{"id":1363,"date":"2022-10-05T06:41:03","date_gmt":"2022-10-05T10:41:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gamedaypredictor.com\/blog\/?p=1363"},"modified":"2022-10-05T06:41:03","modified_gmt":"2022-10-05T10:41:03","slug":"ncaa-football-week-5-post-game-win-expectancy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.gamedaypredictor.com\/blog\/?p=1363","title":{"rendered":"NCAA Football Week 5 post game win expectancy"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.npr.org\/assets\/img\/2022\/09\/02\/ap22231634614810_wide-fda56847cb69cfd40321b9f1fbb642238858515a-s1100-c50.jpg\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Listed as pre-game win expectancy, actual result, and post game win expectancy.<\/p>\n<table width=\"520\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"130\"><\/td>\n<td width=\"130\">Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td width=\"130\">Actual<\/td>\n<td width=\"130\">Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>WASH<\/td>\n<td>57.80%<\/td>\n<td>29.993%<\/td>\n<td>49.1028%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>UCLA<\/td>\n<td>42.20%<\/td>\n<td>70.007%<\/td>\n<td>50.8972%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>USU<\/td>\n<td>4.41%<\/td>\n<td>21.567%<\/td>\n<td>28.2602%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>BYU<\/td>\n<td>95.59%<\/td>\n<td>78.433%<\/td>\n<td>71.7398%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>SCST<\/td>\n<td>0.40%<\/td>\n<td>0.436%<\/td>\n<td>1.3902%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>SC<\/td>\n<td>99.60%<\/td>\n<td>99.564%<\/td>\n<td>98.6098%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>UNM<\/td>\n<td>17.93%<\/td>\n<td>23.536%<\/td>\n<td>23.8808%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>UNLV<\/td>\n<td>82.07%<\/td>\n<td>76.464%<\/td>\n<td>76.1192%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>TULN<\/td>\n<td>35.92%<\/td>\n<td>57.798%<\/td>\n<td>25.1119%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>HOU<\/td>\n<td>64.08%<\/td>\n<td>42.202%<\/td>\n<td>74.8881%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>UTSA<\/td>\n<td>61.60%<\/td>\n<td>83.735%<\/td>\n<td>88.7567%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>MTSU<\/td>\n<td>38.40%<\/td>\n<td>16.265%<\/td>\n<td>11.2433%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>SDSU<\/td>\n<td>34.70%<\/td>\n<td>7.456%<\/td>\n<td>4.5189%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>BOIS<\/td>\n<td>65.30%<\/td>\n<td>92.544%<\/td>\n<td>95.4811%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>UGA<\/td>\n<td>97.90%<\/td>\n<td>60.345%<\/td>\n<td>98.8471%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>MIZ<\/td>\n<td>2.10%<\/td>\n<td>39.655%<\/td>\n<td>1.1529%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>WAG<\/td>\n<td>0.02%<\/td>\n<td>0.005%<\/td>\n<td>0.0001%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>SYR<\/td>\n<td>99.98%<\/td>\n<td>99.995%<\/td>\n<td>99.9999%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>ALA<\/td>\n<td>86.75%<\/td>\n<td>93.425%<\/td>\n<td>93.3583%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>ARK<\/td>\n<td>13.25%<\/td>\n<td>6.575%<\/td>\n<td>6.6417%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>RUTG<\/td>\n<td>0.48%<\/td>\n<td>0.527%<\/td>\n<td>0.9796%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>OSU<\/td>\n<td>99.52%<\/td>\n<td>99.473%<\/td>\n<td>99.0204%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>MICH<\/td>\n<td>75.44%<\/td>\n<td>80.302%<\/td>\n<td>69.9873%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>IOWA<\/td>\n<td>24.56%<\/td>\n<td>19.698%<\/td>\n<td>30.0127%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>NCST<\/td>\n<td>33.50%<\/td>\n<td>25.600%<\/td>\n<td>39.0819%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>CLEM<\/td>\n<td>66.50%<\/td>\n<td>74.400%<\/td>\n<td>60.9181%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>ASU<\/td>\n<td>5.41%<\/td>\n<td>13.248%<\/td>\n<td>5.1921%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>USC<\/td>\n<td>94.59%<\/td>\n<td>86.752%<\/td>\n<td>94.8079%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>UK<\/td>\n<td>33.50%<\/td>\n<td>42.202%<\/td>\n<td>34.1160%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