 20.95 1 0.67 17.00 BAD
Auburn 49.44 Should have won by 7.55 383 28.50 2 2.00 22.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Oregon —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 4-for-14 7-58
Auburn YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 7-for-17 7-60
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Louisiana Tech Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 31 10.32 59 19.50 5.16 80
Texas Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -31 -10.32 59 -19.50 6.22 73
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Louisiana Tech 61.28 Should have lost by 10.32 413 25.48 3 1.38 25.00 PLAY
Texas 61.28 Should have won by 10.32 454 35.80 1 1.00 24.00 FADE
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Louisiana Tech —— —— YES —— —— YES —— 5-for-14 5-40
Texas YES YES —— YES YES —— YES 8-for-15 6-47
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
New Mexico State Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 51 37.25 65 33.50 4.73 67
Washington State Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -51 -37.25 65 -33.50 8.96 69
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
New Mexico State 73.19 Should have lost by 37.25 317 17.97 3 0.21 18.00 BAD
Washington State 73.19 Should have won by 37.25 618 55.22 0 0.00 28.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
New Mexico State —— —— —— —— —— —— YES 5-for-15 2-0
Washington State YES YES YES YES YES YES —— 4-for-9 6-50
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Fresno State Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 8 9.70 54 14.50 5.85 79
Southern California Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -8 -9.70 54 -14.50 5.73 78
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Fresno State 63.22 Should have lost by 9.70 462 26.76 3 1.79 22.00 GOOD
Southern California 63.22 Should have won by 9.70 447 36.46 4 4.00 25.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Fresno State —— YES YES YES YES —— YES 5-for-16 6-51
Southern California YES —— —— —— —— YES —— 6-for-13 4-35
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Howard Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 79 54.62 79 32.00 1.19 57
Maryland Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -79 -54.62 79 -32.00 7.99 78
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Howard 58.97 Should have lost by 54.62 68 2.18 1 -1.67 4.00 BAD
Maryland 58.97 Should have won by 54.62 623 56.80 0 0.00 24.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Howard —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 2-for-17 6-42
Maryland YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 6-for-13 5-45
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Indiana State Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 7 6.62 41 12.00 5.14 71
Kansas Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -7 -6.62 41 -12.00 5.46 63
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Indiana State 49.11 Should have lost by 6.62 365 21.25 2 1.00 20.00 GOOD
Kansas 49.11 Should have won by 6.62 344 27.86 3 3.00 20.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Indiana State —— YES YES —— YES —— YES 5-for-14 4-35
Kansas YES —— —— YES —— —— —— 4-for-12 7-49
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Northern Iowa Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 3 28.47 55 23.50 3.59 73
Iowa State Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -3 -28.47 55 -23.50 5.38 86
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Northern Iowa 53.66 Should have lost by 28.47 262 12.59 0 -1.96 17.00 FADE
Iowa State 53.66 Should have won by 28.47 463 41.07 1 1.00 26.00 PLAY
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Northern Iowa —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 6-for-17 5-50
Iowa State YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 7-for-18 5-50
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
James Madison Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 7 -5.11 33 7.00 4.82 68
West Virginia Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -7 5.11 33 -7.00 4.45 66
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
James Madison 42.88 Should have won by 5.11 328 24.00 3 2.42 18.00 PLAY
West Virginia 42.88 Should have lost by 5.11 294 18.89 0 0.00 13.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
James Madison —— YES YES YES —— YES YES 5-for-14 2-20
West Virginia YES —— —— —— YES —— —— 6-for-18 6-35
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Rhode Island Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 21 22.94 61 25.00 5.77 65
Ohio Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -21 -22.94 61 -25.00 7.64 61
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Rhode Island 60.89 Should have lost by 22.94 375 18.98 1 -1.08 21.00 GOOD
Ohio 60.89 Should have won by 22.94 466 41.92 2 2.00 23.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Rhode Island —— —— YES —— YES —— —— 4-for-14 4-37
Ohio YES YES —— YES —— YES YES 8-for-11 7-70
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Bucknell Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 44 65.19 68 42.00 3.10 68
Temple Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -44 -65.19 68 -42.00 8.48 82
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Bucknell 78.76 Should have lost by 65.19 211 6.78 0 -3.50 16.00 BAD
Temple 78.76 Should have won by 65.19 695 71.98 1 1.00 32.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Bucknell —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 4-for-17 3-25
Temple YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 11-for-15 6-63