>MISS<\/td>\n<td>66.50%<\/td>\n<td>57.798%<\/td>\n<td>65.8840%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>OKST<\/td>\n<td>43.49%<\/td>\n<td>76.464%<\/td>\n<td>28.2132%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>BAY<\/td>\n<td>56.51%<\/td>\n<td>23.536%<\/td>\n<td>71.7868%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>NU<\/td>\n<td>4.72%<\/td>\n<td>25.600%<\/td>\n<td>5.5968%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>PSU<\/td>\n<td>95.28%<\/td>\n<td>74.400%<\/td>\n<td>94.4032%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>ORST<\/td>\n<td>24.56%<\/td>\n<td>4.410%<\/td>\n<td>65.8473%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>UTAH<\/td>\n<td>75.44%<\/td>\n<td>95.590%<\/td>\n<td>34.1527%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>STAN<\/td>\n<td>12.56%<\/td>\n<td>11.893%<\/td>\n<td>6.6781%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>ORE<\/td>\n<td>87.44%<\/td>\n<td>88.107%<\/td>\n<td>93.3219%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>TA&amp;M<\/td>\n<td>39.65%<\/td>\n<td>11.893%<\/td>\n<td>44.3359%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>MSST<\/td>\n<td>60.35%<\/td>\n<td>88.107%<\/td>\n<td>55.6641%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>OU<\/td>\n<td>37.15%<\/td>\n<td>2.104%<\/td>\n<td>6.6757%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>TCU<\/td>\n<td>62.85%<\/td>\n<td>97.896%<\/td>\n<td>93.3243%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>PUR<\/td>\n<td>27.75%<\/td>\n<td>74.400%<\/td>\n<td>48.5844%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>MINN<\/td>\n<td>72.25%<\/td>\n<td>25.600%<\/td>\n<td>51.4156%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>WAKE<\/td>\n<td>35.92%<\/td>\n<td>74.400%<\/td>\n<td>39.2045%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>FSU<\/td>\n<td>64.08%<\/td>\n<td>25.600%<\/td>\n<td>60.7955%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>GT<\/td>\n<td>7.93%<\/td>\n<td>62.849%<\/td>\n<td>6.7424%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>PITT<\/td>\n<td>92.07%<\/td>\n<td>37.151%<\/td>\n<td>93.2576%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>TTU<\/td>\n<td>31.14%<\/td>\n<td>27.754%<\/td>\n<td>56.2128%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>KSU<\/td>\n<td>68.86%<\/td>\n<td>72.246%<\/td>\n<td>43.7872%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>GAST<\/td>\n<td>28.86%<\/td>\n<td>86.752%<\/td>\n<td>43.6189%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>ARMY<\/td>\n<td>71.14%<\/td>\n<td>13.248%<\/td>\n<td>56.3811%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>ILL<\/td>\n<td>33.50%<\/td>\n<td>94.223%<\/td>\n<td>44.6912%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>WISC<\/td>\n<td>66.50%<\/td>\n<td>5.777%<\/td>\n<td>55.3088%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>LOU<\/td>\n<td>81.20%<\/td>\n<td>47.386%<\/td>\n<td>41.5697%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>BC<\/td>\n<td>18.80%<\/td>\n<td>52.614%<\/td>\n<td>58.4303%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>NAVY<\/td>\n<td>17.93%<\/td>\n<td>42.202%<\/td>\n<td>11.6016%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>AFA<\/td>\n<td>82.07%<\/td>\n<td>57.798%<\/td>\n<td>88.3984%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>TEM<\/td>\n<td>11.25%<\/td>\n<td>8.425%<\/td>\n<td>32.1131%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>MEM<\/td>\n<td>88.75%<\/td>\n<td>91.575%<\/td>\n<td>67.8869%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>TXST<\/td>\n<td>7.46%<\/td>\n<td>3.832%<\/td>\n<td>5.5277%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>JMU<\/td>\n<td>92.54%<\/td>\n<td>96.168%<\/td>\n<td>94.4723%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>MASS<\/td>\n<td>9.48%<\/td>\n<td>32.311%<\/td>\n<td>10.6415%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>EMU<\/td>\n<td>90.52%<\/td>\n<td>67.689%<\/td>\n<td>89.3585%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>NIU<\/td>\n<td>42.20%<\/td>\n<td>34.700%<\/td>\n<td>53.2344%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>BALL<\/td>\n<td>57.80%<\/td>\n<td>65.300%<\/td>\n<td>46.7656%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>ECU<\/td>\n<td>74.40%<\/td>\n<td>90.515%<\/td>\n<td>83.5799%