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Eastern Washington Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 33 35.22 61 24.50 4.22 65
Washington Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -33 -35.22 61 -24.50 7.04 81
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Eastern Washington 63.47 Should have lost by 35.22 274 14.12 0 -2.04 16.00 BAD
Washington 63.47 Should have won by 35.22 570 49.34 0 0.00 27.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Eastern Washington —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 8-for-17 5-28
Washington YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 8-for-15 5-38
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Holy Cross Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 38 36.46 52 24.50 4.22 55
Navy Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -38 -36.46 52 -24.50 6.99 76
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Holy Cross 57.75 Should have lost by 36.46 232 10.65 1 -1.04 13.00 BAD
Navy 57.75 Should have won by 36.46 531 47.11 2 2.00 32.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Holy Cross —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 3-for-11 3-15
Navy YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 8-for-12 3-25
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Idaho Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 72 65.01 86 42.50 2.69 54
Penn State Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -72 -65.01 86 -42.50 8.21 82
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Idaho 73.39 Should have lost by 65.01 145 4.19 1 -2.54 5.00 BAD
Penn State 73.39 Should have won by 65.01 673 69.20 1 1.00 35.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Idaho —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 1-for-15 10-67
Penn State YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 1-for-8 3-30
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
East Tennessee State Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 35 27.05 49 33.50 4.56 64
Appalachian State Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -35 -27.05 49 -33.50 6.73 66
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
East Tennessee State 56.18 Should have lost by 27.05 292 14.57 1 -1.79 17.00 PLAY
Appalachian State 56.18 Should have won by 27.05 444 41.61 0 0.00 25.00 FADE
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
East Tennessee State —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 6-for-15 7-60
Appalachian State YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 6-for-10 5-58
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Colgate Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 41 30.55 55 23.50 3.22 50
Air Force Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -41 -30.55 55 -23.50 7.03 66
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Colgate 47.74 Should have lost by 30.55 161 8.60 2 0.04 11.00 BAD
Air Force 47.74 Should have won by 30.55 464 39.15 1 1.00 24.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Colgate —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 3-for-11 3-25
Air Force YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 4-for-7 2-25
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Montana State Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 35 49.79 55 29.00 4.82 60
Texas Tech Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -35 -49.79 55 -29.00 7.27 95
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Montana State 76.18 Should have lost by 49.79 289 13.19 0 -2.42 8.00 BAD
Texas Tech 76.18 Should have won by 49.79 691 62.99 1 1.00 35.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Montana State —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 2-for-16 2-15
Texas Tech YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 8-for-15 4-29
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Portland State Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 7 22.48 33 30.50 3.77 61
Arkansas Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -7 -22.48 33 -30.50 5.13 77
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Portland State 47.60 Should have lost by 22.48 230 12.56 3 0.46 16.00 GOOD
Arkansas 47.60 Should have won by 22.48 395 35.04 1 1.00 26.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Portland State —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 2-for-13 10-85
Arkansas YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 5-for-15 7-70
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Campbell Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 29 49.11 57 37.00 2.47 58
Troy Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -29 -49.11 57 -37.00 7.98 66
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Campbell 56.65 Should have lost by 49.11 143 3.77 0 -3.08 14.00 FADE
Troy 56.65 Should have won by 49.11 527 52.88 1 1.00 25.00 PLAY
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Campbell —— —— —— —— YES —— YES 5-for-15 9-66
Troy YES YES YES YES —— YES —— 8-for-14 10-89
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Sam Houston State Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 8 -3.06 70 6.00 5.87 95
New Mexico Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -8 3.06 70 -6.00 6.74 72
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Sam Houston State 71.85 Should have won by 3.06 558 37.45 1 0.50 27.00 PLAY
New Mexico 71.85 Should have lost by 3.06 485 34.39 0 0.00 20.00 FADE
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Sam Houston State —— YES YES —— —— YES YES 4-for-20 12-104
New Mexico YES —— —— YES YES —— —— 1-for-15 9-90