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>USF<\/td>\n<td>25.60%<\/td>\n<td>9.485%<\/td>\n<td>16.4201%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>ISU<\/td>\n<td>59.08%<\/td>\n<td>42.202%<\/td>\n<td>75.1541%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>KU<\/td>\n<td>40.92%<\/td>\n<td>57.798%<\/td>\n<td>24.8459%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>FRES<\/td>\n<td>93.42%<\/td>\n<td>37.151%<\/td>\n<td>56.5889%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>CONN<\/td>\n<td>6.58%<\/td>\n<td>62.849%<\/td>\n<td>43.4111%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>MSU<\/td>\n<td>31.14%<\/td>\n<td>17.930%<\/td>\n<td>15.0630%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>MD<\/td>\n<td>68.86%<\/td>\n<td>82.070%<\/td>\n<td>84.9370%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>VT<\/td>\n<td>26.67%<\/td>\n<td>2.104%<\/td>\n<td>8.6228%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>UNC<\/td>\n<td>73.33%<\/td>\n<td>97.896%<\/td>\n<td>91.3772%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>CMU<\/td>\n<td>33.50%<\/td>\n<td>8.425%<\/td>\n<td>24.4617%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>TOL<\/td>\n<td>66.50%<\/td>\n<td>91.575%<\/td>\n<td>75.5383%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>BGSU<\/td>\n<td>72.25%<\/td>\n<td>57.798%<\/td>\n<td>55.3102%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>AKR<\/td>\n<td>27.75%<\/td>\n<td>42.202%<\/td>\n<td>44.6898%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>M-OH<\/td>\n<td>42.20%<\/td>\n<td>39.655%<\/td>\n<td>55.6817%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>BUFF<\/td>\n<td>57.80%<\/td>\n<td>60.345%<\/td>\n<td>44.3183%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>OHIO<\/td>\n<td>19.70%<\/td>\n<td>32.311%<\/td>\n<td>1.4154%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>KENT<\/td>\n<td>80.30%<\/td>\n<td>67.689%<\/td>\n<td>98.5846%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>CIT<\/td>\n<td>0.44%<\/td>\n<td>0.066%<\/td>\n<td>0.2652%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>APP<\/td>\n<td>99.56%<\/td>\n<td>99.934%<\/td>\n<td>99.7348%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>GWEB<\/td>\n<td>2.10%<\/td>\n<td>8.425%<\/td>\n<td>3.3312%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>MRSH<\/td>\n<td>97.90%<\/td>\n<td>91.575%<\/td>\n<td>96.6688%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>FAU<\/td>\n<td>57.80%<\/td>\n<td>13.248%<\/td>\n<td>45.8807%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>UNT<\/td>\n<td>42.20%<\/td>\n<td>86.752%<\/td>\n<td>54.1193%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>USA<\/td>\n<td>71.14%<\/td>\n<td>57.798%<\/td>\n<td>70.0371%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>UL<\/td>\n<td>28.86%<\/td>\n<td>42.202%<\/td>\n<td>29.9629%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>CAL<\/td>\n<td>39.65%<\/td>\n<td>10.640%<\/td>\n<td>19.2880%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>WSU<\/td>\n<td>60.35%<\/td>\n<td>89.360%<\/td>\n<td>80.7120%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>LIB<\/td>\n<td>59.08%<\/td>\n<td>82.070%<\/td>\n<td>66.3072%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>ODU<\/td>\n<td>40.92%<\/td>\n<td>17.930%<\/td>\n<td>33.6928%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>UNH<\/td>\n<td>16.27%<\/td>\n<td>0.763%<\/td>\n<td>23.3907%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>WMU<\/td>\n<td>83.73%<\/td>\n<td>99.237%<\/td>\n<td>76.6093%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>UTEP<\/td>\n<td>59.08%<\/td>\n<td>65.300%<\/td>\n<td>41.3123%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>CLT<\/td>\n<td>40.92%<\/td>\n<td>34.700%<\/td>\n<td>58.6877%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>LSU<\/td>\n<td>70.01%<\/td>\n<td>60.345%<\/td>\n<td>18.6494%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>AUB<\/td>\n<td>29.99%<\/td>\n<td>39.655%<\/td>\n<td>81.3506%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>CIN<\/td>\n<td>75.44%<\/td>\n<td>74.400%<\/td>\n<td>71.1034%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>TLSA<\/td>\n<td>24.56%<\/td>\n<td>25.600%<\/td>\n<td>28.8966%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>GASO<\/td>\n<td>25.60%<\/td>\n<td>39.655%<\/td>\n<td>30.4827%