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Incarnate Word Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 28 26.22 42 9.50 3.94 53
Texas-San Antonio Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -28 -26.22 42 -9.50 5.83 84
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Incarnate Word 49.69 Should have lost by 26.22 209 11.74 1 0.21 0.00 BAD
Texas-San Antonio 49.69 Should have won by 26.22 490 37.95 2 2.00 0.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Incarnate Word —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 0-for-10 5-55
Texas-San Antonio YES YES YES YES —— —— YES 8-for-14 13-145
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Virginia Military Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 39 57.12 73 44.00 3.84 67
Marshall Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -39 -57.12 73 -44.00 7.56 82
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Virginia Military 74.98 Should have lost by 57.12 257 8.93 1 -2.67 17.00 FADE
Marshall 74.98 Should have won by 57.12 620 66.05 2 2.00 35.00 PLAY
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Virginia Military —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 5-for-17 8-50
Marshall YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 6-for-11 8-78
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
UC – Davis Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 14 29.06 40 16.50 3.88 68
California Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -14 -29.06 40 -16.50 5.96 79
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
UC – Davis 53.00 Should have lost by 29.06 264 11.97 1 -0.38 15.00 FADE
California 53.00 Should have won by 29.06 471 41.03 4 4.00 24.00 PLAY
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
UC – Davis —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 5-for-17 7-50
California YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 4-for-15 5-42
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Norfolk State Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 3 10.97 45 25.50 4.54 59
Old Dominion Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -3 -10.97 45 -25.50 4.63 63
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Norfolk State 40.15 Should have lost by 10.97 268 14.59 3 0.88 15.00 GOOD
Old Dominion 40.15 Should have won by 10.97 292 25.56 2 2.00 20.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Norfolk State —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 6-for-13 5-45
Old Dominion YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 6-for-13 6-60
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Monmouth Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 35 23.99 61 26.00 3.98 81
Western Michigan Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -35 -23.99 61 -26.00 7.90 58
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Monmouth 57.32 Should have lost by 23.99 322 16.66 0 -2.17 23.00 PLAY
Western Michigan 57.32 Should have won by 23.99 458 40.65 0 0.00 23.00 FADE
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Monmouth —— —— YES —— YES —— YES 12-for-21 7-47
Western Michigan YES YES —— YES —— —— —— 5-for-9 8-74
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Nicholls State Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 35 29.73 63 22.00 6.73 41
Kansas State Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -35 -29.73 63 -22.00 7.16 80
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Nicholls State 63.11 Should have lost by 29.73 276 16.69 2 0.17 11.00 BAD
Kansas State 63.11 Should have won by 29.73 573 46.42 0 0.00 33.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Nicholls State —— —— —— —— —— —— —— 1-for-6 2-19
Kansas State YES YES YES YES YES YES YES 10-for-12 2-20
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Illinois State Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 14 11.70 34 7.00 3.97 60
Northern Illinois Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -14 -11.70 34 -7.00 5.72 68
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Illinois State 43.85 Should have lost by 11.70 238 16.07 2 1.42 14.00 BAD
Northern Illinois 43.85 Should have won by 11.70 389 27.77 1 1.00 17.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Illinois State —— —— —— —— —— —— —— 1-for-14 4-36
Northern Illinois YES YES YES YES YES YES YES 3-for-15 8-86
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Alcorn State Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring 28 22.60 48 24.00 3.42 67
Southern Mississippi Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring -28 -22.60 48 -24.00 6.59 59
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Alcorn State 45.70 Should have lost by 22.60 229 11.55 2 0.00 15.00 PLAY
Southern Mississippi 45.70 Should have won by 22.60 389 34.15 2 2.00 16.00 FADE
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Alcorn State —— —— YES —— YES —— YES 6-for-16 7-67
Southern Mississippi YES YES —— YES —— YES —— 7-for-13 10-81
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Stephen F. Austin Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 39 43.22 73 43.00 4.47 62
Baylor Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -39 -43.22 73 -43.00 7.00 74
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Stephen F. Austin 65.52 Should have lost by 43.22 277 11.15 1 -2.58 13.00 FADE
Baylor 65.52 Should have won by 43.22 518 54.37 1 1.00 30.00 PLAY
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Stephen F. Austin —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 6-for-16 4-50
Baylor YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 8-for-13 5-30
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Abilene Christian Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 20 24.18 82 23.50 6.42 71
North Texas Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -20 -24.18 82 -23.50 7.99 72
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Abilene Christian 74.39 Should have lost by 24.18 456 25.10 1 -0.96 20.00 FADE
North Texas 74.39 Should have won by 24.18 575 49.28 1 1.00 26.00 PLAY
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Abilene Christian —— —— —— —— YES —— YES 9-for-17 5-35
North Texas YES YES YES YES —— YES —— 5-for-13 4-45
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 32 51.79 46 54.50 3.47 62
Texas Christian Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -32 -51.79 46 -54.50 5.98 81
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 64.26 Should have lost by 51.79 215 6.24 2 -2.54 9.00 GOOD
Texas Christian 64.26 Should have won by 51.79 484 58.02 2 2.00 25.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Arkansas-Pine Bluff —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 4-for-17 7-78
Texas Christian YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 9-for-18 1-5
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Grambling State Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 22 24.30 40 28.50 5.73 71
UL Monroe Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -22 -24.30 40 -28.50 7.48 67
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Grambling State 66.46 Should have lost by 24.30 407 21.08 1 -1.38 21.00 GOOD
UL Monroe 66.46 Should have won by 24.30 501 45.38 1 1.00 24.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Grambling State —— —— YES —— YES —— —— 6-for-15 10-85
UL Monroe YES YES —— YES —— YES YES 7-for-14 9-76
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Houston Baptist Won ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 2 19.66 70 18.00 5.82 71
Texas El Paso Lost ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -2 -19.66 70 -18.00 7.70 66
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Houston Baptist 65.34 Should have lost by 19.66 413 22.84 1 -0.50 23.00 FADE
Texas El Paso 65.34 Should have won by 19.66 508 42.50 2 2.00 20.00 PLAY
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Houston Baptist —— —— YES —— YES YES —— 6-for-14 5-35
Texas El Paso YES YES —— YES —— —— YES 5-for-11 6-75
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Weber State Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 6 10.09 6 12.00 3.02 51
San Diego State Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -6 -10.09 6 -12.00 3.26 73
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Weber State 27.70 Should have lost by 10.09 154 8.81 1 0.00 5.00 GOOD
San Diego State 27.70 Should have won by 10.09 238 18.89 1 1.00 14.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Weber State —— —— —— —— YES —— —— 3-for-15 5-31
San Diego State YES YES YES YES —— YES YES 5-for-20 2-10
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Southern Utah Lost ATS Worse than predicted Lower Scoring 33 28.61 79 25.00 4.26 80
UNLV Won ATS Better than predicted Lower Scoring -33 -28.61 79 -25.00 7.32 73
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Southern Utah 64.56 Should have lost by 28.61 341 17.98 1 -1.08 18.00 BAD
UNLV 64.56 Should have won by 28.61 534 46.58 1 1.00 27.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Southern Utah —— —— YES —— YES —— —— 7-for-19 4-38
UNLV YES YES —— YES —— YES YES 6-for-12 1-5
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Boise State Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -5 -11.15 67 6.50 5.75 108
Florida State Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 5 11.15 67 -6.50 6.87 62
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Boise State 71.75 Should have won by 11.15 621 41.45 3 2.46 38.00 GOOD
Florida State 71.75 Should have lost by 11.15 426 30.30 2 2.00 19.00 BAD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Boise State YES YES YES —— —— YES YES 10-for-19 6-35
Florida State —— —— —— YES YES —— —— 1-for-12 5-44
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Houston Won ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring 18 39.01 80 22.00 5.91 69
Oklahoma Lost ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring -18 -39.01 80 -22.00 11.25 61
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Houston 80.20 Should have lost by 39.01 408 20.60 0 -1.83 25.00 FADE
Oklahoma 80.20 Should have won by 39.01 686 59.61 2 2.00 30.00 PLAY
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Houston —— —— YES —— YES —— YES 5-for-13 6-48
Oklahoma YES YES —— YES —— YES —— 5-for-8 7-94
                   
Team ATS Act. yds vs act. spread Game should’ve been.. Win Margin Yds/TO spread conv. Game tot Closing Line YPP OFF Plays
                   
Notre Dame Lost ATS Worse than predicted Higher Scoring -18 -9.13 52 -19.50 6.51 65
Louisville Won ATS Better than predicted Higher Scoring 18 9.13 52 19.50 5.30 74
                   
  Yppt. Total W/L Projection Margin Actual Yds Score should’ve been.. TO Adjusted TO 1st Downs Next Week
                   
Notre Dame 57.53 Should have won by 9.13 423 33.33 1 1.00 18.00 BAD
Louisville 57.53 Should have lost by 9.13 392 24.20 3 1.38 21.00 GOOD
                   
  Won Game Total Yards Plays Run YPP Adj TO 1st Downs Rush Att 3rd Down EFF Penalties
                   
Notre Dame YES YES —— YES YES —— —— 5-for-12 4-20
Louisville —— —— YES —— —— YES YES 6-for-15 8-50

Updated: September 4, 2019 — 4:17 pm
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