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>CCU<\/td>\n<td>74.40%<\/td>\n<td>60.345%<\/td>\n<td>69.5173%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>ULM<\/td>\n<td>31.14%<\/td>\n<td>13.248%<\/td>\n<td>34.5743%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>ARST<\/td>\n<td>68.86%<\/td>\n<td>86.752%<\/td>\n<td>65.4257%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>TROY<\/td>\n<td>37.15%<\/td>\n<td>67.689%<\/td>\n<td>28.3326%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>WKU<\/td>\n<td>62.85%<\/td>\n<td>32.311%<\/td>\n<td>71.6674%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>WVU<\/td>\n<td>31.14%<\/td>\n<td>11.893%<\/td>\n<td>19.5234%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>TEX<\/td>\n<td>68.86%<\/td>\n<td>88.107%<\/td>\n<td>80.4766%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>IU<\/td>\n<td>33.50%<\/td>\n<td>17.930%<\/td>\n<td>22.0713%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>NEB<\/td>\n<td>66.50%<\/td>\n<td>82.070%<\/td>\n<td>77.9287%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>UVA<\/td>\n<td>44.78%<\/td>\n<td>8.425%<\/td>\n<td>43.1566%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>DUKE<\/td>\n<td>55.22%<\/td>\n<td>91.575%<\/td>\n<td>56.8434%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>SJSU<\/td>\n<td>56.51%<\/td>\n<td>86.752%<\/td>\n<td>80.7789%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>WYO<\/td>\n<td>43.49%<\/td>\n<td>13.248%<\/td>\n<td>19.2211%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>UAB<\/td>\n<td>75.44%<\/td>\n<td>39.655%<\/td>\n<td>86.8577%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>RICE<\/td>\n<td>24.56%<\/td>\n<td>60.345%<\/td>\n<td>13.1423%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>FIU<\/td>\n<td>14.70%<\/td>\n<td>82.070%<\/td>\n<td>54.0947%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>NMSU<\/td>\n<td>85.30%<\/td>\n<td>17.930%<\/td>\n<td>45.9053%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>COLO<\/td>\n<td>11.89%<\/td>\n<td>6.575%<\/td>\n<td>1.4903%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>ARIZ<\/td>\n<td>88.11%<\/td>\n<td>93.425%<\/td>\n<td>98.5097%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Pre game W EXP.<\/td>\n<td>Actual<\/td>\n<td>Post Game W EXP.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>EWU<\/td>\n<td>1.79%<\/td>\n<td>1.086%<\/td>\n<td>0.3553%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>FLA<\/td>\n<td>98.21%<\/td>\n<td>98.914%<\/td>\n<td>99.6447%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Listed as pre-game win expectancy, actual result, and post game win expectancy. Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP. WASH 57.80% 29.993% 49.1028% UCLA 42.20% 70.007% 50.8972% Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP. USU 4.41% 21.567% 28.2602% BYU 95.59% 78.433% 71.7398% Pre game W EXP. Actual Post Game W EXP. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1365,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.gamedaypredictor.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1363"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.gamedaypredictor.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.gamedaypredictor.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.gamedaypredictor.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.gamedaypredictor.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1363"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/www.gamedaypredictor.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1363\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1366,"href":"http:\/\/www.gamedaypredictor.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1363\/revisions\/1366"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.gamedaypredictor.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/1365"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.gamedaypredictor.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1363"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.gamedaypredictor.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1363"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.gamedaypredictor.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1363"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}